Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A11—DI Disabled Worker Termination Rates Due to Death
(Deaths per thousand beneficiaries, by age and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA 1
  Total
Male
1975
73.76
35.45
26.40
28.80
34.74
42.10
52.41
61.48
69.05
73.60
67.10
61.86
1980
92.55
35.69
23.20
21.31
25.94
34.14
42.02
52.44
58.71
63.23
58.73
51.90
1985
58.74
27.00
22.16
24.16
26.19
34.09
45.65
54.84
63.16
66.63
74.63
54.12
1990
28.38
28.36
33.24
35.50
36.49
35.16
40.12
48.91
56.86
63.51
74.48
50.21
1991
28.68
29.03
36.50
38.81
39.80
37.97
41.39
48.49
55.48
63.25
72.83
50.47
1992
31.08
22.45
34.80
40.96
39.59
38.63
40.41
47.13
54.16
61.10
79.32
49.31
1993
31.46
21.15
32.57
42.42
41.24
39.53
39.94
46.71
53.72
60.71
79.83
48.97
1994
43.98
20.79
30.50
44.32
40.89
39.94
39.25
45.66
51.52
58.49
76.26
47.64
1995
44.02
20.35
28.04
42.02
40.65
38.68
38.08
43.46
49.47
55.96
72.21
45.71
1996
34.48
20.22
22.55
32.99
32.68
32.64
35.13
39.71
46.64
55.27
69.13
41.93
1997
33.79
19.98
17.07
20.97
22.86
25.43
29.89
36.64
44.67
52.16
68.57
37.30
1998
20.04
21.09
15.81
18.90
21.34
24.83
30.44
36.12
44.70
52.33
65.79
37.23
1999
27.56
17.16
15.49
18.09
20.55
24.36
30.32
36.09
44.05
51.63
64.94
36.90
2000
21.22
16.77
14.87
17.10
20.40
24.31
30.46
35.99
43.19
50.04
62.59
36.42
2001
20.77
16.60
14.67
16.91
20.18
24.05
30.12
35.60
42.68
49.46
61.87
36.24
2002
20.68
16.48
14.63
16.95
20.17
24.05
30.11
35.56
42.56
49.40
61.83
36.48
2003
20.76
16.41
14.61
16.98
20.16
24.06
30.11
35.54
42.49
49.36
60.57
36.88
2004
20.75
16.36
14.59
16.96
20.13
24.04
30.10
35.49
42.48
49.36
58.76
37.22
2005
20.75
16.32
14.56
16.88
20.11
24.05
30.10
35.47
42.58
49.41
57.45
37.59
2006
20.80
16.30
14.55
16.80
20.08
24.05
30.08
35.43
42.58
49.34
56.34
37.93
2007
20.79
16.29
14.54
16.73
20.08
24.06
30.07
35.41
42.51
49.22
55.10
38.26
2008
20.65
16.26
14.52
16.67
20.05
24.00
30.02
35.34
42.40
49.08
54.74
38.51
2009
20.45
16.21
14.48
16.59
19.98
23.88
29.94
35.23
42.24
48.95
61.67
39.08
2010
20.25
16.16
14.42
16.50
19.87
23.73
29.82
35.08
42.04
48.83
60.99
39.08
Female
1975
70.09
37.28
30.85
34.09
35.46
41.34
47.78
47.76
47.08
44.81
40.31
44.85
1980
75.76
38.34
23.75
24.93
27.15
33.84
38.86
42.24
41.39
40.36
46.48
39.09
1985
16.81
27.48
21.49
21.49
27.45
32.64
42.06
44.66
47.06
45.74
47.25
41.79
1990
23.58
25.82
19.49
20.65
22.74
27.58
34.48
40.38
43.08
45.97
46.86
37.55
1991
23.33
25.70
21.25
22.26
23.00
27.81
34.14
40.56
43.44
45.54
48.28
37.46
1992
30.01
23.40
19.55
21.16
23.57
27.34
31.68
38.15
40.38
44.58
51.44
35.74
1993
33.38
18.21
19.33
19.60
22.14
25.81
31.24
36.34
39.83
44.22
53.48
34.62
1994
34.65
16.69
17.74
20.40
21.54
25.13
30.19
35.10
39.16
42.40
54.20
33.49
1995
15.82
18.40
16.98
19.38
21.23
23.63
28.15
32.65
37.46
41.17
50.07
31.86
1996
28.35
16.34
16.33
17.85
19.36
22.03
26.66
30.96
35.30
39.93
47.00
30.24
1997
31.20
16.86
14.38
15.24
17.36
20.34
24.23
29.77
34.09
38.53
46.35
28.73
1998
25.18
17.06
12.95
14.57
16.90
19.75
24.02
28.88
32.96
37.95
45.82
28.18
1999
40.27
19.31
13.57
14.67
16.14
