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Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios

Single-Year Tables

Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions

Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1950-2086


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1950   54,477   92,849   12,812   160,138   0.138   0.725
1951   56,429   94,102   13,287   163,817   .141   .741
1952   57,949   94,728   13,719   166,396   .145   .757
1953   59,621   95,217   14,168   169,007   .149   .775
1954   61,405   95,670   14,633   171,709   .153   .795
1955   63,257   96,190   15,074   174,521   .157   .814
1956   65,300   97,081   15,490   177,871   .160   .832
1957   67,394   97,990   15,931   181,314   .163   .850
1958   69,338   98,535   16,393   184,265   .166   .870
1959   71,207   99,127   16,851   187,185   .170   .888
1960   73,059   99,818   17,278   190,155   .173   .905
1961   74,846   100,632   17,675   193,152   .176   .919
1962   76,406   101,618   18,054   196,079   .178   .930
1963   77,693   102,743   18,404   198,840   .179   .935
1964   78,895   103,841   18,746   201,483   .181   .940
1965   79,997   104,881   19,073   203,951   .182   .945
1966   80,645   106,131   19,406   206,182   .183   .943
1967   80,725   107,807   19,766   208,299   .183   .932
1968   80,641   109,603   20,120   210,364   .184   .919
1969   80,690   111,304   20,488   212,482   .184   .909
1970   80,882   112,991   20,893   214,766   .185   .901
1971   80,974   114,707   21,333   217,014   .186   .892
1972   80,717   116,519   21,768   219,004   .187   .880
1973   80,154   118,424   22,209   220,787   .188   .864
1974   79,449   120,451   22,668   222,568   .188   .848
1975   78,664   122,574   23,176   224,414   .189   .831
1976   77,800   124,755   23,741   226,295   .190   .814
1977   76,946   127,050   24,307   228,303   .191   .797
1978   76,169   129,415   24,880   230,464   .192   .781
1979   75,479   131,794   25,535   232,808   .194   .766
1980   74,932   134,103   26,196   235,231   .195   .754
1981   74,462   136,358   26,785   237,605   .196   .743
1982   74,062   138,590   27,399   240,052   .198   .732
1983   73,720   140,777   27,983   242,480   .199   .722
1984   73,433   142,908   28,530   244,870   .200   .713
1985   73,342   144,853   29,121   247,315   .201   .707
1986   73,473   146,590   29,746   249,809   .203   .704
1987   73,749   148,234   30,342   252,324   .205   .702
1988   74,144   149,864   30,888   254,897   .206   .701
1989   74,611   151,586   31,415   257,612   .207   .699
1990   75,239   153,333   31,989   260,562   .209   .699
1991   76,036   155,019   32,589   263,644   .210   .701
1992   76,952   156,590   33,150   266,692   .212   .703
1993   77,984   158,021   33,640   269,645   .213   .706
1994   78,976   159,432   34,065   272,472   .214   .709
1995   79,856   160,870   34,450   275,176   .214   .711
1996   80,639   162,376   34,784   277,800   .214   .711
1997   81,295   164,040   35,066   280,401   .214   .709
1998   81,826   165,872   35,280   282,977   .213   .706
1999   82,234   167,870   35,450   285,554   .211   .701
2000   82,583   169,907   35,650   288,139   .210   .696
2001   82,957   171,898   35,875   290,731   .209   .691
2002   83,262   173,897   36,117   293,276   .208   .686
2003   83,561   175,862   36,409   295,832   .207   .682
2004   83,879   177,793   36,788   298,460   .207   .679
2005   84,158   179,763   37,231   301,152   .207   .675
2006   84,465   181,749   37,765   303,980   .208   .673
2007   84,820   183,635   38,487   306,943   .210   .671
2008 c   85,104   185,457   39,321   309,882   .212   .671
2009 c   85,205   187,215   40,130   312,551   .214   .669
2010 c   85,230   188,906   40,896   315,032   .216   .668

