Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.E4.—Average Monthly Benefit to Minor Child Survivors of Deceased Workers In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1980-2014)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year
Benefit
increase
(percent)
In force
beginning of year
Accessions
during year
Terminations
during year
In force
end of year
Current-payment
status end of year
Number
Average
benefit
Awards
Conversions
Average
benefit
Number
Ratio to
average
benefit
in force
beginning
of year
Average
benefit
Number
Average
benefit
Ratio to
average
benefit
in force
end of
year
Average
benefit
1980
14.3
1,966.2
$201.48
227.1
34.7
$220.20
336.2
0.8499
$195.73
1,891.8
$235.04
1.0009
$235.25
1981
11.2
1,891.8
235.04
228.3
14.8
231.90
322.7
.8349
218.22
1,812.3
265.09
1.0024
265.73
1982
7.4
1,812.3
265.09
222.7
11.4
249.83
306.8
.7955
226.48
1,739.7
290.28
1.0040
291.44
1983
3.5
1,739.7
290.28
211.4
9.1
266.25
288.4
.8294
249.20
1,671.8
304.77
1.0078
307.16
1984
3.5
1,671.8
304.77
202.2
10.6
280.89
280.0
.8785
277.10
1,604.6
317.55
1.0100
320.73
1985
3.1
1,604.6
317.55
203.6
10.9
293.16
265.1
.8879
290.68
1,554.0
328.93
1.0112
332.61
1986
1.3
1,554.0
328.93
198.9
9.3
303.84
247.7
.9158
305.16
1,514.6
333.75
1.0154
338.90
1987
4.2
1,514.6
333.75
191.3
10.0
321.73
245.7
.9318
324.06
1,470.2
348.17
1.0165
353.92
1988
4.0
1,470.2
348.17
191.6
10.5
332.04
247.2
.9443
341.91
1,425.0
361.33
1.0183
367.96
1989
4.7
1,425.0
361.33
188.5
9.4
349.95
228.8
.9620
363.96
1,394.1
376.65
1.0204
384.34
1990
5.4
1,394.1
376.65
188.7
9.4
367.25
209.9
.9599
381.08
1,382.3
395.14
1.0219
403.80
1991
3.7
1,382.3
395.14
191.4
9.8
377.68
201.9
.9458
387.56
1,381.6
408.33
1.0212
416.98
1992
3.0
1,381.6
408.33
192.7
9.4
386.95
194.0
.9575
402.72
1,389.7
418.18
1.0226
427.64
1993
2.6
1,389.7
418.18
199.1
9.6
397.93
193.2
.9508
407.94
1,405.1
427.34
1.0225
436.96
1994
2.8
1,405.1
427.34
202.5
9.2
413.11
190.7
.9477
416.32
1,426.0
438.49
1.0234
448.73
1995
2.6
1,426.0
438.49
200.4
9.2
425.61
197.5
.9568
430.46
1,438.2
449.02
1.0240
459.79
1996
2.9
1,438.2
449.02
195.0
8.7
447.24
197.4
.8944
413.24
1,444.5
466.62
1.0249
478.23
1997
2.1
1,444.5
466.62
184.8
9.5
465.55
208.0
.9538
454.41
1,430.8
478.14
1.0250
490.09
1998
1.3
1,430.8
478.14
182.6
8.8
479.39
199.6
.9565
463.29
1,422.6
486.65
1.0252
498.93
1999
1 2.5
1,422.6
486.65
182.7
8.8
509.28
200.4
.9740
485.87
1,413.7
502.07
1.0257
514.96
2000
3.5
1,413.7
502.07
184.9
8.5
536.75
199.5
.9650
501.44
1,407.6
524.57
1.0261
538.27
2001
2.6
1,407.6
524.57
188.0
9.3
567.35
204.0
.9484
510.42
1,401.0
546.36
1.0229
558.86
2002
1.4
1,401.0
546.36
192.2
9.3
579.26
205.1
.9482
525.32
1,397.5
561.86
1.0196
572.86
2003
2.1
1,397.5
561.86
187.1
9.3
598.94
200.9
.9693
556.06
1,392.9
579.76
1.0201
591.42
2004
2.7
1,392.9
579.76
188.4
9.5
612.40
205.0
.9643
574.13
1,385.9
600.99
1.0210
613.60
2005
2.0
1,385.9
600.99
187.2
9.7
627.77
203.7
.9443
578.87
1,379.1
620.16
1.0210
633.17
2006
2.2
1,379.1
620.16
186.6
9.7
647.12
207.8
.9664
612.53
1,367.5
638.94
1.0210
652.35
2007
2.7
1,367.5
638.94
185.4
9.8
671.56
212.5
.9684
635.46
1,350.2
661.68
1.0210
675.57
2008
2.8
1,350.2
661.68
184.1
9.7
698.14
213.7
.9699
659.72
1,330.3
686.11
1.0210
700.51
2009
2.8
1,330.3
686.11
183.1
9.7
726.37
209.8
.9708
684.74
1,313.2
711.70
1.0210
726.63
2010
2.8
1,313.2
711.70
182.1
9.6
756.74
206.3
.9725
711.52
1,298.6
738.53
1.0210
754.03
2011
2.8
1,298.6
738.53
181.2
9.6
787.24
202.9
.9733
738.91
1,286.6
766.56
1.0210
782.65
2012
2.8
1,286.6
766.56
180.4
9.6
817.98
199.7
.9739
767.49
1,276.9
795.69
1.0210
812.39
2013
2.8
1,276.9
795.69
179.7
9.6
850.26
196.5
.9742
796.90
1,269.8
826.05
1.0210
843.38
2014
2.8
1,269.8
826.05
179.3
9.7
884.00
192.2
.9738
826.95
1,266.6
857.75
1.0210
875.75

1Benefit increase for 1999 was originally determined as 2.4 percent, but pursuant to Public Law 106-554 is effectively now 2.5 percent.

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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