Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2090


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,825   142,024   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,092   143,480   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,001   10,346   145,092   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,602   146,651   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,896   148,126   .124   .681
1946   49,573   89,094   11,225   149,892   .126   .682
1947   50,548   90,025   11,577   152,150   .129   .690
1948   51,671   90,877   11,951   154,498   .132   .700
1949   52,767   91,655   12,353   156,775   .135   .710
1950   53,902   92,382   12,769   159,052   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,017   94,779   13,722   166,518   .145   .757
1953   59,678   95,257   14,171   169,106   .149   .775
1954   61,456   95,699   14,636   171,790   .153   .795
1955   63,291   96,207   15,075   174,574   .157   .815
1956   65,231   96,725   15,491   177,447   .160   .835
1957   67,417   97,990   15,931   181,337   .163   .851
1958   69,362   98,535   16,392   184,289   .166   .870
1959   71,244   99,127   16,851   187,222   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,902   100,632   17,675   193,208   .176   .920
1962   76,458   101,618   18,053   196,128   .178   .930
1963   77,741   102,742   18,402   198,886   .179   .936
1964   78,941   103,840   18,744   201,525   .181   .941
1965   80,032   104,879   19,071   203,982   .182   .945
1966   80,683   106,129   19,403   206,215   .183   .943
1967   80,770   107,806   19,763   208,338   .183   .933
1968   80,702   109,601   20,117   210,420   .184   .920
1969   80,808   111,301   20,484   212,593   .184   .910
1970   81,047   113,000   20,901   214,948   .185   .902
1971   81,117   114,738   21,365   217,221   .186   .893
1972   80,839   116,568   21,825   219,232   .187   .881
1973   80,257   118,487   22,293   221,037   .188   .865
1974   79,530   120,524   22,779   222,833   .189   .849
1975   78,718   122,654   23,316   224,687   .190   .832
1976   77,829   124,836   23,911   226,576   .192   .815
1977   76,957   127,126   24,510   228,594   .193   .798
1978   76,142   129,482   25,116   230,741   .194   .782
1979   75,439   131,837   25,723   232,999   .195   .767
1980   74,851   134,104   26,308   235,263   .196   .754
1981   74,343   136,304   26,882   237,529   .197   .743
1982   73,909   138,482   27,479   239,870   .198   .732
1983   73,527   140,615   28,044   242,186   .199   .722
1984   73,203   142,687   28,571   244,461   .200   .713
1985   73,077   144,567   29,145   246,788   .202   .707
1986   73,171   146,235   29,752   249,158   .203   .704
1987   73,413   147,809   30,329   251,550   .205   .702
1988   73,774   149,367   30,858   253,999   .207   .701
1989   74,197   151,019   31,368   256,584   .208   .699
1990   74,823   152,753   31,935   259,510   .209   .699
1991   75,657   154,478   32,541   262,676   .211   .700
1992   76,604   156,098   33,108   265,811   .212   .703
1993   77,661   157,587   33,604   268,852   .213   .706
1994   78,672   159,056   34,038   271,766   .214   .709
1995   79,570   160,552   34,434   274,557   .214   .710
1996   80,376   162,116   34,780   277,271   .215   .710
1997   81,048   163,833   35,074   279,955   .214   .709
1998   81,601   165,717   35,304   282,622   .213   .705
1999   82,007   167,769   35,492   285,269   .212   .700
2000   82,387   170,000   35,693   288,080   .210   .695
2001   82,809   172,274   35,906   290,988   .208   .689
2002   83,156   174,416   36,136   293,708   .207   .684
2003   83,493   176,411   36,418   296,322   .206   .680
2004   83,864   178,353   36,792   299,009   .206   .676
2005   84,231   180,291   37,230   301,752   .207   .674
2006   84,646   182,133   37,759   304,538   .207   .672
2007   85,108   183,768   38,479   307,354   .209   .673
2008   85,476   185,245   39,337   310,058   .212   .674
2009   85,606   186,777   40,228   312,611   .215   .674
2010   85,469   188,448   41,094   315,012   .218   .672
2011   85,177   189,968   42,140   317,285   .222   .670
2012 c   84,951   191,124   43,574   319,650   .228   .672

Intermediate:
2013   84,888   192,181   45,121   322,190   .235   .676
2014   84,969   193,274   46,605   324,847   .241   .681
2015   85,181   194,297   48,107   327,585   .248   .686
2016   85,521   195,243   49,660   330,423   .254   .692
