Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B4—Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
(1)
1.6
1980
2.6
4.8
3.1
2.1
1.2
1.0
.6
.2
(1)
15.6
1985
5.2
8.6
6.5
3.7
2.1
1.5
.9
.4
0.1
29.1
1990
5.8
8.7
8.2
6.0
3.0
2.3
1.2
.5
.2
35.9
1991
6.4
9.1
7.8
6.6
3.9
2.4
1.2
.4
.1
37.9
1992
6.9
9.7
8.3
7.1
4.2
2.6
1.5
.6
.2
41.0
1993
7.3
9.9
8.0
7.3
4.5
2.7
1.6
.6
.2
42.3
1994
7.2
10.6
9.3
9.0
5.3
2.5
1.5
.5
.2
46.0
1995
7.3
10.4
9.1
8.5
5.1
2.8
1.4
.5
.2
45.3
1996
7.2
10.5
9.0
8.3
6.7
3.7
1.5
.6
.2
47.7
1997
7.1
10.6
8.8
7.6
7.3
4.3
2.0
.7
.3
48.8
1998
7.1
10.7
9.0
7.2
7.5
4.6
2.1
.8
.3
49.2
1999
7.3
10.6
9.7
7.2
7.6
4.9
2.3
.8
.3
50.7
2000
7.2
10.9
10.0
7.1
7.4
5.3
2.5
.9
.4
51.8
2001
7.6
11.3
10.0
7.0
6.9
5.6
2.5
.9
.2
52.1
2002
8.3
11.6
10.2
7.0
6.4
5.6
2.6
.9
.2
53.0
2003
9.0
12.1
10.4
7.1
6.0
5.6
2.7
.9
.2
54.0
2004
9.2
12.9
10.6
7.1
5.8
5.5
2.7
.9
.2
55.0
2005
9.1
13.8
10.9
7.1
5.7
5.1
2.9
.9
.2
55.7
2006
9.7
14.3
11.2
7.2
5.6
4.7
3.0
1.0
.2
57.0
2007
11.2
14.5
11.7
7.3
5.6
4.4
3.1
1.0
.2
59.0
2008
11.9
15.3
12.3
7.5
5.6
4.2
3.0
1.0
.2
61.1
2009
11.8
17.0
12.8
7.7
5.7
4.0
3.0
1.0
.2
63.1
2010
12.0
18.4
13.2
7.9
5.7
3.9
2.8
1.1
.2
65.3
Female
1975
87.2
173.0
263.2
157.2
124.6
45.1
8.7
1.1
.1
860.2
1980
116.2
231.6
311.2
238.2
137.7
99.1
31.8
4.7
.4
1,170.8
1985
122.5
288.8
419.7
281.7
208.6
109.9
67.9
17.3
1.5
1,517.9
1990
105.3
275.5
511.9
364.6
247.4
156.9
75.3
27.8
6.2
1,770.9
1991
101.0
264.3
503.2
404.6
252.8
165.7
80.1
28.6
7.2
1,807.5
1992
98.8
269.6
508.7
435.3
265.0
172.0
91.0
34.7
8.5
1,883.6
1993
104.2
260.3
505.1
456.2
288.0
174.6
99.9
37.8
9.5
1,935.6
1994
102.9
257.6
501.6
466.8
300.4
185.7
107.8
40.9
10.5
1,974.2
1995
101.9
251.2
494.7
481.3
319.5
195.5
111.6
44.4
11.5
2,011.6
1996
100.0
245.8
483.9
475.7
357.6
201.2
115.7
47.0
12.0
2,038.9
1997
100.1
241.7
473.0
458.2
367.0
203.9
115.6
49.2
12.5
2,021.2
1998
97.8
240.4
460.9
460.1
385.6
220.9
116.2
51.2
13.0
2,046.1
1999
99.7
241.1
451.8
458.1
396.3
233.4
121.2
53.7
13.6
2,068.9
2000
100.4
244.0
443.2
450.9
406.9
252.8
127.6
53.6
16.0
2,095.4
2001
100.7
249.6
443.6
442.3
403.0
279.3
130.4
55.7
15.9
2,120.6
2002
103.7
254.5
446.2
436.9
401.4
293.3
138.6
55.9
19.8
2,150.4
2003
106.3
