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Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios

Updated April 23, 2007

Historical Period Intermediate Assumptions Low Cost Assumptions High Cost Assumptions

Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios
Calendar Years 1950-2085


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged 1   Total 2

Historical data:
1950   54,466   92,841   12,811   160,118   0.138   0.725
1951   56,419   94,102   13,287   163,808   .141   .741
1952   57,923   94,727   13,719   166,368   .145   .756
1953   59,601   95,209   14,168   168,978   .149   .775
1954   61,398   95,656   14,632   171,687   .153   .795
1955   63,261   96,176   15,073   174,510   .157   .814
1956   65,313   97,075   15,490   177,878   .160   .832
1957   67,401   97,992   15,931   181,324   .163   .850
1958   69,374   98,538   16,393   184,305   .166   .870
1959   71,256   99,129   16,851   187,236   .170   .889
1960   73,076   99,818   17,278   190,172   .173   .905
1961   74,858   100,614   17,679   193,151   .176   .920
1962   76,444   101,576   18,062   196,082   .178   .930
1963   77,766   102,703   18,407   198,876   .179   .936
1964   78,997   103,796   18,746   201,539   .181   .942
1965   80,132   104,795   19,091   204,018   .182   .947
1966   80,743   106,116   19,422   206,281   .183   .944
1967   80,723   107,932   19,766   208,421   .183   .931
1968   80,616   109,755   20,123   210,494   .183   .918
1969   80,571   111,477   20,499   212,547   .184   .907
1970   80,684   113,158   20,923   214,765   .185   .898
1971   80,755   114,913   21,371   217,039   .186   .889
1972   80,502   116,784   21,819   219,105   .187   .876
1973   79,961   118,718   22,276   220,955   .188   .861
1974   79,247   120,742   22,767   222,755   .189   .845
1975   78,437   122,857   23,305   224,599   .190   .828
1976   77,576   125,054   23,871   226,501   .191   .811
1977   76,700   127,366   24,457   228,524   .192   .794
1978   75,884   129,750   25,053   230,687   .193   .778
1979   75,161   132,117   25,653   232,932   .194   .763
1980   74,568   134,428   26,237   235,233   .195   .750
1981   74,126   136,693   26,808   237,627   .196   .738
1982   73,788   138,891   27,425   240,104   .197   .729
1983   73,493   141,028   28,020   242,541   .199   .720
1984   73,249   143,096   28,578   244,922   .200   .712
1985   73,211   144,957   29,167   247,335   .201   .706
1986   73,393   146,603   29,805   249,800   .203   .704
1987   73,703   148,197   30,413   252,313   .205   .703
1988   74,099   149,840   30,954   254,892   .207   .701
1989   74,545   151,581   31,483   257,608   .208   .699
1990   75,060   153,368   32,029   260,458   .209   .698
1991   75,749   155,036   32,587   263,372   .210   .699
1992   76,690   156,522   33,130   266,342   .212   .702
1993   77,751   157,931   33,591   269,274   .213   .705
1994   78,740   159,370   33,971   272,081   .213   .707
1995   79,621   160,844   34,322   274,788   .213   .708
1996   80,434   162,460   34,620   277,514   .213   .708
1997   81,124   164,271   34,858   280,253   .212   .706
1998   81,710   166,165   35,027   282,902   .211   .703
1999   82,192   168,150   35,176   285,519   .209   .698
2000   82,619   170,240   35,425   288,284   .208   .693
2001   83,040   172,458   35,739   291,237   .207   .689
2002   83,391   174,713   36,073   294,176   .206   .684
2003   83,717   176,812   36,440   296,970   .206   .680
2004   84,077   178,902   36,809   299,788   .206   .676
2005   84,394   181,063   37,147   302,604   .205   .671
2006 3   84,642   183,066   37,516   305,225   .205   .667