2017   85,960   196,125   51,279   333,364   .261   .700
2018   86,474   196,957   52,969   336,400   .269   .708
2019   87,027   197,756   54,736   339,519   .277   .717
2020   87,583   198,463   56,558   342,604   .285   .726
2021   88,185   199,037   58,420   345,643   .294   .737
2022   88,823   199,463   60,325   348,612   .302   .748
2023   89,432   199,832   62,232   351,496   .311   .759
2024   90,004   200,219   64,118   354,341   .320   .770
2025   90,549   200,598   65,995   357,142   .329   .780
2026   91,047   201,020   67,828   359,895   .337   .790
2027   91,485   201,529   69,582   362,595   .345   .799
2028   91,925   202,057   71,255   365,237   .353   .808
2029   92,441   202,550   72,823   367,814   .360   .816
2030   93,078   203,032   74,213   370,323   .366   .824
2031   93,800   203,566   75,394   372,760   .370   .831
2032   94,511   204,194   76,420   375,125   .374   .837
2033   95,169   204,878   77,371   377,418   .378   .842
2034   95,763   205,553   78,324   379,640   .381   .847
2035   96,285   206,211   79,300   381,795   .385   .851
2036   96,726   206,963   80,198   383,887   .387   .855
2037   97,081   207,959   80,878   385,918   .389   .856
2038   97,362   209,201   81,335   387,898   .389   .854
2039   97,586   210,571   81,680   389,837   .388   .851
2040   97,764   211,997   81,976   391,738   .387   .848
2041   97,914   213,444   82,247   393,605   .385   .844
2042   98,058   214,854   82,531   395,443   .384   .841
2043   98,216   216,191   82,851   397,258   .383   .838
2044   98,392   217,428   83,237   399,056   .383   .835
2045   98,589   218,563   83,691   400,844   .383   .834
2046   98,811   219,646   84,167   402,624   .383   .833
2047   99,061   220,702   84,642   404,405   .384   .832
2048   99,342   221,759   85,091   406,193   .384   .832
2049   99,658   222,815   85,517   407,990   .384   .831
2050   100,009   223,831   85,963   409,803   .384   .831
2051   100,395   224,802   86,436   411,634   .384   .831
2052   100,814   225,735   86,935   413,485   .385   .832
2053   101,263   226,596   87,497   415,356   .386   .833
2054   101,735   227,345   88,168   417,248   .388   .835
2055   102,226   227,988   88,946   419,160   .390   .839
2056   102,729   228,599   89,763   421,091   .393   .842
2057   103,241   229,245   90,554   423,040   .395   .845
2058   103,751   229,953   91,303   425,007   .397   .848
2059   104,252   230,727   92,010   426,989   .399   .851
2060   104,740   231,563   92,682   428,985   .400   .853
2061   105,216   232,443   93,336   430,994   .402   .854
2062   105,676   233,339   93,998   433,013   .403   .856
2063   106,120   234,236   94,684   435,040   .404   .857
2064   106,546   235,114   95,413   437,073   .406   .859
2065   106,954   235,981   96,175   439,110   .408   .861
2066   107,343   236,885   96,919   441,148   .409   .862
2067   107,714   237,837   97,634   443,186   .411   .863
2068   108,068   238,793   98,362   445,223   .412   .864
2069   108,405   239,737   99,115   447,258   .413   .866
2070   108,729   240,679   99,881   449,290   .415   .867
2071   109,042   241,602   100,674   451,319   .417   .868
2072   109,348   242,495   101,502   453,345   .419   .870
2073   109,649   243,415   102,302   455,366   .420   .871
2074   109,951   244,428   103,004   457,383   .421   .871
2075   110,255   245,573   103,567   459,396   .422   .871
2076   110,567   246,815   104,023   461,405   .421   .869
2077   110,888   248,062   104,460   463,410   .421   .868
2078   111,221   249,272   104,920   465,413   .421   .867
2079   111,567   250,433   105,415   467,415   .421   .866
2080   111,926   251,532   105,958   469,416   .421   .866
2081   112,300   252,559   106,560   471,419   .422   .867
2082   112,687   253,507   107,228   473,422   .423   .867
2083   113,085   254,382   107,960   475,427   .424   .869
2084   113,495   255,191   108,747   477,433   .426   .871
2085   113,913   255,949   109,580   479,442   .428   .873
2086   114,337   256,670   110,446   481,453   .430   .876
2087   114,765   257,377   111,324   483,466   .433   .878
2088   115,195   258,086   112,200   485,481   .435   .881
2089   115,624   258,802   113,071   487,497   .437   .884
2090   116,050   259,528   113,936   489,514   .439   .886

Low-cost:
2013   84,930   192,239   45,114   322,283   .235   .676
2014   85,108   193,460   46,578   325,146   .241   .681
2015   85,464   194,653   48,049   328,165   .247   .686