Intermediate:
2011   85,342   190,387   41,863   317,592   .220   .668
2012   85,551   191,465   43,206   320,222   .226   .672
2013   85,867   192,414   44,656   322,937   .232   .678
2014   86,285   193,403   46,063   325,751   .238   .684
2015   86,790   194,371   47,498   328,659   .244   .691
2016   87,361   195,270   48,976   331,607   .251   .698
2017   87,966   196,060   50,514   334,540   .258   .706
2018   88,579   196,750   52,128   337,457   .265   .715
2019   89,169   197,360   53,825   340,354   .273   .725
2020   89,723   197,924   55,582   343,228   .281   .734
2021   90,274   198,427   57,374   346,075   .289   .744
2022   90,846   198,836   59,209   348,891   .298   .755
2023   91,400   199,221   61,050   351,672   .306   .765
2024   91,921   199,613   62,878   354,412   .315   .775
2025   92,419   199,991   64,700   357,110   .324   .786
2026   92,866   200,427   66,469   359,762   .332   .795
2027   93,248   200,964   68,152   362,364   .339   .803
2028   93,629   201,529   69,757   364,914   .346   .811
2029   94,071   202,070   71,268   367,410   .353   .818
2030   94,500   202,741   72,609   369,850   .358   .824
2031   94,869   203,637   73,728   372,233   .362   .828
2032   95,226   204,657   74,678   374,561   .365   .830
2033   95,573   205,711   75,549   376,834   .367   .832
2034   95,909   206,719   76,424   379,052   .370   .834
2035   96,236   207,659   77,324   381,219   .372   .836
2036   96,556   208,639   78,145   383,340   .375   .837
2037   96,877   209,786   78,759   385,423   .375   .837
2038   97,200   211,108   79,161   387,468   .375   .835
2039   97,526   212,501   79,452   389,480   .374   .833
2040   97,857   213,901   79,702   391,459   .373   .830
2041   98,194   215,297   79,920   393,411   .371   .827
2042   98,540   216,647   80,150   395,337   .370   .825
2043   98,896   217,924   80,424   397,243   .369   .823
2044   99,262   219,099   80,770   399,130   .369   .822
2045   99,638   220,159   81,204   401,002   .369   .821
2046   100,024   221,160   81,678   402,863   .369   .822
2047   100,421   222,143   82,153   404,718   .370   .822
2048   100,827   223,127   82,614   406,568   .370   .822
2049   101,243   224,108   83,068   408,420   .371   .822
2050   101,665   225,058   83,552   410,275   .371   .823
2051   102,094   225,984   84,061   412,138   .372   .824
2052   102,525   226,898   84,589   414,013   .373   .825
2053   102,960   227,775   85,165   415,900   .374   .826
2054   103,394   228,573   85,835   417,802   .376   .828
2055   103,828   229,299   86,594   419,721   .378   .830
2056   104,255   230,027   87,375   421,657   .380   .833
2057   104,673   230,812   88,128   423,613   .382   .835
2058   105,080   231,662   88,845   425,588   .384   .837
2059   105,478   232,571   89,533   427,583   .385   .839
2060   105,867   233,529   90,201   429,597   .386   .840
2061   106,248   234,534   90,849   431,631   .387   .840
2062   106,622   235,572   91,487   433,681   .388   .841
2063   106,989   236,622   92,135   435,746   .389   .842
2064   107,352   237,656   92,815   437,823   .391   .842
2065   107,712   238,662   93,536   439,909   .392   .843
2066   108,069   239,672   94,260   442,001   .393   .844
2067   108,426   240,707   94,963   444,097   .395   .845
2068   108,783   241,735   95,676   446,194   .396   .846
2069   109,141   242,741   96,409   448,291   .397   .847
2070   109,502   243,734   97,151   450,387   .399   .848
2071   109,866   244,687   97,926   452,479   .400   .849
2072   110,234   245,588   98,744   454,567   .402   .851
2073   110,607   246,495   99,546   456,648   .404   .853
2074   110,984   247,465   100,273   458,722   .405   .854
2075   111,365   248,428   100,995   460,788   .407   .855
2076   111,751   249,341   101,754   462,846   .408   .856
2077   112,140   250,246   102,510   464,896   .410   .858
2078   112,533   251,142   103,265   466,940   .411   .859
2079   112,929   252,029   104,019   468,977   .413   .861
2080   113,326   252,907   104,778   471,011   .414   .862
2081   113,725   253,775   105,541   473,041   .416   .864
2082   114,125   254,634   106,310   475,069   .418   .866
2083   114,525   255,488   107,083   477,096   .419   .867
2084   114,923   256,338   107,861   479,123   .421   .869
2085   115,321   257,187   108,642   481,150   .422   .871
2086   115,716   258,036   109,425   483,177   .424   .873