Intermediate:
2007   84,884   184,837   38,043   307,765   .206   .665
2008   85,083   186,470   38,719   310,273   .208   .664
2009   85,190   188,162   39,402   312,754   .209   .662
2010   85,211   190,004   40,031   315,246   .211   .659
2011   85,217   191,670   40,863   317,749   .213   .658
2012   85,273   192,895   42,094   320,262   .218   .660
2013   85,406   193,932   43,445   322,783   .224   .664
2014   85,610   194,953   44,745   325,308   .230   .669
2015   85,877   195,886   46,070   327,833   .235   .674
2016   86,199   196,700   47,457   330,356   .241   .679
2017   86,540   197,382   48,927   332,848   .248   .686
2018   86,876   197,956   50,473   335,305   .255   .694
2019   87,201   198,448   52,096   337,746   .263   .702
2020   87,512   198,883   53,773   340,167   .270   .710
2021   87,845   199,220   55,498   342,564   .279   .720
2022   88,211   199,443   57,276   344,930   .287   .729
2023   88,560   199,640   59,060   347,261   .296   .739
2024   88,877   199,848   60,825   349,549   .304   .749
2025   89,218   199,997   62,577   351,792   .313   .759
2026   89,589   200,103   64,292   353,984   .321   .769
2027   89,930   200,227   65,940   356,096   .329   .778
2028   90,240   200,377   67,509   358,125   .337   .787
2029   90,525   200,599   68,971   360,095   .344   .795
2030   90,785   200,966   70,252   362,003   .350   .801
2031   91,019   201,499   71,331   363,850   .354   .806
2032   91,232   202,141   72,265   365,637   .357   .809
2033   91,428   202,814   73,125   367,368   .361   .811
2034   91,611   203,447   73,986   369,044   .364   .814
2035   91,782   204,011   74,874   370,667   .367   .817
2036   91,944   204,587   75,709   372,240   .370   .819
2037   92,100   205,310   76,356   373,766   .372   .820
2038   92,251   206,203   76,793   375,248   .372   .820
2039   92,402   207,163   77,125   376,690   .372   .818
2040   92,555   208,126   77,415   378,096   .372   .817
2041   92,712   209,071   77,686   379,469   .372   .815
2042   92,875   209,959   77,979   380,813   .371   .814
2043   93,048   210,775   78,310   382,133   .372   .813
2044   93,232   211,506   78,694   383,432   .372   .813
2045   93,428   212,145   79,140   384,712   .373   .813
2046   93,636   212,732   79,609   385,978   .374   .814
2047   93,858   213,299   80,077   387,235   .375   .815
2048   94,093   213,876   80,514   388,483   .376   .816
2049   94,339   214,473   80,914   389,726   .377   .817
2050   94,596   215,056   81,317   390,968   .378   .818
2051   94,861   215,616   81,735   392,211   .379   .819
2052   95,130   216,160   82,168   393,458   .380   .820
2053   95,401   216,660   82,649   394,710   .381   .822
2054   95,670   217,071   83,227   395,968   .383   .824
2055   95,937   217,392   83,905   397,234   .386   .827
2056   96,199   217,688   84,622   398,508   .389   .831
2057   96,456   218,018   85,318   399,792   .391   .834
2058   96,706   218,408   85,970   401,084   .394   .836
2059   96,949   218,857   86,579   402,385   .396   .839
2060   97,185   219,357   87,153   403,696   .397   .840
2061   97,413   219,905   87,695   405,014   .399   .842
2062   97,634   220,476   88,228   406,338   .400   .843
2063   97,848   221,051   88,769   407,668   .402   .844
2064   98,056   221,617   89,328   409,001   .403   .846
2065   98,260   222,171   89,904   410,335   .405   .847
2066   98,459   222,750   90,459   411,669   .406   .848
2067   98,656   223,363   90,982   413,001   .407   .849
2068   98,852   223,968   91,511   414,331   .409   .850
2069   99,048   224,551   92,058   415,657   .410   .851
2070   99,245   225,166   92,568   416,979   .411   .852
2071   99,445   225,815   93,036   418,296   .412   .852
2072   99,647   226,456   93,504   419,607   .413   .853
2073   99,854   227,083   93,974   420,911   .414   .854
2074   100,064   227,695   94,450   422,209   .415   .854
2075   100,279   228,289   94,932   423,499   .416   .855
2076   100,499   228,864   95,420   424,783   .417   .856
2077   100,723   229,421   95,915   426,060   .418   .857
2078   100,951   229,962   96,417   427,330   .419   .858
2079   101,183   230,488   96,924   428,596   .421   .860
2080   101,418   231,000   97,438   429,857   .422   .861
2081   101,655   231,501   97,959   431,115   .423   .862
2082   101,894   231,991   98,485   432,371   .425   .864
2083   102,133   232,474   99,017   433,625   .426   .865
2084   102,373   232,951   99,554   434,878   .427   .867
2085   102,612   233,426   100,094   436,131   .429   .868