2016   85,987   195,803   49,558   331,348   .253   .692
2017   86,653   196,922   51,126   334,701   .260   .700
2018   87,435   198,025   52,757   338,217   .266   .708
2019   88,285   199,092   54,456   341,833   .274   .717
2020   89,168   200,065   56,204   345,437   .281   .727
2021   90,129   200,901   57,985   349,015   .289   .737
2022   91,157   201,587   59,803   352,547   .297   .749
2023   92,186   202,214   61,616   356,016   .305   .761
2024   93,211   202,857   63,402   359,470   .313   .772
2025   94,240   203,491   65,173   362,904   .320   .783
2026   95,254   204,166   66,893   366,313   .328   .794
2027   96,239   204,925   68,529   369,693   .334   .804
2028   97,258   205,702   70,078   373,037   .341   .813
2029   98,384   206,442   71,516   376,342   .346   .823
2030   99,662   207,168   72,771   379,601   .351   .832
2031   101,057   207,943   73,814   382,814   .355   .841
2032   102,473   208,806   74,699   385,979   .358   .849
2033   103,856   209,735   75,507   389,099   .360   .855
2034   105,183   210,681   76,313   392,177   .362   .861
2035   106,445   211,636   77,138   395,218   .364   .867
2036   107,632   212,713   77,885   398,230   .366   .872
2037   108,741   214,061   78,415   401,217   .366   .874
2038   109,768   215,684   78,726   404,179   .365   .874
2039   110,717   217,467   78,928   407,111   .363   .872
2040   111,602   219,336   79,084   410,022   .361   .869
2041   112,441   221,257   79,219   412,918   .358   .866
2042   113,262   223,172   79,372   415,806   .356   .863
2043   114,085   225,045   79,567   418,697   .354   .860
2044   114,917   226,849   79,832   421,598   .352   .858
2045   115,766   228,580   80,172   424,518   .351   .857
2046   116,636   230,288   80,541   427,465   .350   .856
2047   117,535   231,996   80,917   430,448   .349   .855
2048   118,467   233,730   81,278   433,475   .348   .855
2049   119,437   235,490   81,624   436,551   .347   .854
2050   120,449   237,234   82,000   439,683   .346   .853
2051   121,503   238,959   82,410   442,872   .345   .853
2052   122,597   240,672   82,854   446,123   .344   .854
2053   123,727   242,340   83,369   449,435   .344   .855
2054   124,886   243,925   83,997   452,809   .344   .856
2055   126,069   245,438   84,736   456,243   .345   .859
2056   127,266   246,952   85,518   459,735   .346   .862
2057   128,470   248,534   86,279   463,283   .347   .864
2058   129,684   250,199   87,001   466,884   .348   .866
2059   130,911   251,940   87,684   470,535   .348   .868
2060   132,147   253,755   88,332   474,233   .348   .869
2061   133,386   255,628   88,962   477,975   .348   .870
2062   134,624   257,536   89,596   481,757   .348   .871
2063   135,858   259,467   90,252   485,576   .348   .871
2064   137,082   261,403   90,944   489,429   .348   .872
2065   138,295   263,355   91,663   493,314   .348   .873
2066   139,493   265,373   92,361   497,228   .348   .874
2067   140,676   267,470   93,025   501,170   .348   .874
2068   141,841   269,604   93,695   505,140   .348   .874
2069   142,989   271,760   94,386   509,135   .347   .873
2070   144,121   273,952   95,083   513,156   .347   .873
2071   145,240   276,164   95,801   517,204   .347   .873
2072   146,348   278,383   96,548   521,279   .347   .873
2073   147,451   280,668   97,263   525,381   .347   .872
2074   148,551   283,082   97,879   529,511   .346   .871
2075   149,653   285,662   98,356   533,671   .344   .868
2076   150,762   288,374   98,727   537,863   .342   .865
2077   151,882   291,128   99,078   542,088   .340   .862
2078   153,015   293,870   99,463   546,348   .338   .859
2079   154,166   296,574   99,905   550,645   .337   .857
2080   155,337   299,226   100,418   554,981   .336   .855
2081   156,527   301,813   101,016   559,356   .335   .853
2082   157,739   304,328   101,706   563,773   .334   .853
2083   158,972   306,771   102,489   568,232   .334   .852
2084   160,224   309,153   103,357   572,733   .334   .853
2085   161,493   311,484   104,298   577,275   .335   .853
2086   162,779   313,780   105,301   581,860   .336   .854
2087   164,077   316,063   106,346   586,485   .336   .856
2088   165,386   318,350   107,416   591,151   .337   .857
2089   166,702   320,646   108,508   595,856   .338   .858
2090   168,023   322,955   109,620   600,598   .339   .860

High-cost:
2013   84,833   192,091   45,127   322,051   .235   .677
