Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A14—DI Disabled Worker Total Terminations
(By calendar age terminated and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA1
  Conversion
at NRA
  Total
Male
1975
0.1
2.7
5.3
5.0
5.6
7.8
12.2
19.4
29.3
43.9
5.2
110.5
246.9
1980
.1
1.8
4.9
7.3
9.6
12.4
17.6
25.9
38.8
45.6
4.8
135.7
304.5
1985
(2)
1.0
3.3
4.6
5.2
6.2
8.5
14.2
26.1
42.9
5.5
124.0
241.5
1990
(2)
.9
4.4
7.8
9.6
10.2
11.0
14.5
23.4
39.6
4.7
115.1
241.2
1991
(2)
.9
4.2
7.9
10.2
11.0
11.8
14.9
23.3
39.3
4.6
113.9
242.0
1992
(2)
1.0
4.3
8.8
11.0
12.0
12.9
15.8
23.4
39.0
6.1
115.6
249.9
1993
(2)
1.0
4.2
9.5
12.3
13.3
13.9
17.1
24.4
38.8
6.2
114.4
255.2
1994
(2)
1.1
4.5
11.0
13.9
15.0
15.7
18.3
24.5
38.2
5.8
112.3
260.4
1995
(2)
1.3
5.3
11.9
15.9
17.1
17.4
19.1
24.8
37.4
5.9
117.5
273.7
1996
(2)
1.2
4.9
10.5
14.6
16.1
17.6
18.9
24.5
37.7
5.6
116.8
268.4
1997
(2)
1.2
5.9
12.0
19.6
24.5
25.8
24.7
27.6
37.6
6.1
120.4
305.4
1998
(2)
1.0
3.9
7.0
10.8
13.9
16.3
19.0
25.3
36.6
5.6
117.5
257.1
1999
(2)
.9
3.9
7.1
11.0
14.9
17.8
21.2
27.3
37.5
5.9
124.0
271.6
2000
(2)
.9
4.0
7.8
12.6
16.7
19.7
23.4
27.9
37.4
6.4
125.6
282.6
2001
(2)
.9
3.2
6.3
10.3
14.7
18.5
22.7
28.2
37.2
5.7
125.5
273.1
2002
(2)
.9
3.0
5.7
9.4
14.1
18.6
22.7
29.6
38.9
5.8
129.3
278.1
2003
(2)
.9
2.9
5.1
8.5
13.4
18.5
22.9
30.7
40.9
8.0
113.2
265.2
2004
(2)
.9
3.1
5.0
8.2
13.3
18.9
23.6
32.4
42.9
10.1
116.2
274.6
2005
(2)
.9
3.2
4.8
7.9
12.9
19.0
24.3
34.4
44.7
12.6
120.5
285.1
2006
(2)
.9
3.3
4.6
7.7
12.4
19.1
24.9
35.5
47.2
15.4
126.0
297.0
2007
(2)
.9
3.4
4.6
7.4
11.8
19.0
25.6
35.8
49.8
19.0
133.4
310.8
2008
(2)
.9
3.5
4.7
7.3
11.4
18.9
26.2
36.7
52.1
22.5
143.9
328.1
2009
(2)
.9
3.6
4.9
7.0
11.0
18.7
26.6
37.6
55.0
24.9
181.9
372.1
2010
(2)
.9
3.6
5.0
6.8
10.8
18.3
26.9
38.7
58.1
24.6
178.2
371.9
Female
1975
(2)
.5
1.3
1.4
1.5
2.5
4.5
7.6
10.7
13.6
1.4
47.8
92.9
1980
(2)
.6
1.7
2.7
3.7
4.9
7.5
9.9
14.5
15.0
1.8
67.8
130.1
1985
(2)
.5
1.5
2.0
2.5
2.9
3.8
5.8
10.0
15.3
1.8
65.3
111.3
1990
(2)
.4
1.5
2.5
3.3
4.3
5.2
6.7
9.8
15.0
1.7
62.3
112.9
1991
(2)
.4
1.4
2.6
3.4
4.5
5.6
7.2
10.3
15.3
1.7
61.1
113.4
1992
(2)
.5
1.4
2.7
3.9
5.0
6.1
7.7
10.3
15.3
2.2
62.9
117.9
1993
(2)
.5
1.5
2.8
4.0
5.3
6.7
8.4
10.9
15.8
2.3
63.2
121.4
1994
(2)
.5
1.7
3.4
4.6
6.1
7.7
9.2
11.6
15.8
2.4
64.1
127.1
1995
(2)
.7
2.3
4.1
5.7
7.3
8.7
9.9
12.2
16.2
2.4
68.1
137.6
1996
(2)
.6
2.4
4.2
6.1
7.6
9.3
10.6
12.7
16.6
2.3
69.7
142.1
1997
(2)
.7
2.6
5.2
8.1
10.2
11.4
12.5
14.0
17.1
2.5
73.8
158.2
1998
(2)
.6
2.1
3.9
6.1
8.6
10.4
12.3
14.4
17.7
2.6
74.2
153.0
1999
(2)
.6
2.2
3.8
6.4
8.9
11.3
13.4
15.6
18.7
2.7
81.0
164.8
2000
(2)
.5
2.3
4.5
