Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B76—Aged Husbands of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widowers of Deceased
Workers, Under Age 65, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
Uninsured
male
population
age 60-64
Aged husband and uninsured widower
beneficiaries under age 65
Aged husband beneficiaries
under age 65
Aged
uninsured
widower
beneficiaries
under age 65
Percent of
uninsured
male
population
age 60-64
Number
Percent of aged
husband and
uninsured widower
beneficiaries
under age 65
Number
1975
292.2
0.089
0.3
85.441
0.2
1976
342.3
.076
.3
84.942
.2
1977
326.5
1.133
3.7
93.348
3.5
0.2
1978
381.1
1.151
4.4
89.922
3.9
.4
1979
343.7
1.246
4.3
84.447
3.6
.7
1980
365.5
1.102
4.0
80.507
3.2
.8
1981
378.3
1.185
4.5
79.389
3.6
.9
1982
428.1
1.155
4.9
78.463
3.9
1.1
1983
344.0
1.652
5.7
77.455
4.4
1.3
1984
437.0
1.438
6.3
77.543
4.9
1.4
1985
387.4
1.661
6.4
77.754
5.0
1.4
1986
398.6
1.792
7.1
69.919
5.0
2.1
1987
389.7
1.814
7.1
68.492
4.8
2.2
1988
425.8
1.480
6.3
71.882
4.5
1.8
1989
409.8
1.497
6.1
62.983
3.9
2.3
1990
367.5
1.604
5.9
60.180
3.5
2.3
1991
377.7
1.367
5.2
60.786
3.1
2.0
1992
396.9
1.224
4.9
59.671
2.9
2.0
1993
357.7
1.393
5.0
59.049
2.9
2.0
1994
402.8
1.104
4.4
66.059
2.9
1.5
1995
329.8
1.310
4.3
64.676
2.8
1.5
1996
362.0
1.133
4.1
60.054
2.5
1.6
1997
311.9
1.265
3.9
57.740
2.3
1.7
1998
376.1
1.039
3.9
56.536
2.2
1.7
1999
351.7
1.139
4.0
58.887
2.4
1.6
2000
373.1
1.146
4.3
59.055
2.5
1.8
2001-II
367.0
1.148
4.2
60.000
2.5
1.7
2001-IV
360.7
1.150
4.1
60.000
2.5
1.7
2002-II
356.1
1.152
4.1
60.000
2.5
1.6
2002-IV
351.0
1.154
4.1
60.000
2.4
1.6
2003-II
345.5
1.156
4.0
60.000
2.4
1.6
2003-IV
339.5
1.158
3.9
60.000
2.4
1.6
2004-II
339.4
1.161
3.9
60.000
2.4
1.6
2004-IV
339.2
1.163
3.9
60.000
2.4
1.6
2005-II
335.4
1.165
3.9
60.000
2.3
1.6
2005-IV
331.5
1.167
3.9
60.000
2.3
1.5
2006-II
336.6
1.169
3.9
60.000
2.4
1.6
2006-IV
341.6
1.171
4.0
60.000
2.4
1.6
2007-II
349.6
1.173
4.1
60.000
2.5
1.6
2007-IV
357.5
1.176
4.2
60.000
2.5
1.7
2008-II
362.9
1.178
4.3
60.000
2.6
1.7
2008-IV
368.4
1.180
4.3
60.000
2.6
1.7
2009-II
373.4
1.182
4.4
60.000
2.6
1.8
2009-IV
378.4
1.184
4.5
60.000
2.7
1.8
2010-II
387.5
1.186
4.6
60.000
2.8
1.8
2010-IV
396.6
1.189
4.7
60.000
2.8
1.9

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Uninsured male population age 60-64 computed by subtracting insured male population age 60-64 (shown earlier) from population age 60-64 (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).

· Historical ratio to uninsured male population computed by dividing sum of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force under age 65 by uninsured male population age 60-64; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

· Historical numbers of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured male population.

· Historical ratio of aged husband beneficiaries to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

· Future numbers of aged husband beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.

· Future numbers of aged uninsured widower beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged husband beneficiaries from aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001