Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B46—Children of Deceased Workers With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Minor children
Disabled children
Student children
  Total
  Number
  Excess
  Number
  Excess
  Number
  Excess
1975
2,210.6
...
222.6
...
514.4
...
2,947.6
1976
2,161.5
...
235.9
...
539.0
...
2,936.4
1977
2,113.7
...
248.6
...
538.9
...
2,901.2
1978
2,034.7
...
256.8
...
535.6
...
2,827.1
1979
1,966.2
...
267.2
...
524.8
...
2,758.2
1980
1,891.8
...
278.4
...
534.4
...
2,704.6
1981
1,812.3
...
291.1
...
537.9
...
2,641.4
1982
1,739.7
...
302.6
...
372.5
...
2,414.9
1983
1,671.8
...
315.4
...
227.3
...
2,214.5
1984
1,604.6
...
330.5
...
139.0
...
2,074.0
1985
1,554.0
...
345.2
...
68.5
...
1,967.7
1986
1,514.6
...
360.4
...
64.6
...
1,939.5
1987
1,470.2
...
374.4
...
61.8
...
1,906.3
1988
1,425.0
...
386.4
...
71.9
...
1,883.3
1989
1,394.1
...
399.8
...
67.6
...
1,861.4
1990
1,382.3
...
412.2
...
66.2
...
1,860.7
1991
1,381.6
...
425.1
...
66.6
...
1,873.2
1992
1,389.7
...
440.6
...
68.7
...
1,899.0
1993
1,405.1
...
456.0
...
70.0
...
1,931.2
1994
1,426.0
...
470.0
...
68.6
...
1,964.6
1995
1,438.2
...
483.5
...
69.6
...
1,991.2
1996
1,444.5
...
495.8
...
71.2
...
2,011.5
1997
1,430.8
...
507.1
...
73.7
...
2,011.6
1998
1,422.6
...
518.0
...
73.9
...
2,014.5
1999
1,413.7
...
528.3
...
71.2
...
2,013.2
2000
1,407.6
...
537.2
...
71.1
...
2,015.9
2001-II
1,408.8
0.003
542.2
0.001
77.7
0.086
2,028.6
2001-IV
1,400.8
...
546.3
...
71.9
...
2,019.0
2002-II
1,401.7
.003
551.1
.001
78.3
.086
2,031.0
2002-IV
1,393.4
...
554.9
...
72.3
...
2,020.7
2003-II
1,392.0
.003
559.5
.001
79.1
.086
2,030.6
2003-IV
1,381.5
...
563.2
...
73.4
...
2,018.1
2004-II
1,379.6
.003
567.6
.001
79.9
.086
2,027.1
2004-IV
1,368.8
...
571.1
...
73.8
...
2,013.7
2005-II
1,365.6
.003
575.3
.001
80.4
.086
2,021.4
2005-IV
1,353.6
...
578.5
...
74.4
...
2,006.5
2006-II
1,348.4
.003
582.6
.001
81.5
.086
2,012.5
2006-IV
1,334.5
...
585.7
...
75.7
...
1,995.8
2007-II
1,326.4
.003
589.6
.001
83.2
.086
1,999.2
2007-IV
1,309.7
...
592.5
...
77.7
...
1,979.9
2008-II
1,299.3
.003
596.3
.001
85.2
.086
1,980.9
2008-IV
1,280.6
...
599.1
...
79.3
...
1,959.0
2009-II
1,270.3
.003
602.8
.001
86.3
.086
1,959.4
2009-IV
1,251.8
...
605.5
...
79.6
...
1,936.9
2010-II
1,242.4
.003
609.0
.001
86.2
.086
1,937.6
2010-IV
1,225.1
...
611.4
...
79.1
...
1,915.6

Sources:

· End of year numbers of children shown earlier.

· Historical excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers calculated using June 30th data from 1-A Table In Force Supplement.

· Future excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers are projected to remain at the last known rate.

· Future June 30th numbers are projected from December 31st numbers and excess June 30th ratios.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001