Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B47—Children of Deceased Workers With Benefits In Current-Payment Status
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Minor children
Disabled children
Student children
  Total
  Number
  Excess
  Number
  Excess
  Number
  Excess
1975
2,205.8
...
219.3
...
493.8
...
2,918.9
1976
2,147.7
...
231.7
...
523.3
...
2,902.7
1977
2,103.1
...
245.8
...
528.2
...
2,877.0
1978
2,027.6
...
255.5
...
497.3
...
2,780.4
1979
1,960.5
...
265.9
...
484.5
...
2,710.8
1980
1,883.4
...
276.7
...
449.7
...
2,609.9
1981
1,796.1
...
286.7
...
462.7
...
2,545.6
1982
1,717.0
...
297.9
...
306.2
...
2,321.1
1983
1,645.7
...
309.7
...
190.1
...
2,145.5
1984
1,575.7
...
322.5
...
112.2
...
2,010.4
1985
1,525.2
...
335.8
...
57.3
...
1,918.2
1986
1,478.8
...
348.6
...
50.9
...
1,878.3
1987
1,429.7
...
360.2
...
46.9
...
1,836.8
1988
1,381.9
...
369.7
...
57.5
...
1,809.1
1989
1,347.6
...
380.2
...
53.7
...
1,781.5
1990
1,333.8
...
390.1
...
52.9
...
1,776.9
1991
1,335.9
...
400.5
...
55.1
...
1,791.6
1992
1,341.4
...
413.6
...
53.5
...
1,808.4
1993
1,356.5
...
426.1
...
54.0
...
1,836.6
1994
1,375.6
...
437.0
...
52.0
...
1,864.5
1995
1,386.1
...
446.6
...
51.2
...
1,883.9
1996
1,391.1
...
454.6
...
52.2
...
1,897.9
1997
1,376.2
...
462.1
...
54.5
...
1,892.8
1998
1,363.5
...
468.8
...
51.6
...
1,883.9
1999
1,353.9
...
474.9
...
56.1
...
1,884.9
2000
1,346.1
...
480.4
...
51.6
...
1,878.1
2001-II
1,346.8
0.003
484.7
0.000
63.2
0.217
1,894.7
2001-IV
1,339.9
...
488.7
...
52.3
...
1,880.8
2002-II
1,340.0
.003
492.8
.000
63.7
.217
1,896.5
2002-IV
1,332.6
...
496.6
...
52.5
...
1,881.6
2003-II
1,330.4
.003
500.5
.000
64.4
.217
1,895.3
2003-IV
1,320.7
...
504.2
...
53.3
...
1,878.2
2004-II
1,318.2
.003
508.0
.000
65.0
.217
1,891.3
2004-IV
1,308.3
...
511.5
...
53.6
...
1,873.3
2005-II
1,304.5
.003
515.1
.000
65.5
.217
1,885.1
2005-IV
1,293.3
...
518.4
...
54.0
...
1,865.8
2006-II
1,287.7
.003
521.9
.000
66.4
.217
1,875.9
2006-IV
1,274.7
...
525.1
...
55.0
...
1,854.8
2007-II
1,266.2
.003
528.5
.000
68.0
.217
1,862.7
2007-IV
1,250.5
...
531.6
...
56.7
...
1,838.8
2008-II
1,240.0
.003
534.9
.000
69.7
.217
1,844.6
2008-IV
1,222.4
...
537.9
...
57.9
...
1,818.2
2009-II
1,212.1
.003
541.1
.000
70.5
.217
1,823.7
2009-IV
1,194.9
...
543.9
...
58.0
...
1,796.8
2010-II
1,185.5
.003
547.0
.000
70.2
.217
1,802.7
2010-IV
1,169.4
...
549.7
...
57.4
...
1,776.5

Sources:

· End of year numbers of children shown earlier.

· Historical excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers calculated using June 30th data from 1-A Table in Current-Payment Status Supplement.

· Future excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers are projected to remain at the last known rate.

· Future June 30th numbers are projected from December 31st numbers and excess June 30th ratios.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001