Low Cost:
2007   84,947   184,924   38,042   307,912   .206   .665
2008   85,279   186,748   38,710   310,737   .207   .664
2009   85,568   188,708   39,380   313,656   .209   .662
2010   85,798   190,821   39,988   316,607   .210   .659
2011   86,042   192,760   40,791   319,594   .212   .658
2012   86,367   194,262   41,987   322,615   .216   .661
2013   86,797   195,577   43,295   325,669   .221   .665
2014   87,329   196,879   44,546   328,754   .226   .670
2015   87,956   198,095   45,816   331,867   .231   .675
2016   88,671   199,192   47,142   335,005   .237   .682
2017   89,434   200,161   48,544   338,140   .243   .689
2018   90,225   201,023   50,018   341,266   .249   .698
2019   91,036   201,807   51,561   344,405   .255   .707
2020   91,863   202,536   53,152   347,551   .262   .716
2021   92,744   203,170   54,785   350,699   .270   .726
2022   93,687   203,693   56,464   353,844   .277   .737
2023   94,645   204,192   58,142   356,978   .285   .748
2024   95,600   204,705   59,793   360,098   .292   .759
2025   96,611   205,160   61,425   363,196   .299   .770
2026   97,684   205,572   63,014   366,271   .307   .782
2027   98,750   206,015   64,528   369,293   .313   .793
2028   99,793   206,510   65,958   372,260   .319   .803
2029   100,817   207,106   67,275   375,198   .325   .812
2030   101,823   207,876   68,407   378,106   .329   .819
2031   102,811   208,842   69,335   380,988   .332   .824
2032   103,772   209,946   70,114   383,833   .334   .828
2033   104,699   211,113   70,819   386,632   .335   .831
2034   105,597   212,271   71,522   389,390   .337   .834
2035   106,471   213,392   72,250   392,112   .339   .838
2036   107,323   214,554   72,926   394,804   .340   .840
2037   108,159   215,893   73,418   397,470   .340   .841
2038   108,985   217,427   73,706   400,118   .339   .840
2039   109,804   219,055   73,895   402,753   .337   .839
2040   110,622   220,712   74,049   405,383   .335   .837
2041   111,443   222,379   74,192   408,013   .334   .835
2042   112,271   224,014   74,365   410,650   .332   .833
2043   113,110   225,604   74,585   413,300   .331   .832
2044   113,964   227,135   74,867   415,966   .330   .831
2045   114,835   228,599   75,221   418,655   .329   .831
2046   115,723   230,038   75,609   421,370   .329   .832
2047   116,628   231,482   76,007   424,116   .328   .832
2048   117,549   232,960   76,386   426,896   .328   .832
2049   118,485   234,487   76,741   429,713   .327   .833
2050   119,431   236,028   77,109   432,569   .327   .833
2051   120,384   237,580   77,502   435,466   .326   .833
2052   121,352   239,137   77,917   438,406   .326   .833
2053   122,342   240,660   78,386   441,388   .326   .834
2054   123,350   242,108   78,954   444,412   .326   .836
2055   124,371   243,483   79,624   447,478   .327   .838
2056   125,402   244,851   80,332   450,585   .328   .840
2057   126,439   246,274   81,019   453,732   .329   .842
2058   127,479   247,778   81,662   456,918   .330   .844
2059   128,518   249,364   82,260   460,142   .330   .845
2060   129,555   251,029   82,819   463,402   .330   .846
2061   130,587   252,768   83,341   466,696   .330   .846
2062   131,613   254,560   83,849   470,023   .329   .846
2063   132,633   256,387   84,360   473,380   .329   .846
2064   133,646   258,238   84,882   476,766   .329   .846
2065   134,653   260,110   85,415   480,178   .328   .846
2066   135,653   262,041   85,922   483,616   .328   .846
2067   136,649   264,038   86,391   487,078   .327   .845
2068   137,641   266,062   86,861   490,565   .326   .844
2069   138,632   268,100   87,343   494,075   .326   .843
2070   139,623   270,203   87,784   497,610   .325   .842
2071   140,616   272,375   88,179   501,170   .324   .840
2072   141,613   274,562   88,580   504,755   .323   .838
2073   142,617   276,746   89,002   508,366   .322   .837
2074   143,628   278,923   89,452   512,002   .321   .836
2075   144,649   281,086   89,931   515,667   .320   .835
2076   145,681   283,234   90,443   519,358   .319   .834
2077   146,723   285,369   90,987   523,079   .319   .833
2078   147,777   287,490   91,563   526,830   .318   .833
2079   148,841   289,599   92,171   530,612   .318   .832
2080   149,917   291,697   92,811   534,425   .318   .832
2081   151,002   293,786   93,482   538,270   .318   .832
2082   152,097   295,866   94,185   542,148   .318   .832
2083   153,200   297,942   94,917   546,059   .319   .833
2084   154,311   300,015   95,676   550,002   .319   .833
2085   155,428   302,087   96,462   553,977   .319   .834

