Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.E5.—Average Monthly Benefit to Disabled Child Survivors of Deceased Workers In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1980-2014)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year
Benefit
increase
(percent)
In force
beginning of year
Accessions
during year
Terminations
during year
In force
end of year
Current-payment
status end of year
Number
Average
benefit
Awards
Conversions
Average
benefit
Number
Ratio to
average
benefit
in force
beginning
of year
Average
benefit
Number
Average
benefit
Ratio to
average
benefit
in force
end of year
Average
benefit
1980
14.3
267.2
$195.77
10.6
13.0
$229.10
12.4
0.8014
$179.32
278.4
$226.21
1.0007
$226.36
1981
11.2
278.4
226.21
9.7
12.8
250.13
9.8
.7573
190.51
291.1
253.49
1.0018
253.96
1982
7.4
291.1
253.49
9.7
11.0
267.53
9.2
.6020
163.89
302.6
275.21
1.0022
275.82
1983
3.5
302.6
275.21
11.2
11.0
288.55
9.5
.7699
219.31
315.4
287.08
1.0067
288.99
1984
3.5
315.4
287.08
12.6
11.7
300.30
9.2
.8132
241.62
330.5
298.90
1.0122
302.53
1985
3.1
330.5
298.90
12.9
10.8
310.24
9.0
.6986
215.29
345.2
310.73
1.0153
315.48
1986
1.3
345.2
310.73
13.4
10.3
318.74
8.5
.6973
219.50
360.4
317.28
1.0180
322.99
1987
4.2
360.4
317.28
12.0
10.5
326.60
8.6
.6983
230.86
374.4
332.65
1.0222
340.04
1988
4.0
374.4
332.65
11.3
11.5
342.20
10.8
.6316
218.51
386.4
349.30
1.0231
357.36
1989
4.7
386.4
349.30
10.8
11.7
366.29
9.1
.7960
291.13
399.8
367.45
1.0290
378.11
1990
5.4
399.8
367.45
11.1
11.4
391.58
10.0
.7550
292.41
412.2
389.83
1.0325
402.49
1991
3.7
412.2
389.83
11.6
11.5
403.10
10.1
.7250
293.09
425.1
406.83
1.0360
421.47
1992
3.0
425.1
406.83
13.7
11.7
415.06
9.9
.6991
292.95
440.6
421.65
1.0394
438.26
1993
2.6
440.6
421.65
13.7
11.9
425.88
10.2
.7201
311.53
456.0
434.95
1.0431
453.71
1994
2.8
456.0
434.95
12.5
12.4
442.70
10.9
.7337
328.05
470.0
449.66
1.0470
470.81
1995
2.6
470.0
449.66
11.9
12.6
464.49
11.0
.7836
361.53
483.5
463.78
1.0509
487.38
1996
2.9
483.5
463.78
11.0
12.6
481.66
11.3
.7930
378.44
495.8
479.69
1.0550
506.08
1997
2.1
495.8
479.69
10.6
12.8
492.48
12.0
.7946
389.19
507.1
492.28
1.0589
521.25
1998
1.3
507.1
492.28
10.9
13.2
502.27
13.1
.8127
405.27
518.0
501.21
1.0630
532.80
1999
1 2.5
518.0
501.21
11.4
13.6
519.33
14.7
.8903
457.40
528.3
515.57
1.0676
550.41
2000
3.5
528.3
515.57
11.5
14.5
539.44
17.1
.8839
471.67
537.2
535.88
1.0725
574.73
2001
2.6
537.2
535.88
11.8
14.5
566.57
16.1
.8792
483.40
547.3
552.56
1.0772
595.21
2002
1.4
547.3
552.56
12.7
13.1
560.10
19.8
.6968
390.44
553.3
566.38
1.0742
608.43
2003
2.1
553.3
566.38
12.9
15.2
564.68
19.0
.8490
490.97
562.4
580.54
1.0785
626.10
2004
2.7
562.4
580.54
14.0
15.5
564.33
20.1
.8657
516.12
571.7
597.39
1.0845
647.88
2005
2.0
571.7
597.39
13.4
15.2
578.49
19.8
.8103
493.73
580.6
611.75
1.0845
663.45
2006
2.2
580.6
611.75
13.3
15.4
596.33
20.2
.8208
513.15
589.1
627.64
1.0845
680.69
2007
2.7
589.1
627.64
13.3
15.7
618.84
20.6
.8276
533.43
597.5
647.17
1.0845
701.87
2008
2.8
597.5
647.17
13.4
15.9
643.34
21.0
.8344
555.09
605.8
668.05
1.0845
724.52
2009
2.8
605.8
668.05
13.4
16.0
669.35
21.4
.8415
577.89
613.8
689.71
1.0845
748.01
2010
2.8
613.8
689.71
13.4
16.1
697.34
21.8
.8496
602.36
621.5
712.20
1.0845
772.40
2011
2.8
621.5
712.20
13.4
16.2
725.45
22.2
.8556
626.40
628.9
735.56
1.0845
797.73
2012
2.8
628.9
735.56
13.3
16.3
753.78
22.6
.8603
650.52
635.9
759.79
1.0845
824.01
2013
2.8
635.9
759.79
13.2
16.4
783.52
22.9
.8654
675.90
642.5
784.93
1.0845
851.27
2014
2.8
642.5
784.93
13.1
16.5
814.61
23.3
.8707
702.59
648.7
811.01
1.0845
879.56

1Benefit increase for 1999 was originally determined as 2.4 percent, but pursuant to Public Law 106-554 is effectively now 2.5 percent.

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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