2014   84,776   192,962   46,629   324,367   .242   .681
2015   84,795   193,690   48,161   326,646   .249   .686
2016   84,887   194,274   49,753   328,914   .256   .693
2017   85,025   194,729   51,421   331,175   .264   .701
2018   85,166   195,036   53,167   333,368   .273   .709
2019   85,291   195,245   54,995   335,531   .282   .719
2020   85,422   195,441   56,887   337,750   .291   .728
2021   85,612   195,617   58,829   340,059   .301   .738
2022   85,850   195,757   60,824   342,432   .311   .749
2023   86,054   195,916   62,830   344,799   .321   .760
2024   86,187   196,095   64,822   347,104   .331   .770
2025   86,262   196,269   66,811   349,342   .340   .780
2026   86,261   196,485   68,764   351,510   .350   .789
2027   86,169   196,788   70,645   353,602   .359   .797
2028   86,052   197,111   72,452   355,615   .368   .804
2029   85,983   197,400   74,159   357,542   .376   .811
2030   86,006   197,681   75,694   359,381   .383   .818
2031   86,087   198,018   77,023   361,128   .389   .824
2032   86,127   198,452   78,201   362,780   .394   .828
2033   86,096   198,934   79,309   364,338   .399   .831
2034   86,000   199,381   80,421   365,802   .403   .835
2035   85,832   199,781   81,559   367,171   .408   .838
2036   85,584   200,244   82,620   368,448   .413   .840
2037   85,253   200,919   83,463   369,634   .415   .840
2038   84,866   201,803   84,079   370,748   .417   .837
2039   84,453   202,778   84,579   371,810   .417   .834
2040   84,028   203,767   85,027   372,822   .417   .830
2041   83,598   204,741   85,445   373,784   .417   .826
2042   83,182   205,646   85,872   374,700   .418   .822
2043   82,791   206,452   86,328   375,572   .418   .819
2044   82,427   207,133   86,844   376,404   .419   .817
2045   82,090   207,688   87,421   377,199   .421   .816
2046   81,781   208,169   88,010   377,959   .423   .816
2047   81,502   208,602   88,587   378,691   .425   .815
2048   81,254   209,015   89,128   379,397   .426   .815
2049   81,038   209,411   89,633   380,082   .428   .815
2050   80,856   209,746   90,146   380,748   .430   .815
2051   80,705   210,019   90,675   381,399   .432   .816
2052   80,585   210,233   91,219   382,036   .434   .817
2053   80,493   210,353   91,816   382,661   .436   .819
2054   80,425   210,336   92,514   383,275   .440   .822
2055   80,377   210,187   93,312   383,877   .444   .826
2056   80,348   209,977   94,143   384,468   .448   .831
2057   80,334   209,772   94,943   385,048   .453   .836
2058   80,316   209,609   95,694   385,620   .457   .840
2059   80,276   209,504   96,402   386,182   .460   .843
2060   80,213   209,448   97,074   386,735   .463   .846
2061   80,128   209,420   97,731   387,280   .467   .849
2062   80,024   209,392   98,400   387,815   .470   .852
2063   79,899   209,341   99,099   388,339   .473   .855
2064   79,756   209,247   99,848   388,851   .477   .858
2065   79,596   209,117   100,637   389,349   .481   .862
2066   79,420   208,998   101,414   389,832   .485   .865
2067   79,230   208,901   102,167   390,298   .489   .868
2068   79,028   208,780   102,938   390,747   .493   .872
2069   78,816   208,617   103,743   391,177   .497   .875
2070   78,598   208,424   104,566   391,587   .502   .879
2071   78,375   208,181   105,422   391,978   .506   .883
2072   78,152   207,877   106,319   392,348   .511   .887
2073   77,932   207,571   107,192   392,695   .516   .892
2074   77,717   207,332   107,971   393,020   .521   .896
2075   77,510   207,199   108,610   393,320   .524   .898
2076   77,315   207,139   109,143   393,596   .527   .900
2077   77,131   207,057   109,660   393,848   .530   .902
2078   76,960   206,925   110,189   394,075   .533   .904
2079   76,804   206,746   110,728   394,278   .536   .907
2080   76,660   206,512   111,285   394,457   .539   .910
2081   76,529   206,215   111,869   394,614   .542   .914
2082   76,410   205,854   112,484   394,748   .546   .918
2083   76,300   205,434   113,126   394,860   .551   .922
2084   76,199   204,971   113,780   394,951   .555   .927
2085   76,104   204,476   114,439   395,020   .560   .932
2086   76,014   203,961   115,093   395,069   .564   .937
2087   75,927   203,443   115,727   395,097   .569   .942
2088   75,840   202,937   116,329   395,106   .573   .947
2089   75,752   202,443   116,900   395,095   .577   .952
2090   75,661   201,964   117,438   395,064   .581   .956

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.