7.2
10.3
12.6
15.1
16.7
19.4
3.0
84.5
176.1
2001
(2)
.5
1.9
3.7
6.0
9.2
11.8
14.7
17.2
20.0
2.8
87.6
175.5
2002
(2)
.5
1.8
3.5
5.6
8.9
11.9
15.0
18.4
21.6
2.9
93.6
183.8
2003
(2)
.5
1.8
3.2
5.2
8.7
12.0
15.4
19.3
23.2
4.2
84.2
177.7
2004
(2)
.5
1.9
3.2
5.1
8.8
12.4
16.2
20.7
25.0
5.3
87.5
186.5
2005
(2)
.5
1.9
3.1
5.0
8.7
12.7
16.9
22.2
26.4
6.8
92.2
196.3
2006
(2)
.5
2.0
3.0
5.0
8.5
12.9
17.6
23.4
28.4
8.4
97.7
207.5
2007
(2)
.5
2.0
3.0
4.9
8.3
12.9
18.1
23.9
30.3
10.5
104.6
218.9
2008
(2)
.5
2.0
3.0
4.8
8.0
13.0
18.5
24.5
31.7
12.5
114.8
233.3
2009
(2)
.5
2.0
3.1
4.7
7.8
12.9
18.8
25.3
33.6
14.0
147.2
270.0
2010
(2)
.5
2.0
3.2
4.6
7.8
12.8
19.4
26.5
36.0
14.0
146.2
273.0
Total
1975
.1
3.2
6.6
6.3
7.1
10.3
16.7
27.0
40.0
57.6
6.5
158.3
339.8
1980
.1
2.4
6.6
10.1
13.2
17.3
25.1
35.9
53.3
60.6
6.6
203.5
434.6
1985
(2)
1.5
4.7
6.6
7.6
9.0
12.4
20.0
36.1
58.3
7.2
189.3
352.9
1990
(2)
1.3
5.9
10.3
12.9
14.5
16.3
21.2
33.2
54.6
6.4
177.3
354.1
1991
.1
1.3
5.5
10.5
13.6
15.5
17.4
22.1
33.6
54.6
6.2
175.0
355.5
1992
(2)
1.4
5.8
11.4
14.9
17.0
19.0
23.5
33.7
54.3
8.3
178.5
367.8
1993
(2)
1.5
5.8
12.3
16.3
18.5
20.5
25.4
35.3
54.6
8.6
177.6
376.6
1994
.1
1.6
6.2
14.4
18.5
21.1
23.4
27.5
36.1
54.0
8.2
176.4
387.6
1995
(2)
1.9
7.6
16.0
21.6
24.4
26.1
29.0
37.1
53.6
8.4
185.6
411.4
1996
.1
1.8
7.2
14.7
20.7
23.8
26.9
29.5
37.2
54.3
7.9
186.4
410.5
1997
(2)
1.9
8.5
17.2
27.8
34.7
37.2
37.2
41.5
54.7
8.6
194.2
463.7
1998
(2)
1.6
6.0
10.9
17.0
22.4
26.8
31.3
39.7
54.4
8.2
191.7
410.0
1999
(2)
1.5
6.1
10.9
17.5
23.7
29.1
34.7
42.9
56.2
8.7
205.1
436.4
2000
(2)
1.4
6.3
12.4
19.8
26.9
32.3
38.5
44.7
56.9
9.4
210.1
458.7
2001
(2)
1.4
5.1
10.0
16.3
23.9
30.3
37.5
45.5
57.2
8.4
213.1
448.6
2002
(2)
1.4
4.8
9.2
15.0
23.0
30.5
37.7
48.0
60.5
8.8
223.0
461.9
2003
(2)
1.4
4.7
8.4
13.7
22.1
30.5
38.3
50.0
64.1
12.2
197.4
442.9
2004
(2)
1.4
4.9
8.2
13.3
22.1
31.3
39.7
53.1
67.9
15.5
203.7
461.2
2005
(2)
1.4
5.1
7.8
12.9
21.6
31.7
41.1
56.6
71.1
19.3
212.8
481.5
2006
(2)
1.4
5.3
7.6
12.7
20.9
32.0
42.6
58.9
75.6
23.7
223.7
504.6
2007
(2)
1.4
5.4
7.6
12.4
20.1
31.9
43.7
59.7
80.1
29.6
237.9
529.7
2008
(2)
1.4
5.6
7.8
12.1
19.5
31.9
44.7
61.2
83.7
35.0
258.6
561.4
2009
(2)
1.4
5.6
8.0
11.8
18.8
31.6
45.4
62.9
88.5
38.8
329.1
642.0
2010
(2)
1.4
5.6
8.2
11.4
18.6
31.1
46.2
65.2
94.1
38.6
324.4
644.9

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

2 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical figures based on SSA administrative records.

· Future figures found by summing projected terminations due to death, recovery, and "other" reasons.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001