High Cost:
2007   84,813   184,726   38,043   307,582   .206   .665
2008   84,887   186,184   38,728   309,800   .208   .664
2009   84,843   187,695   39,429   311,967   .210   .662
2010   84,687   189,356   40,086   314,129   .212   .659
2011   84,489   190,838   40,955   316,282   .215   .657
2012   84,315   191,880   42,231   318,426   .220   .660
2013   84,187   192,734   43,636   320,557   .226   .663
2014   84,102   193,571   44,997   322,671   .232   .667
2015   84,051   194,321   46,391   324,764   .239   .671
2016   84,027   194,951   47,855   326,833   .245   .676
2017   83,992   195,449   49,409   328,850   .253   .683
2018   83,924   195,837   51,049   330,809   .261   .689
2019   83,816   196,142   52,774   332,732   .269   .696
2020   83,666   196,387   54,561   334,614   .278   .704
2021   83,512   196,532   56,406   336,450   .287   .712
2022   83,362   196,561   58,313   338,236   .297   .721
2023   83,169   196,560   60,236   339,965   .306   .730
2024   82,916   196,569   62,149   341,633   .316   .738
2025   82,659   196,518   64,059   343,235   .326   .747
2026   82,403   196,421   65,942   344,766   .336   .755
2027   82,110   196,345   67,767   346,222   .345   .763
2028   81,791   196,286   69,522   347,599   .354   .771
2029   81,444   196,271   71,179   348,894   .363   .778
2030   81,069   196,374   72,663   350,105   .370   .783
2031   80,665   196,616   73,949   351,229   .376   .786
2032   80,247   196,939   75,094   352,280   .381   .789
2033   79,832   197,266   76,172   353,271   .386   .791
2034   79,423   197,523   77,255   354,201   .391   .793
2035   79,020   197,682   78,370   355,072   .396   .796
2036   78,624   197,823   79,435   355,882   .402   .799
2037   78,236   198,086   80,310   356,633   .405   .800
2038   77,857   198,495   80,972   357,325   .408   .800
2039   77,489   198,946   81,525   357,960   .410   .799
2040   77,131   199,375   82,033   358,539   .411   .798
2041   76,785   199,762   82,516   359,064   .413   .797
2042   76,453   200,066   83,017   359,536   .415   .797
2043   76,135   200,273   83,550   359,958   .417   .797
2044   75,833   200,371   84,129   360,333   .420   .798
2045   75,548   200,350   84,763   360,660   .423   .800
2046   75,279   200,255   85,411   360,945   .427   .802
2047   75,029   200,116   86,047   361,192   .430   .805
2048   74,796   199,963   86,641   361,400   .433   .807
2049   74,580   199,810   87,184   361,574   .436   .810
2050   74,381   199,616   87,720   361,717   .439   .812
2051   74,199   199,373   88,261   361,833   .443   .815
2052   74,019   199,099   88,807   361,926   .446   .818
2053   73,826   198,775   89,396   361,997   .450   .821
2054   73,621   198,352   90,078   362,051   .454   .825
2055   73,402   197,827   90,859   362,088   .459   .830
2056   73,172   197,263   91,675   362,111   .465   .836
2057   72,931   196,722   92,470   362,122   .470   .841
2058   72,679   196,225   93,219   362,123   .475   .845
2059   72,418   195,771   93,926   362,115   .480   .850
2060   72,150   195,351   94,599   362,099   .484   .854
2061   71,875   194,959   95,242   362,076   .489   .857
2062   71,595   194,570   95,879   362,045   .493   .861
2063   71,313   194,163   96,529   362,005   .497   .864
2064   71,029   193,723   97,203   361,955   .502   .868
2065   70,747   193,249   97,899   361,894   .507   .873
2066   70,466   192,775   98,579   361,820   .511   .877
2067   70,190   192,311   99,232   361,733   .516   .881
2068   69,919   191,815   99,896   361,630   .521   .885
2069   69,654   191,270   100,586   361,511   .526   .890
2070   69,397   190,733   101,245   361,375   .531   .895
2071   69,148   190,206   101,867   361,221   .536   .899
2072   68,906   189,657   102,483   361,046   .540   .904
2073   68,672   189,096   103,082   360,849   .545   .908
2074   68,445   188,522   103,663   360,631   .550   .913
2075   68,225   187,936   104,227   360,389   .555   .918
2076   68,011   187,337   104,774   360,122   .559   .922
2077   67,802   186,727   105,302   359,832   .564   .927
2078   67,598   186,108   105,811   359,517   .569   .932
2079   67,398   185,482   106,299   359,179   .573   .936
2080   67,200   184,852   106,766   358,818   .578   .941
2081   67,004   184,218   107,213   358,436   .582   .946
2082   66,810   183,583   107,641   358,034   .586   .950
2083   66,616   182,949   108,047   357,612   .591   .955
2084   66,421   182,320   108,431   357,172   .595   .959
2085   66,225   181,696   108,795   356,715   .599   .963

1 Population aged 65 and over, divided by population aged 20-64.
2 Sum of population aged 65 and over, and population under age 20, divided by population aged 20-64.
3 Preliminary or estimated.
Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.

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