Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

V. ESTIMATES BASED ON ALTERNATIVE ASSUMPTIONS

B. HIGH-COST ASSUMPTIONS

Table V.B7—Summary of OASDI Beneficiaries In Current-Payment Status
(High-cost alternative, end of calendar half years 2001-10)
[In thousands]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Total
Retired
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
Total
Chil-
dren
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and
aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
2001-II
45,726.3
31,908.3
28,653.4
2,785.8
469.1
6,980.5
1,894.5
192.3
4,688.8
205.0
6,837.5
5,174.7
164.7
1,498.0
0.1
2001-IV
45,974.2
32,029.5
28,787.5
2,777.3
464.8
6,970.5
1,880.5
196.8
4,685.1
208.2
6,974.1
5,306.7
163.6
1,503.8

2002-II
46,359.5
32,216.5
28,973.0
2,768.9
474.7
6,969.6
1,895.6
186.6
4,676.4
211.0
7,173.4
5,464.6
164.3
1,544.5
2002-IV
46,641.9
32,344.8
29,111.1
2,763.8
469.9
6,962.3
1,880.2
191.0
4,677.6
213.4
7,334.8
5,614.9
164.1
1,555.7

2003-II
47,066.6
32,548.0
29,311.4
2,757.2
479.4
6,958.3
1,893.0
181.4
4,667.7
216.1
7,560.3
5,795.9
165.5
1,598.9
2003-IV
47,375.1
32,682.1
29,454.3
2,753.7
474.1
6,947.1
1,875.1
186.0
4,667.4
218.5
7,745.8
5,968.7
165.8
1,611.3

2004-II
47,863.7
32,943.9
29,715.1
2,745.8
483.1
6,945.0
1,886.9
176.8
4,659.8
221.5
7,974.8
6,151.3
167.5
1,656.0
2004-IV
48,210.8
33,113.0
29,895.2
2,740.7
477.1
6,935.4
1,867.9
181.5
4,661.6
224.4
8,162.4
6,325.5
168.1
1,668.8

2005-II
48,748.5
33,418.6
30,201.0
2,731.9
485.8
6,931.2
1,878.1
172.5
4,653.4
227.3
8,398.7
6,511.8
170.3
1,716.6
2005-IV
49,130.6
33,619.9
30,414.9
2,725.6
479.4
6,918.9
1,857.4
177.2
4,654.3
230.1
8,591.8
6,689.5
171.3
1,731.0

2006-II
49,671.2
33,925.3
30,716.6
2,721.3
487.4
6,918.6
1,865.7
168.5
4,651.8
232.7
8,827.3
6,874.3
173.5
1,779.5
2006-IV
50,083.2
34,155.2
30,955.8
2,719.1
480.2
6,909.4
1,842.9
173.1
4,658.1
235.3
9,018.6
7,050.3
174.6
1,793.7

2007-II
50,623.7
34,461.9
31,255.2
2,719.0
487.6
6,913.9
1,848.6
164.6
4,663.9
236.7
9,247.9
7,229.4
176.7
1,841.8
2007-IV
51,085.4
34,744.8
31,544.5
2,720.6
479.6
6,908.2
1,822.9
169.2
4,678.1
238.0
9,432.4
7,399.8
177.8
1,854.8

2008-II
51,695.7
35,131.0
31,926.8
2,718.0
486.2
6,913.7
1,826.3
161.0
4,687.1
239.2
9,651.0
7,569.0
179.9
1,902.1
2008-IV
52,253.4
35,521.0
32,326.6
2,717.2
477.3
6,908.2
1,797.9
165.5
4,704.5
240.3
9,824.2
7,729.5
181.0
1,913.8

2009-II
52,937.3
36,015.1
32,820.6
2,710.9
483.6
6,914.7
1,800.8
157.4
4,715.5
241.0
10,007.4
7,862.8
183.3
1,961.3
2009-IV
53,606.3
36,551.5
33,370.8
2,706.2
474.4
6,909.9
1,771.6
161.8
4,735.0
241.5
10,144.9
7,988.0
184.5
1,972.5

2010-II
54,222.9
36,971.3
33,791.8
2,698.9
480.7
6,914.1
1,774.7
153.9
4,743.5
241.9
10,337.5
8,129.9
187.0
2,020.6
2010-IV
54,982.6
37,592.4
34,428.0
2,693.0
471.4
6,907.0
1,746.1
158.3
4,760.4
242.3
10,483.2
8,263.5
188.4
2,031.4

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· All detail columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.

· Totals and subtotals computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report high-cost set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001