Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A11.—DI Disabled Worker Termination Rates Due to Death
(Deaths per thousand beneficiaries, by age and gender, calendar years 1980-2014)
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
Total
 
Male
1980
92.55
35.69
23.20
21.31
25.94
34.14
42.02
52.44
58.71
63.23
58.73
51.90
1985
58.74
27.00
22.16
24.17
26.19
34.09
45.65
54.84
63.16
66.63
74.63
54.12
1990
28.38
28.36
33.24
35.50
36.49
35.16
40.12
48.91
56.86
63.51
74.49
50.21
1995
44.02
20.35
28.04
42.02
40.65
38.68
38.08
43.46
49.47
55.96
72.21
45.71
1996
34.48
20.22
22.55
32.99
32.68
32.64
35.13
39.71
46.64
55.27
69.13
41.93
1997
33.79
19.98
17.08
20.97
22.86
25.43
29.89
36.64
44.67
52.16
68.57
37.30
1998
20.04
21.09
15.81
18.90
21.34
24.83
30.44
36.12
44.70
52.33
65.79
37.23
1999
27.56
17.16
15.49
18.09
20.55
24.37
30.32
36.10
44.05
51.63
64.94
36.90
2000
21.22
16.77
14.87
17.10
20.40
24.31
30.46
35.99
43.19
50.04
62.59
36.42
2001
26.89
15.49
13.57
16.55
19.45
22.67
28.71
33.84
40.21
46.87
57.76
34.31
2002
18.91
13.85
14.60
17.43
20.29
24.38
30.60
35.99
41.20
48.75
57.08
36.02
2003
25.28
13.84
12.65
15.42
19.53
23.51
29.67
35.08
39.71
47.07
70.17
35.28
2004
21.26
14.44
12.26
14.73
18.19
23.31
28.57
35.10
38.72
45.95
82.18
34.96
2005
20.27
13.99
11.90
14.25
17.61
22.63
27.73
34.05
37.66
44.62
72.47
34.76
2006
20.15
13.77
11.74
13.99
17.34
22.30
27.32
33.52
37.10
43.88
69.96
34.64
2007
20.09
13.56
11.57
13.74
17.09
21.96
26.91
33.00
36.51
43.13
67.55
34.56
2008
19.67
13.35
11.41
13.51
16.84
21.60
26.50
32.49
35.92
42.46
66.15
34.45
2009
19.24
13.13
11.24
13.28
16.57
21.21
26.08
31.97
35.32
41.79
72.97
34.53
2010
19.03
12.92
11.05
13.06
16.27
20.83
25.67
31.45
34.73
41.17
71.16
34.09
2011
18.91
12.71
10.86
12.86
15.96
20.49
25.27
30.93
34.15
40.51
67.74
33.79
2012
18.61
12.49
10.67
12.66
15.67
20.17
24.86
30.42
33.58
39.81
67.30
33.58
2013
18.29
12.27
10.47
12.47
15.38
19.85
24.43
29.91
33.02
39.11
67.90
33.24
2014
17.96
12.05
10.28
12.26
15.10
19.49
23.94
29.39
32.43
38.40
66.28
32.76
 