Low-cost:
2011   85,415   190,513   41,859   317,787   .220   .668
2012   85,827   191,959   43,191   320,977   .225   .672
2013   86,401   193,351   44,620   324,372   .231   .678
2014   87,072   194,707   45,992   327,771   .236   .683
2015   87,829   195,967   47,381   331,176   .242   .690
2016   88,666   197,117   48,801   334,585   .248   .697
2017   89,571   198,153   50,274   337,998   .254   .706
2018   90,513   199,087   51,814   341,413   .260   .715
2019   91,465   199,937   53,429   344,830   .267   .725
2020   92,412   200,739   55,094   348,245   .274   .735
2021   93,387   201,479   56,788   351,654   .282   .745
2022   94,414   202,125   58,515   355,054   .290   .757
2023   95,454   202,745   60,240   358,438   .297   .768
2024   96,491   203,372   61,942   361,805   .305   .779
2025   97,537   203,983   63,631   365,150   .312   .790
2026   98,563   204,650   65,258   368,471   .319   .800
2027   99,557   205,417   66,790   371,763   .325   .810
2028   100,582   206,208   68,236   375,025   .331   .819
2029   101,703   206,972   69,581   378,256   .336   .828
2030   102,845   207,861   70,750   381,455   .340   .835
2031   103,949   208,984   71,692   384,624   .343   .840
2032   105,046   210,258   72,462   387,766   .345   .844
2033   106,132   211,603   73,149   390,884   .346   .847
2034   107,209   212,938   73,836   393,982   .347   .850
2035   108,282   214,240   74,544   397,067   .348   .853
2036   109,346   215,613   75,173   400,131   .349   .856
2037   110,393   217,182   75,596   403,171   .348   .856
2038   111,429   218,950   75,812   406,191   .346   .855
2039   112,457   220,818   75,922   409,197   .344   .853
2040   113,479   222,719   75,994   412,193   .341   .851
2041   114,500   224,644   76,041   415,185   .338   .848
2042   115,525   226,550   76,107   418,182   .336   .846
2043   116,557   228,408   76,222   421,188   .334   .844
2044   117,599   230,193   76,418   424,209   .332   .843
2045   118,652   231,890   76,709   427,251   .331   .842
2046   119,718   233,553   77,048   430,319   .330   .842
2047   120,798   235,223   77,400   433,421   .329   .843
2048   121,893   236,918   77,748   436,558   .328   .843
2049   123,002   238,636   78,099   439,737   .327   .843
2050   124,124   240,350   78,488   442,961   .327   .843
2051   125,255   242,068   78,911   446,233   .326   .843
2052   126,394   243,805   79,359   449,557   .326   .844
2053   127,535   245,540   79,859   452,935   .325   .845
2054   128,677   247,235   80,455   456,367   .325   .846
2055   129,814   248,900   81,140   459,854   .326   .848
2056   130,954   250,596   81,847   463,396   .327   .849
2057   132,105   252,361   82,526   466,993   .327   .850
2058   133,265   254,210   83,169   470,643   .327   .851
2059   134,432   256,136   83,779   474,346   .327   .852
2060   135,604   258,130   84,365   478,100   .327   .852
2061   136,781   260,194   84,926   481,902   .326   .852
2062   137,961   262,317   85,472   485,750   .326   .852
2063   139,143   264,478   86,021   489,641   .325   .851
2064   140,326   266,654   86,594   493,574   .325   .851
2065   141,510   268,834   87,200   497,544   .324   .851
2066   142,696   271,050   87,803   501,549   .324   .850
2067   143,883   273,325   88,380   505,588   .323   .850
2068   145,071   275,627   88,960   509,657   .323   .849
2069   146,261   277,942   89,553   513,757   .322   .848
2070   147,454   280,282   90,150   517,886   .322   .848
2071   148,649   282,622   90,772   522,043   .321   .847
2072   149,848   284,949   91,431   526,228   .321   .847
2073   151,050   287,319   92,071   530,440   .320   .846
2074   152,258   289,788   92,634   534,680   .320   .845
2075   153,471   292,288   93,190   538,949   .319   .844
2076   154,690   294,763   93,794   543,247   .318   .843
2077   155,916   297,237   94,422   547,576   .318   .842
2078   157,150   299,704   95,083   551,937   .317   .842
2079   158,392   302,162   95,779   556,332   .317   .841
2080   159,641   304,613   96,509   560,763   .317   .841
2081   160,898   307,059   97,273   565,230   .317   .841
2082   162,163   309,502   98,070   569,735   .317   .841
2083   163,435   311,944   98,898   574,277   .317   .841
2084   164,714   314,388   99,757   578,859   .317   .841
2085   165,999   316,836   100,644   583,479   .318   .842
2086   167,289   319,291   101,558   588,138   .318   .842

