Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A7.—DI Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1980-2014)
[In thousands]
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
Total
 
Male
1980
1.1
21.9
58.5
89.4
96.9
116.1
172.4
277.6
463.9
637.1
...
1,934.9
1985
.5
20.2
63.7
98.5
126.1
133.4
155.7
231.9
385.1
587.4
...
1,802.4
1990
.9
20.0
71.9
132.5
174.0
207.4
214.2
255.0
376.5
545.5
...
1,997.9
1995
.8
24.3
83.9
165.7
250.8
304.9
352.2
376.0
465.6
592.8
...
2,617.1
1996
.8
21.3
81.1
160.5
254.7
319.0
372.5
403.1
487.3
604.0
...
2,704.2
1997
.7
19.5
74.7
148.4
245.0
320.1
372.0
424.5
509.3
611.3
...
2,725.6
1998
.8
19.2
70.1
141.5
243.1
330.3
384.8
448.8
536.0
627.0
...
2,801.6
1999
.8
20.1
65.7
133.3
239.6
337.0
397.9
476.5
558.6
637.9
...
2,867.5
2000
.9
22.0
61.8
126.8
230.2
339.4
409.8
504.0
576.9
651.9
...
2,923.7
2001
1.1
26.6
63.0
124.3
223.0
343.0
424.8
525.9
611.2
678.2
...
3,021.1
2002
1.2
32.0
67.0
122.6
216.5
344.9
443.1
540.2
655.9
717.7
...
3,141.0
2003
1.1
34.0
73.1
122.3
211.6
347.9
460.9
562.2
696.9
762.0
21.8
3,293.8
2004
.9
33.9
79.7
122.4
206.0
348.9
475.9
584.6
746.7
802.5
46.7
3,448.2
2005
1.2
34.1
86.2
121.8
205.3
343.8
486.2
605.8
792.9
834.5
71.7
3,583.5
2006
1.2
33.0
90.5
121.9
203.7
334.0
490.4
624.9
818.3
880.3
102.0
3,700.2
2007
1.2
31.8
93.2
124.4
201.4
323.0
489.4
643.0
828.5
931.3
139.7
3,806.9
2008
1.3
31.5
94.4
129.1
198.4
312.8
487.0
657.6
845.9
976.4
175.6
3,910.2
2009
1.7
32.7
94.9
135.7
195.6
305.2
484.1
670.3
869.5
1,031.0
174.7
3,995.5
2010
1.6
33.5
93.7
141.4
191.2
301.7
474.8
679.4
895.3
1,084.2
178.6
4,075.3
2011
1.3
33.3
91.1
145.3
188.4
299.1
462.0
685.7
924.1
1,118.0
203.3
4,151.5
2012
1.1
33.2
89.0
147.7
189.2
296.0
448.5
687.6
952.4
1,138.7
223.1
4,206.5
2013
1.1
33.2
87.9
148.1
193.0
291.4
436.0
687.8
976.5
1,168.2
224.6
4,247.9
2014
1.1
33.0
88.0
146.6
198.3
285.0
425.9
684.7
996.1
1,204.8
230.8
4,294.3
 
Female
1980
.4
7.9
24.2
36.2
40.5
49.4
76.7
134.4
237.3
326.3
...
933.4
1985
.2
8.0
25.9
43.8
55.4
60.9
72.8
113.0
195.9
302.2
...
877.9
1990
.4
9.3
33.7
62.7
86.9
105.2
117.1
142.7
207.9
290.7
...
1,056.5
1995
.5
14.2
48.3
95.5
146.6
188.0
224.4
255.2
306.0
357.8
...
1,636.3
1996
.5
12.8
49.0
97.0
155.6
205.5
246.3
284.4
334.3
377.7
...
1,763.0
1997
.5
12.0
47.7
95.6
158.9
217.3
260.8
311.7
364.3
396.9
...
1,865.7
1998
.5
12.2
46.8
94.9
164.6
230.9
279.7
338.3
397.9
422.4
...
1,988.0
1999
.5
13.1
45.9
93.0
168.8
243.3
299.7
366.9
429.8
445.3
...
2,106.3
2000
.6
14.8
44.8
92.4
169.0
251.8
317.5
395.8
455.0
470.8
...
2,212.7
2001
.7
17.8
47.4
95.3
170.0
261.9
337.9
421.6
493.6
504.4
...
2,350.6
2002
.7
21.4
52.2
98.2
171.6
271.9
359.1
443.8
535.8
548.7
...
2,503.5
2003
.7
23.1
57.4
102.2
173.1
282.7
380.6
470.0
574.7
596.2
16.6
2,677.3
2004
.6
23.4
63.0
106.1
173.1
291.8
400.1
499.9
621.0
641.1
35.6
2,855.7
2005
.9
23.9
68.3
108.2
177.5
295.1
416.1
527.2
667.5
677.9
57.0
3,019.6
2006
.9
23.4
71.7
109.9
181.4
293.1
427.1
551.3
699.5
726.5
82.8
3,167.6
2007
.9
23.0
73.8
113.6
183.9
289.9
434.3
572.2
721.7
778.6
116.1
3,307.8
2008
1.0
23.3
75.1
118.2
185.7
286.1
440.9
590.9
748.4
825.9
149.0
3,444.3
2009
1.3
24.7
76.0
124.6
186.9
283.7
446.0
609.1
780.7
881.2
149.2
3,563.5
2010
1.2
25.4
75.5
130.1
185.6
286.0
444.3
625.0
813.3
937.3
153.6
3,677.3
2011
.9
25.1
74.0
133.8
185.0
289.7
438.1
638.3
846.7
979.6
177.2
3,788.4
2012
.8
24.9
73.1
136.0
187.6
292.1
431.4
647.5
878.0
1,012.9
196.5
3,880.8
2013
.8
24.7
73.1
136.9
192.1
292.6
424.8
655.9
906.4
1,052.9
200.5
3,960.6
2014
.7
24.5
73.6
136.2
198.2
290.6
420.2
660.4
932.6
1,098.9
207.2
4,043.0
 
