Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A33—DI Student Children of Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, Withheld, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1975-2000, and calendar quarters 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
In force
beginning
of period
Awards
during
period
Gross terminations
In force
end of
period
Benefits withheld end of period
In current-
payment status
end of period
Rate
(per 1,000)
Number
Per 1,000
in force
end of period
Number
1975
127.3
124.1
502.19
95.1
156.3
58.02
9.1
147.2
1976
156.3
143.6
550.02
125.5
174.5
42.07
7.3
167.1
1977
174.5
150.3
577.24
144.1
180.7
19.64
3.5
177.1
1978
180.7
148.9
558.81
142.6
187.0
97.24
18.2
168.9
1979
187.0
145.6
586.81
152.5
180.1
112.59
20.3
159.9
1980
180.1
145.9
573.36
145.1
181.0
225.21
40.8
140.2
1981
181.0
138.1
567.52
141.9
177.2
159.68
28.3
148.9
1982
177.2
104.4
766.86
175.9
105.7
249.35
26.4
79.3
1983
105.7
70.6
809.42
114.1
62.2
193.94
12.1
50.1
1984
62.2
61.9
892.61
83.2
41.0
222.11
9.1
31.9
1985
41.0
55.6
1,008.32
69.4
27.2
179.76
4.9
22.3
1986
27.2
52.5
999.06
53.5
26.3
229.77
6.0
20.3
1987
26.3
54.0
998.87
53.2
27.0
253.59
6.9
20.2
1988
27.0
61.4
974.80
56.3
32.2
223.83
7.2
25.0
1989
32.2
56.7
945.38
57.2
31.7
226.72
7.2
24.5
1990
31.7
58.4
957.38
58.3
31.8
241.01
7.7
24.1
1991
31.8
60.2
940.60
58.2
33.8
194.39
6.6
27.2
1992
33.8
65.9
940.02
62.7
37.0
318.79
11.8
25.2
1993
37.0
70.9
949.07
68.7
39.1
269.41
10.5
28.6
1994
39.1
74.1
953.75
72.6
40.6
250.65
10.2
30.4
1995
40.6
75.6
950.48
74.5
41.7
292.94
12.2
29.5
1996
41.7
76.5
928.92
74.3
43.9
252.87
11.1
32.8
1997
43.9
75.8
940.32
77.0
42.8
268.73
11.5
31.3
1998
42.8
82.4
953.46
80.1
45.1
308.63
13.9
31.2
1999
45.1
84.3
962.94
84.0
45.4
188.05
8.5
36.8
2000
45.4
81.4
943.58
81.2
45.6
237.57
10.8
34.7
2001-I
45.6
24.8
165.00
9.6
60.8
115.00
7.0
53.8
2001-II
60.8
19.9
430.00
30.4
50.3
150.00
7.5
42.7
2001-III
50.3
16.6
650.00
38.1
28.8
190.00
5.5
23.3
2001-IV
28.8
21.5
150.00
5.9
44.4
260.00
11.5
32.8
2002-I
44.4
25.9
170.00
9.7
60.5
115.00
7.0
53.5
2002-II
60.5
20.7
430.00
30.4
50.7
150.00
7.6
43.1
2002-III
50.7
17.2
650.00
38.6
29.4
190.00
5.6
23.8
2002-IV
29.4
22.4
150.00
6.1
45.7
260.00
11.9
33.8
2003-I
45.7
26.7
170.00
10.0
62.4
115.00
7.2
55.2
2003-II
62.4
21.4
430.00
31.4
52.3
150.00
7.9
44.5
2003-III
52.3
17.8
650.00
39.8
30.3
190.00
5.8
24.6
2003-IV
30.3
23.2
150.00
6.3
47.2
260.00
12.3
34.9
2004-I
47.2
27.6
170.00
10.4
64.4
115.00
7.4
57.0
2004-II
64.4
22.1
430.00
32.5
54.1
150.00
8.1
45.9
2004-III
54.1
18.4
650.00
41.1
31.3
190.00
6.0
25.4
2004-IV
31.3
23.9
150.00
6.5
48.7
260.00
12.7
36.1
2005-I
48.7
28.6
170.00
10.7
66.6
115.00
7.7
58.9
2005-II
66.6
22.9
430.00
33.6
55.9
150.00
8.4
47.5
2005-III
55.9
19.1
650.00
42.5
32.4
190.00
6.2
26.3
2005-IV
32.4
24.8
150.00
6.7
50.5
260.00
13.1
37.4
2006-I
50.5
29.6
170.00
11.1
68.9
115.00
7.9
61.0
2006-II
68.9
23.7
430.00
34.7
57.9
150.00
8.7
49.2
2006-III
57.9
19.7
650.00
44.0
33.6
190.00
6.4
27.2
2006-IV
33.6
25.6
150.00
7.0
52.2
260.00
13.6
38.6
2007-I
52.2
30.4
170.00
11.5
71.2
115.00
8.2
63.0
2007-II
71.2
24.3
430.00
35.8
59.7
150.00
9.0
50.7
2007-III
59.7
20.3
650.00
45.4
34.6
190.00
6.6
28.0
2007-IV
34.6
26.4
150.00
7.2
53.8
260.00
14.0
39.8
2008-I
53.8
31.3
170.00
11.8
73.3
115.00
8.4
64.9
2008-II
73.3
25.1
430.00
36.9
61.5
150.00
9.2
52.3
2008-III
61.5
20.9
650.00
46.8
35.6
190.00
6.8
28.9
2008-IV
35.6
27.2
150.00
7.4
55.4
260.00
14.4
41.0
2009-I
55.4
32.3
170.00
12.2
75.5
115.00
8.7
66.8
2009-II
75.5
25.8
430.00
38.0
63.3
150.00
9.5
53.8
2009-III
63.3
21.5
650.00
48.1
36.7
190.00
7.0
29.7
2009-IV
36.7
28.0
150.00
7.6
57.0
260.00
14.8
42.2
2010-I
57.0
33.2
170.00
12.5
77.7
115.00
8.9
68.8
2010-II
77.7
26.6
430.00
39.1
65.2
150.00
9.8
55.4
2010-III
65.2
22.2
650.00
49.6
37.8
190.00
7.2
30.6
2010-IV
37.8
28.8
150.00
7.8
58.8
260.00
15.3
43.5

Sources:

· Historical number in force from 1-A Table In Force Supplement; future number in force computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of period, and subtracting number of terminations.

· Historical awards based on SSA administrative records; future quarterly awards interpolated from annual awards (shown earlier).

· Historical termination rates computed as ratio of (a) terminations, to (b) exposure of in force population during the period; future termination rates projected based on historical trend and judgment.

· Historical number of terminations computed as beginning-of-period in force plus awards minus end-of-period in force; future number of terminations computed by applying termination rate to exposure of in force population during the period.

· Historical percentage of benefits withheld computed by dividing number withheld by end-of-period in force; future withheld percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.

· Historical number of benefits withheld computed as end-of-period in force minus number in current-payment status; future number of benefits withheld computed by applying withheld percentage to end-of-period in force.

· Historical number of benefits in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future number of benefits in current-payment status computed as end-of-period in force minus number withheld.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001