260.1
451.5
421.6
402.4
305.8
149.8
57.0
17.4
2,172.0
2004
105.0
272.5
455.2
415.7
398.1
312.9
158.4
61.1
19.4
2,198.4
2005
101.4
287.6
458.8
410.9
390.1
320.6
169.6
64.0
19.2
2,222.3
2006
105.9
297.5
467.2
406.8
382.9
318.1
187.7
65.4
20.5
2,252.0
2007
121.5
298.5
482.0
404.5
378.3
316.9
197.0
69.6
19.8
2,288.1
2008
129.2
310.8
499.4
409.5
365.2
318.0
205.3
75.4
20.2
2,333.1
2009
129.2
340.3
517.8
415.1
360.3
314.6
209.8
80.1
24.5
2,391.8
2010
132.7
369.2
532.3
423.1
356.3
308.6
215.0
85.8
24.2
2,447.4
Total
1975
87.3
173.3
263.5
157.5
124.8
45.3
8.9
1.2
.1
861.8
1980
118.8
236.4
314.3
240.3
138.9
100.1
32.4
4.9
.4
1,186.4
1985
127.7
297.4
426.2
285.4
210.7
111.4
68.8
17.7
1.6
1,547.0
1990
111.1
284.2
520.1
370.6
250.4
159.2
76.5
28.3
6.4
1,806.8
1991
107.4
273.4
511.0
411.2
256.7
168.1
81.3
29.0
7.3
1,845.4
1992
105.7
279.3
517.0
442.4
269.2
174.6
92.5
35.3
8.7
1,924.6
1993
111.5
270.2
513.1
463.5
292.5
177.3
101.5
38.4
9.7
1,977.9
1994
110.1
268.1
510.9
475.8
305.7
188.2
109.3
41.4
10.7
2,020.2
1995
109.2
261.6
503.8
489.8
324.6
198.3
113.0
44.9
11.7
2,056.9
1996
107.2
256.3
492.9
484.0
364.3
204.9
117.2
47.6
12.2
2,086.6
1997
107.2
252.3
481.8
465.8
374.3
208.2
117.6
49.9
12.8
2,070.0
1998
104.9
251.1
469.9
467.3
393.1
225.5
118.3
52.0
13.3
2,095.3
1999
107.0
251.7
461.5
465.3
403.9
238.3
123.5
54.5
13.9
2,119.6
2000
107.6
254.9
453.2
458.0
414.3
258.1
130.1
54.5
16.4
2,147.2
2001
108.3
260.9
453.6
449.4
409.9
284.9
132.9
56.6
16.1
2,172.7
2002
112.0
266.1
456.4
444.0
407.9
299.0
141.2
56.8
20.0
2,203.4
2003
115.4
272.2
461.9
428.6
408.4
311.4
152.5
57.9
17.6
2,226.0
2004
114.3
285.4
465.9
422.8
403.8
318.3
161.1
62.1
19.6
2,253.4
2005
110.5
301.4
469.7
418.0
395.8
325.7
172.6
65.0
19.4
2,278.1
2006
115.6
311.8
478.4
414.0
388.5
322.8
190.8
66.3
20.7
2,309.0
2007
132.7
312.9
493.8
411.8
383.9
321.3
200.0
70.6
20.1
2,347.1
2008
141.1
326.1
511.7
417.0
370.9
322.2
208.3
76.4
20.5
2,394.1
2009
141.0
357.3
530.6
422.8
366.0
318.6
212.8
81.1
24.7
2,454.9
2010
144.7
387.7
545.5
431.0
362.1
312.5
217.8
86.9
24.4
2,512.7

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of year, and applying termination rates.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001