High-cost:
2011   85,287   190,298   41,868   317,452   .220   .668
2012   85,342   191,123   43,226   319,690   .226   .673
2013   85,434   191,710   44,701   321,845   .233   .679
2014   85,590   192,306   46,145   324,041   .240   .685
2015   85,807   192,887   47,629   326,323   .247   .692
2016   86,079   193,439   49,168   328,686   .254   .699
2017   86,388   193,956   50,780   331,124   .262   .707
2018   86,686   194,415   52,478   333,579   .270   .716
2019   86,932   194,794   54,270   335,996   .279   .725
2020   87,111   195,130   56,132   338,374   .288   .734
2021   87,259   195,407   58,040   340,706   .297   .744
2022   87,396   195,591   60,002   342,989   .307   .754
2023   87,489   195,751   61,980   345,219   .317   .764
2024   87,518   195,919   63,955   347,392   .326   .773
2025   87,496   196,074   65,935   349,505   .336   .783
2026   87,394   196,288   67,873   351,555   .346   .791
2027   87,198   196,606   69,733   353,538   .355   .798
2028   86,970   196,955   71,526   355,451   .363   .805
2029   86,773   197,284   73,234   357,291   .371   .811
2030   86,531   197,746   74,779   359,056   .378   .816
2031   86,209   198,426   76,108   360,743   .384   .818
2032   85,873   199,204   77,274   362,350   .388   .819
2033   85,526   199,985   78,364   363,875   .392   .820
2034   85,171   200,685   79,463   365,318   .396   .820
2035   84,806   201,281   80,590   366,677   .400   .822
2036   84,448   201,882   81,640   367,970   .404   .823
2037   84,112   202,622   82,480   369,214   .407   .822
2038   83,796   203,508   83,105   370,409   .408   .820
2039   83,500   204,440   83,616   371,555   .409   .817
2040   83,222   205,352   84,078   372,652   .409   .815
2041   82,963   206,234   84,503   373,700   .410   .812
2042   82,723   207,046   84,931   374,700   .410   .810
2043   82,502   207,759   85,394   375,655   .411   .808
2044   82,298   208,346   85,920   376,564   .412   .807
2045   82,110   208,794   86,524   377,428   .414   .808
2046   81,937   209,159   87,156   378,251   .417   .808
2047   81,777   209,483   87,778   379,038   .419   .809
2048   81,630   209,786   88,371   379,788   .421   .810
2049   81,496   210,065   88,945   380,506   .423   .811
2050   81,371   210,287   89,536   381,195   .426   .813
2051   81,256   210,460   90,143   381,859   .428   .814
2052   81,150   210,594   90,758   382,502   .431   .816
2053   81,052   210,662   91,413   383,127   .434   .819
2054   80,963   210,617   92,156   383,736   .438   .822
2055   80,883   210,464   92,984   384,332   .442   .826
2056   80,796   210,292   93,830   384,918   .446   .830
2057   80,685   210,165   94,646   385,496   .450   .834
2058   80,553   210,090   95,426   386,069   .454   .838
2059   80,402   210,061   96,177   386,639   .458   .841
2060   80,234   210,063   96,910   387,208   .461   .843
2061   80,053   210,095   97,627   387,774   .465   .846
2062   79,860   210,142   98,337   388,339   .468   .848
2063   79,658   210,179   99,063   388,900   .471   .850
2064   79,450   210,178   99,827   389,456   .475   .853
2065   79,240   210,125   100,638   390,003   .479   .856
2066   79,029   210,053   101,459   390,540   .483   .859
2067   78,819   209,980   102,265   391,065   .487   .862
2068   78,614   209,875   103,087   391,575   .491   .866
2069   78,414   209,720   103,936   392,070   .496   .869
2070   78,222   209,526   104,801   392,548   .500   .874
2071   78,038   209,264   105,705   393,006   .505   .878
2072   77,863   208,921   106,658   393,442   .511   .883
2073   77,698   208,555   107,601   393,853   .516   .888
2074   77,542   208,227   108,471   394,240   .521   .893
2075   77,395   207,864   109,341   394,600   .526   .898
2076   77,257   207,436   110,239   394,932   .531   .904
2077   77,126   207,002   111,107   395,235   .537   .909
2078   77,001   206,568   111,941   395,509   .542   .915
2079   76,881   206,135   112,740   395,756   .547   .920
2080   76,764   205,705   113,507   395,976   .552   .925
2081   76,650   205,276   114,244   396,170   .557   .930
2082   76,538   204,848   114,953   396,339   .561   .935
2083   76,426   204,422   115,636   396,483   .566   .940
2084   76,313   203,998   116,294   396,605   .570   .944
2085   76,199   203,579   116,927   396,705   .574   .949
2086   76,083   203,168   117,534   396,785   .579   .953

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.
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