Coping with the Demographic Challenge: Fewer Children and Living Longer

by Gayle L. Reznik, Dave Shoffner, and David A. Weaver
Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 66 No. 4, 2005/2006

Table equivalent for Chart 1. Fertility rates, selected years 1946–2030
Year	Number of children
Historical
1946	2.86
1964	3.17
1970	2.43
1980	1.82
1990	2.07
2000	2.06
Projected ^a
2010	2.03
2020	2.01
2030	2.00
SOURCE: Board of Trustees (2006, Table V.A1).
a. Projected using the intermediate assumptions in the 2006 annual report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.

Table equivalent for Chart 2. Unisex cohort life expectancy at age 65, selected years 1960–2060
Year	Years of increased life expectancy
Historical
1960	15.5
1980	16.9
2000	18.0
Projected ^a
2005	18.3
2020	19.2
2040	20.4
2060	21.4
SOURCE: Bell and Miller (2004).
a. Projected using the intermediate assumptions in the 2004 annual report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.

Table equvialent for Chart 3. Worker-to-beneficiary ratio, selected years 1960–2060
Year	Ratio
Historical
1960	5.1
1980	3.2
2000	3.4
2005	3.3
Projected ^a
2020	2.6
2040	2.1
2060	2.0
SOURCE: Board of Trustees (2006, Table IV.B2).
a. Projected using the intermediate assumptions in the 2006 annual report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.