19.05
23.82
28.48
32.30
37.49
45.16
27.86
2000
17.24
15.59
14.10
14.08
15.90
19.69
23.12
28.11
31.83
36.82
44.42
27.57
2001
17.17
15.47
14.02
13.97
15.80
19.55
22.95
27.91
31.61
36.55
44.09
27.52
2002
17.29
15.58
14.12
14.06
15.92
19.68
23.10
28.05
31.77
36.76
44.37
27.87
2003
17.36
15.66
14.20
14.14
15.99
19.79
23.22
28.18
31.89
36.94
43.69
28.26
2004
17.49
15.75
14.28
14.25
16.05
19.91
23.36
28.34
32.08
37.18
42.64
28.66
2005
17.63
15.79
14.32
14.28
16.06
19.98
23.44
28.42
32.23
37.31
41.77
28.98
2006
17.75
15.88
14.40
14.35
16.17
20.14
23.60
28.61
32.48
37.53
41.27
29.40
2007
17.61
15.79
14.31
14.24
16.11
20.04
23.47
28.45
32.27
37.28
40.07
29.46
2008
17.25
15.58
14.11
14.04
15.92
19.76
23.16
28.08
31.82
36.77
39.34
29.28
2009
16.98
15.44
13.98
13.91
15.79
19.56
22.97
27.84
31.54
36.48
44.10
29.50
2010
17.02
15.47
14.01
13.95
15.80
19.57
23.04
27.92
31.62
36.61
44.03
29.70
Total
1975
73.01
35.87
27.47
30.21
34.93
41.89
51.06
57.18
61.84
64.43
59.08
56.63
1980
87.91
36.38
23.36
22.34
26.29
34.05
41.05
49.15
52.90
55.55
54.66
47.76
1985
47.88
27.14
21.97
23.35
26.57
33.64
44.52
51.55
57.77
59.60
65.27
50.11
1990
26.82
27.56
28.93
30.81
31.98
32.64
38.16
45.89
52.01
57.47
64.87
45.88
1991
26.95
27.95
31.62
33.48
34.19
34.54
38.81
45.62
51.17
57.09
64.32
45.95
1992
30.69
22.77
29.79
34.47
34.17
34.72
37.25
43.80
49.12
55.27
69.60
44.50
1993
32.13
20.12
28.09
34.76
34.69
34.67
36.74
42.77
48.54
54.79
70.55
43.79
1994
40.63
19.33
26.07
36.06
34.10
34.56
35.85
41.56
46.80
52.62
68.31
42.42
1995
33.39
19.64
24.07
33.94
33.65
33.05
34.28
39.16
44.77
50.46
64.16
40.47
1996
32.08
18.77
20.24
27.41
27.74
28.56
31.81
36.14
42.09
49.44
60.93
37.39
1997
32.81
18.80
16.05
18.78
20.76
23.43
27.61
33.79
40.31
46.85
60.21
33.89
1998
21.88
19.54
14.68
17.19
19.58
22.76
27.77
33.04
39.75
46.60
58.12
33.52
1999
32.26
18.00
14.71
16.71
18.75
22.17
27.56
32.82
38.99
45.87
57.19
33.12
2000
19.70
16.30
14.55
15.85
18.52
22.36
27.29
32.55
38.22
44.54
55.34
32.65
2001
19.38
16.15
14.40
15.65
18.32
22.13
26.98
32.21
37.77
43.99
54.61
32.47
2002
19.37
16.12
14.41
15.69
18.32
22.15
27.01
32.21
37.73
43.97
54.55
32.70
2003
19.45
16.11
14.43
15.72
18.32
22.18
27.05
32.21
37.71
43.96
53.43
33.06
2004
19.50
16.11
14.46
15.74
18.30
22.20
27.07
32.23
37.76
44.01
51.89
33.39
2005
19.56
16.11
14.46
15.70
18.27
22.21
27.08
32.23
37.85
44.05
50.69
33.71
2006
19.64
16.13
14.49
15.68
18.28
22.27
27.12
32.28
37.93
44.07
49.80
34.06
2007
19.58
16.09
14.44
15.59
18.23
22.20
27.03
32.18
37.75
43.85
48.51
34.23
2008
19.36
15.99
14.35
15.46
18.10
22.02
26.83
31.95
37.45
43.51
47.94
34.26
2009
19.14
15.90
14.27
15.36
17.98
21.84
26.67
31.76
37.20
43.28
53.85
34.64
2010
19.04
15.89
14.25
15.32
17.92
21.75
26.62
31.70
37.10
43.24
53.41
34.71

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

Sources:

· Historical rates computed as the ratio of (a) age-specific death terminations, to (b) exposure of disabled worker in force population.

· Future rates projected by historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001