Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area 1900-2100

Actuarial Study No. 116

by : Felicitie C. Bell and Michael L. Miller
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Table 3 - Historical and Assumed Ultimate Average Annual Percentage Reductions in Central
Death Rates by Sex, Age Group and Cause of Death

 

Male

Female

Under Age 15

1979 to 1999

Assumed Ultimate

1979 to 1999

Assumed Ultimate

Heart Disease
2.43
1.0
2.12
1.0
Cancer
3.03
2.0
2.38
2.0
Vascular Disease
-0.20
0.6
0.15
0.6
Violence
2.73
0.9
2.19
0.9
Respiratory Disease
3.41
2.5
3.59
2.5
Diabetes Mellitus
2.76
1.8
4.66
1.8
Other
2.98
1.8
2.85
1.8
Total
2.92
1.5
2.72
1.6

Ages 15 - 49
Heart Disease
2.57
2.3
1.36
2.2
Cancer
1.47
0.5
1.47
0.5
Vascular Disease
1.52
1.8
2.00
1.8
Violence
1.27
0.8
0.91
0.8
Respiratory Disease
0.69
0.5
-0.35
0.5
Diabetes Mellitus
-1.65
0.3
-1.08
0.3
Other
-3.08
0.8
-1.08
0.6
Total
0.58
0.9
0.66
0.7

Ages 50 - 64
Heart Disease
3.23
2.0
2.41
2.2
Cancer
0.91
0.4
0.35
0.4
Vascular Disease
2.12
1.5
1.95
1.6
Violence
1.81
0.8
1.58
0.8
Respiratory Disease
0.99
0.6
-1.76
0.7
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.14
0.3
-2.21
0.3
Other
0.51
0.9
1.39
0.8
Total
1.74
0.8
0.91
0.7

Ages 65 - 84
Heart Disease
2.64
1.7
2.45
1.8
Cancer
-0.06
0.5
-1.13
0.5
Vascular Disease
2.69
2.5
2.29
2.6
Violence
1.07
1.2
0.70
1.2
Respiratory Disease
-0.36
0.2
-3.92
0.2
Diabetes Mellitus
-2.80
0.6
-1.75
0.6
Other
-0.36
0.3
-0.91
0.3
Total
1.15
0.7
0.44
0.7

Ages 85 and older
Heart Disease
0.96
1.2
1.11
1.2
Cancer
-1.35
0.4
-0.56
0.3
Vascular Disease
1.86
1.9
2.13
1.8
Violence
-0.58
0.9
-0.07
0.9
Respiratory Disease
-2.46
0.2
-3.53
0.2
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.20
0.6
-1.74
0.5
Other
-2.50
0.2
-3.66
0.2
Total
-0.20
0.6
-0.03
0.6

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