Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B62—Mother Beneficiaries In Force, Withheld, and In Current-Payment Status
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
| Calendar period |
Minor and disabled children of deceased workers 1
|
In force |
Withheld |
Number in current- payment status
|
|
Percent of minor and disabled children
|
|
|
Percent of number in force
|
|
1975 |
2,433.2 |
26.508 |
645.0 |
... |
10.368 |
66.9 |
578.1 |
... |
|
|
2,397.4 |
26.557 |
636.7 |
... |
10.217 |
65.0 |
571.6 |
... |
|
|
2,362.3 |
26.931 |
636.2 |
... |
10.144 |
64.5 |
571.7 |
... |
|
|
2,291.5 |
27.391 |
627.6 |
... |
10.174 |
63.9 |
563.8 |
... |
|
|
2,233.4 |
27.779 |
620.4 |
... |
9.854 |
61.1 |
559.3 |
... |
|
|
2,170.2 |
28.095 |
609.7 |
... |
10.314 |
62.9 |
546.8 |
... |
|
|
2,103.4 |
28.085 |
590.7 |
... |
10.265 |
60.6 |
530.1 |
... |
|
|
2,042.3 |
27.644 |
564.6 |
... |
12.074 |
68.2 |
496.4 |
... |
|
|
1,501.0 |
28.905 |
433.9 |
... |
11.743 |
50.9 |
382.9 |
... |
|
|
1,475.7 |
28.310 |
417.8 |
... |
12.603 |
52.6 |
365.1 |
... |
|
|
1,454.2 |
27.825 |
404.6 |
... |
12.465 |
50.4 |
354.2 |
... |
|
|
1,429.7 |
26.905 |
384.7 |
... |
13.078 |
50.3 |
334.3 |
... |
|
|
1,410.1 |
26.091 |
367.9 |
... |
14.705 |
54.1 |
313.8 |
... |
|
|
1,407.1 |
25.294 |
355.9 |
... |
14.933 |
53.1 |
302.8 |
... |
|
|
1,419.7 |
24.475 |
347.5 |
... |
14.648 |
50.9 |
296.6 |
... |
|
|
1,435.6 |
23.678 |
339.9 |
... |
15.144 |
51.5 |
288.4 |
... |
|
|
1,456.6 |
22.981 |
334.7 |
... |
15.040 |
50.3 |
284.4 |
... |
|
|
1,483.5 |
22.028 |
326.8 |
... |
14.794 |
48.3 |
278.4 |
... |
|
|
1,510.3 |
21.250 |
321.0 |
... |
14.762 |
47.4 |
273.6 |
... |
|
|
1,537.4 |
20.344 |
312.8 |
... |
14.413 |
45.1 |
267.7 |
... |
|
|
1,556.5 |
19.635 |
305.6 |
... |
14.979 |
45.8 |
259.8 |
... |
|
|
1,566.6 |
18.826 |
294.9 |
... |
21.575 |
63.6 |
231.3 |
... |
|
|
1,568.6 |
17.993 |
282.2 |
... |
22.080 |
62.3 |
219.9 |
... |
|
|
1,570.7 |
17.328 |
272.2 |
... |
22.624 |
61.6 |
210.6 |
... |
|
|
1,573.8 |
16.686 |
262.6 |
... |
22.887 |
60.1 |
202.5 |
... |
|
|
1,578.8 |
15.971 |
252.2 |
... |
23.369 |
58.9 |
193.2 |
... |
|
|
1,586.3 |
15.688 |
248.9 |
0.003 |
26.397 |
65.7 |
183.2 |
-0.037 |
|
|
1,578.0 |
15.481 |
244.3 |
... |
23.388 |
57.1 |
187.2 |
... |
|
|
1,585.2 |
15.224 |
241.3 |
.003 |
26.412 |
63.7 |
177.6 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,576.7 |
15.041 |
237.1 |
... |
23.399 |
55.5 |
181.7 |
... |
|
|
1,582.6 |
14.828 |
234.7 |
.003 |
26.409 |
62.0 |
172.7 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,572.8 |
14.688 |
231.0 |
... |
23.382 |
54.0 |
177.0 |
... |
|
|
1,576.8 |
14.513 |
228.8 |
.003 |
26.390 |
60.4 |
168.5 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,565.1 |
14.409 |
225.5 |
... |
23.358 |
52.7 |
172.8 |
... |
|
|
1,566.4 |
14.272 |
223.6 |
.003 |
26.364 |
58.9 |
164.6 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,552.1 |
14.204 |
220.5 |
... |
23.328 |
51.4 |
169.0 |
... |
|
|
1,551.4 |
14.095 |
218.7 |
.003 |
26.333 |
57.6 |
161.1 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,535.3 |
14.053 |
215.8 |
... |
23.295 |
50.3 |
165.5 |
... |
|
|
1,534.6 |
13.953 |
214.1 |
.003 |
26.298 |
56.3 |
157.8 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,518.7 |
13.919 |
211.4 |
... |
23.254 |
49.2 |
162.2 |
... |
|
|
1,518.8 |
13.820 |
209.9 |
.003 |
26.261 |
55.1 |
154.8 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,503.8 |
13.787 |
207.3 |
... |
23.219 |
48.1 |
159.2 |
... |
|
|
1,504.9 |
13.677 |
205.8 |
.003 |
26.236 |
54.0 |
151.8 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,491.1 |
13.633 |
203.3 |
... |
23.202 |
47.2 |
156.1 |
... |
|
|
1,493.3 |
13.523 |
201.9 |
.003 |
26.220 |
52.9 |
149.0 |
-.037 |
|
|
1,480.6 |
13.479 |
199.6 |
... |
23.185 |
46.3 |
153.3 |
... |
1
1982 and earlier includes all minor and disabled children of deceased workers; 1983 and later includes minor children under age 16 and all disabled children of deceased workers.
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Sources:
· Numbers of minor and disabled children of deceased workers shown earlier.
· Ratios of number in force to number of minor and disabled children computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers in force from In Force Table; future end of December figures computed by applying single year of age award rates (awards per minor survivor child under age 16 and disabled survivor child awards) and termination rates; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
· Historical ratios of number withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future end of December ratios projected to remain at last known rate by single year of age; future end of June ratios computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force; future end of December figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force; future June figures computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force.
· Historical numbers in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future end of December figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001