Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B49—Awards to Young Spouses of Retired Workers, Per 1,000 Awards to
Eligible Children of Retired Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years, 1975-2010)
Year
  17-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-67
  Total
Male worker
1975
0.320
1.620
5.560
13.900
25.090
49.650
101.760
192.070
239.780
103.510
8.990
742.240
1976
.290
1.490
5.160
12.920
23.270
47.410
93.210
178.710
235.090
99.820
8.960
706.320
1977
.350
1.770
6.090
15.240
29.930
52.360
104.860
200.390
270.580
118.870
10.700
811.130
1978
.350
1.720
5.960
14.910
29.310
50.760
96.120
188.480
254.790
116.310
10.520
769.230
1979
.280
1.410
4.800
12.020
26.060
45.700
83.730
157.200
225.850
104.290
9.230
670.570
1980
.300
1.460
5.070
12.690
28.130
47.290
83.120
158.020
229.800
111.210
9.970
687.060
1981
.420
2.180
7.540
18.890
36.400
62.940
101.810
183.960
264.720
272.080
44.170
995.090
1982
.400
2.010
6.900
17.260
36.670
57.450
82.930
132.790
164.750
90.330
9.190
600.670
1983
.390
1.960
6.770
16.940
36.080
59.320
79.710
118.010
149.560
90.580
9.740
569.050
1984
.280
1.950
6.510
17.360
34.470
57.190
73.560
103.680
128.440
83.570
9.590
516.610
1985
.290
2.190
7.360
16.410
34.510
56.850
72.250
96.530
117.160
78.870
10.030
492.450
1986
.280
1.780
6.900
16.490
36.050
56.840
72.520
90.620
108.810
77.630
10.800
478.730
1987
.260
1.870
6.440
16.580
32.070
53.480
70.580
82.950
97.030
72.430
8.830
442.520
1988
.220
1.050
5.800
16.060
30.180
49.350
61.940
72.750
87.110
112.160
11.200
447.810
1989
.140
1.380
5.280
13.950
28.600
50.150
63.120
69.130
80.110
115.060
11.280
438.210
1990
.100
1.200
5.210
13.140
28.690
44.900
58.720
65.460
74.100
121.680
12.500
425.690
1991
.080
1.230
4.970
12.030
26.900
44.800
55.780
61.540
70.740
137.310
15.920
431.300
1992
.090
1.100
4.790
12.840
26.310
41.190
55.200
57.770
67.250
136.310
16.430
419.280
1993
.080
1.000
3.940
12.050
26.570
39.840
53.760
55.710
63.310
81.320
10.670
348.260
1994
.160
.850
3.670
11.560
24.240
37.400
49.600
54.620
60.920
52.780
7.580
303.380
1995
.080
.820
3.930
10.860
22.120
37.380
49.590
48.930
57.760
48.460
7.310
287.250
1996
.170
.600
2.580
9.820
22.280
33.680
43.540
47.980
52.450
46.020
7.010
266.140
1997
.070
.600
2.330
8.390
18.830
30.990
41.130
45.520
49.040
44.150
6.570
247.620
1998
.140
.460
2.530
7.140
18.100
30.080
38.140
43.610
46.850
43.330
6.830
237.210
1999
.100
.470
2.200
6.410
16.800
29.390
37.410
40.630
45.930
40.980
6.730
227.060
2000
.010
.300
2.260
6.070
16.150
30.350
40.660
40.590
42.520
38.810
7.370
225.090
2001
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
7.070
227.770
2002
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
7.070
227.770
2003
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
7.070
227.770
2004
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
8.250
228.950
2005
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
9.420
230.130
2006
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
10.600
231.300
2007
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
11.780
232.480
2008
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
12.960
233.660
2009
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
14.140
234.840
2010
.060
.390
2.290
6.360
16.690
29.980
39.160
41.110
44.380
40.290
14.140
234.840
Female worker
1975
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1976
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1977
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1978
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1979
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1980
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.050
.000
.000
.050
1981
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.020
.020
.000
.030
1982
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.050
.050
.050
.000
.150
1983
.000
.020
.000
.030
.100
.100
.140
.140
.470
.510
.000
1.510
1984
.020
.050
.120
.260
.210
.380
.490
.730
1.290
2.260
.200
6.000
1985
.000
.000
.050
.050
.210
.190
.130
.320
.710
1.110
.100
2.860
1986
.000
.000
.000
.150
.100
.260
.200
.280
.480
.820
.050
2.340
1987
.000
.000
.050
.090
.100
.120
.150
.150
.390
.550
.050
1.650
1988
.000
.000
.000
.020
.020
.030
.090
.050
.380
.700
.020
1.300
1989
.000
.000
.020
.020
.020
.000
.000
.130
.300
.430
.040
.950
1990
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.120
.050
.200
.440
.030
.840
1991
.000
.000
.000
.000
.020
.070
.080
.070
.290
.470
.030
1.030
1992
.000
.000
.020
.000
.000
.030
.030
.020
.250
.490
.060
.890
1993
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.210
.410
.050
.670
1994
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.210
.480
.050
.740
1995
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.220
.400
.030
.650
1996
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.190
.380
.030
.600
1997
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.190
.350
.040
.580
1998
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.040
.070
.090
.210
.330
.040
.770
1999
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.030
.020
.070
.350
.240
.030
.740
2000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.030
.030
.040
.010
.100
.200
.030
.450
2001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.030
.600
2002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.030
.600
2003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.030
.600
2004
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.040
.610
2005
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.040
.610
2006
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.050
.620
2007
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.050
.620
2008
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.060
.630
2009
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.060
.630
2010
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.030
.040
.040
.200
.240
.060
.630

Sources:

· Historical figures computed by dividing the number of awards by the number of awards to eligible children of retired workers and multiplying by 1,000. Eligible children of retired workers are minor child beneficiaries under age 16 and disabled child beneficiaries.

· Future figures projected based on historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001