Total
1980
1.5
29.8
82.6
125.6
137.5
165.6
249.2
411.9
701.3
963.4
...
2,868.3
1985
.7
28.2
89.6
142.3
181.5
194.2
228.4
344.9
580.9
889.5
...
2,680.3
1990
1.3
29.4
105.6
195.2
260.9
312.6
331.2
397.7
584.4
836.2
...
3,054.5
1995
1.3
38.5
132.2
261.2
397.4
492.9
576.6
631.2
771.6
950.6
...
4,253.5
1996
1.3
34.1
130.0
257.5
410.4
524.5
618.8
687.4
821.6
981.7
...
4,467.3
1997
1.2
31.5
122.4
243.9
403.9
537.4
632.8
736.2
873.6
1,008.3
...
4,591.3
1998
1.2
31.4
116.9
236.4
407.6
561.2
664.4
787.1
933.9
1,049.4
...
4,789.6
1999
1.3
33.1
111.6
226.2
408.4
580.4
697.6
843.5
988.4
1,083.1
...
4,973.8
2000
1.5
36.8
106.6
219.2
399.2
591.2
727.3
899.8
1,031.9
1,122.8
...
5,136.4
2001
1.8
44.4
110.4
219.6
393.1
604.9
762.7
947.4
1,104.8
1,182.6
...
5,371.7
2002
2.0
53.4
119.2
220.8
388.1
616.8
802.2
984.0
1,191.7
1,266.4
...
5,644.4
2003
1.8
57.1
130.5
224.5
384.7
630.6
841.6
1,032.2
1,271.5
1,358.2
38.4
5,971.1
2004
1.5
57.3
142.7
228.5
379.1
640.6
875.9
1,084.6
1,367.7
1,443.7
82.2
6,303.9
2005
2.1
58.0
154.5
230.0
382.8
639.0
902.3
1,132.9
1,460.4
1,512.4
128.8
6,603.1
2006
2.1
56.4
162.3
231.7
385.2
627.0
917.6
1,176.2
1,517.7
1,606.8
184.8
6,867.9
2007
2.1
54.7
167.0
237.9
385.3
612.9
923.7
1,215.2
1,550.2
1,709.8
255.7
7,114.7
2008
2.4
54.8
169.5
247.3
384.1
599.0
927.9
1,248.5
1,594.2
1,802.3
324.6
7,354.5
2009
2.9
57.4
171.0
260.3
382.5
588.9
930.1
1,279.4
1,650.2
1,912.2
323.9
7,558.9
2010
2.8
58.8
169.2
271.5
376.8
587.7
919.1
1,304.4
1,708.6
2,021.6
332.2
7,752.7
2011
2.2
58.4
165.1
279.1
373.4
588.8
900.1
1,324.0
1,770.8
2,097.6
380.5
7,939.9
2012
1.9
58.1
162.0
283.7
376.8
588.1
879.9
1,335.1
1,830.4
2,151.6
419.6
8,087.2
2013
1.9
57.9
161.0
285.0
385.0
584.0
860.8
1,343.7
1,882.9
2,221.1
425.2
8,208.5
2014
1.8
57.5
161.6
282.8
396.4
575.6
846.0
1,345.0
1,928.7
2,303.7
438.0
8,337.3

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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