Female
1980
75.76
38.34
23.75
24.93
27.15
33.84
38.86
42.24
41.39
40.36
46.48
39.09
1985
16.81
27.48
21.49
21.49
27.45
32.64
42.06
44.66
47.06
45.74
47.25
41.79
1990
23.58
25.82
19.49
20.65
22.74
27.58
34.48
40.39
43.08
45.97
46.86
37.55
1995
15.82
18.40
16.99
19.38
21.23
23.63
28.15
32.65
37.46
41.17
50.07
31.86
1996
28.35
16.34
16.33
17.85
19.36
22.03
26.66
30.96
35.30
39.93
47.00
30.24
1997
31.20
16.86
14.38
15.24
17.36
20.35
24.23
29.78
34.09
38.53
46.35
28.73
1998
25.18
17.06
12.95
14.58
16.90
19.75
24.02
28.88
32.96
37.96
45.82
28.19
1999
40.27
19.31
13.57
14.67
16.14
19.05
23.82
28.48
32.30
37.49
45.16
27.86
2000
17.24
15.59
14.10
14.08
15.90
19.69
23.12
28.11
31.83
36.82
44.43
27.57
2001
11.67
16.04
12.95
12.87
15.25
18.44
22.14
26.26
30.10
34.23
40.20
25.99
2002
22.10
13.91
12.60
13.71
16.24
19.76
23.48
27.40
30.65
34.99
41.28
27.01
2003
23.28
13.20
12.51
13.59
15.40
18.53
22.24
26.11
29.72
34.47
51.18
26.41
2004
13.64
13.14
11.35
12.38
14.25
18.53
21.55
25.53
28.82
33.23
56.55
25.80
2005
13.01
12.75
11.01
11.99
13.81
17.99
20.92
24.77
28.01
32.28
49.64
25.53
2006
12.85
12.59
10.85
11.78
13.60
17.73
20.59
24.39
27.62
31.77
47.91
25.40
2007
12.76
12.39
10.68
11.58
13.38
17.47
20.28
24.01
27.16
31.22
46.16
25.28
2008
12.53
12.20
10.51
11.39
13.18
17.19
19.97
23.63
26.72
30.71
45.17
25.14
2009
12.32
12.03
10.34
11.20
12.97
16.87
19.64
23.25
26.28
30.24
50.08
25.16
2010
12.19
11.84
10.17
11.02
12.75
16.56
19.33
22.87
25.85
29.79
48.82
24.82
2011
12.02
11.62
10.00
10.85
12.53
16.28
19.03
22.49
25.43
29.31
46.37
24.57
2012
11.75
11.39
9.83
10.69
12.31
16.03
18.72
22.11
25.00
28.80
46.11
24.39
2013
11.53
11.18
9.66
10.52
12.09
15.78
18.38
21.74
24.58
28.29
46.50
24.13
2014
11.32
10.98
9.48
10.33
11.88
15.51
18.02
21.36
24.14
27.78
45.50
23.78
 
Total
1980
87.91
36.38
23.36
22.34
26.29
34.05
41.05
49.15
52.90
55.55
54.66
47.76
1985
47.88
27.14
21.97
23.35
26.57
33.64
44.52
51.55
57.77
59.60
65.27
50.11
1990
26.82
27.56
28.93
30.81
31.98
32.64
38.16
45.89
52.01
57.47
64.87
45.88
1995
33.39
19.64
24.07
33.94
33.65
33.05
34.28
39.16
44.77
50.46
64.16
40.47
1996
32.08
18.77
20.24
27.41
27.74
28.56
31.81
36.14
42.09
49.44
60.93
37.39
1997
32.81
18.80
16.05
18.78
20.76
23.43
27.61
33.79
40.31
46.85
60.21
33.89
1998
21.88
19.54
14.68
17.19
19.58
22.76
27.78
33.04
39.75
46.60
58.12
33.53
1999
32.26
18.00
14.71
16.71
18.75
22.17
27.56
32.82
38.99
45.87
57.19
33.12
2000
19.70
16.30
14.55
15.85
18.52
22.36
27.29
32.55
38.22
44.54
55.34
32.65
2001
20.95
15.71
13.31
14.98
17.65
20.86
25.83
30.50
35.73
41.51
50.60
30.71
2002
20.12
13.87
13.74
15.80
18.52
22.37
27.44
32.15
36.48
42.83
50.49
32.06
2003
24.50
13.58
12.59
14.60
17.69
21.30
26.34
31.02
35.21
41.57
62.12
31.33
2004
18.26
13.91
11.86
13.65
16.41
21.15
25.39
30.72
34.25
40.33
71.20
30.84
2005
17.22
13.49
11.51
13.19
15.86
20.51
24.61
29.76
33.27
39.12
62.49
30.57
2006
17.08
13.28
11.35
12.95
15.59
20.18
24.21
29.27
32.75
38.43
60.21
30.41
2007
17.01
13.07
11.18
12.72
15.34
19.85
23.81
28.79
32.18
37.73
57.96
30.27
2008
16.64
12.86
11.01
12.51
15.08
19.51
23.42
28.32
31.62
37.10
56.63
30.11
2009
16.23
12.66
10.84
12.29
14.82
19.13
23.01
27.84
31.06
36.49
62.54
30.14
2010
16.06
12.46
10.66
12.09
14.54
18.77
22.62
27.36
30.52
35.91
60.94
29.72
2011
16.00
12.24
10.48
11.91
14.27
18.43
22.25
26.88
29.99
35.30
57.89
29.41
2012
15.81
12.02
10.29
11.72
14.01
18.12
21.86
26.41
29.48
34.64
57.48
29.19
2013
15.55
11.80
10.11
11.54
13.75
17.82
21.46
25.94
28.97
34.00
57.91
28.87
2014
15.27
11.59
9.92
11.34
13.50
17.49
21.01
25.46
28.44
33.35
56.55
28.42

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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