Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A18—DI Disabled Worker Withheld Rates
(Withheld per thousand in force, by age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA1
  Total
Male
1975
6.19
6.92
6.92
6.92
6.93
6.92
6.92
6.92
6.92
6.92
...
6.92
1980
18.87
20.96
17.98
11.67
9.25
7.34
5.75
4.26
2.88
1.78
...
4.64
1985
33.71
38.46
35.49
28.43
22.04
17.38
13.26
10.36
7.26
4.19
...
11.47
1990
13.76
45.22
56.88
41.14
31.67
23.33
17.34
12.76
9.18
5.68
...
17.18
1991
27.61
35.50
51.42
39.87
30.77
22.74
17.30
12.38
8.92
5.59
...
16.79
1992
21.93
31.75
43.58
36.95
28.51
22.01
16.38
11.80
8.42
5.35
...
15.91
1993
20.15
34.40
42.27
36.06
28.75
21.73
16.18
11.51
8.53
5.35
...
15.95
1994
17.54
41.11
46.93
40.18
31.46
24.07
17.33
12.01
8.72
5.48
...
17.25
1995
17.26
52.45
55.16
47.66
38.66
30.21
20.74
14.36
10.01
6.32
...
20.57
1996
19.16
61.09
67.35
59.36
47.53
36.66
25.06
16.73
10.84
7.07
...
24.31
1997
20.16
59.23
73.54
59.70
47.83
36.37
25.30
17.22
11.16
6.56
...
23.96
1998
32.95
58.85
74.46
64.33
50.92
38.87
27.83
18.40
11.93
6.82
...
25.10
1999
18.07
57.30
76.29
65.17
53.98
39.91
28.73
18.68
12.49
7.47
...
25.57
2000
23.13
54.65
68.76
62.58
51.77
39.69
28.91
18.51
12.23
7.22
...
24.54
2001
29.99
54.76
73.16
66.98
56.10
43.97
33.17
18.48
12.24
7.23
...
25.79
2002
29.81
54.90
73.22
67.03
56.20
44.08
33.30
18.51
12.31
7.25
...
25.36
2003
29.95
55.19
73.50
67.20
56.46
44.31
33.52
18.52
12.33
7.27
5.03
24.87
2004
29.98
55.36
73.74
67.48
56.78
44.55
33.76
18.54
12.30
7.23
5.03
24.36
2005
29.94
55.47
74.01
67.88
57.09
44.75
33.98
18.54
12.23
7.15
5.03
23.85
2006
30.06
55.53
74.30
68.29
57.37
44.97
34.23
18.53
12.21
7.16
5.03
23.38
2007
30.17
55.52
74.59
68.70
57.61
45.22
34.49
18.52
12.23
7.25
5.03
22.94
2008
30.10
55.51
74.89
69.03
57.82
45.49
34.73
18.50
12.24
7.28
5.03
22.55
2009
29.88
55.51
75.30
69.49
58.20
45.97
35.09
18.48
12.25
7.22
5.03
22.34
2010
29.69
55.43
75.63
69.83
58.58
46.35
35.35
18.47
12.25
7.14
5.03
22.07
Female
1975
14.41
4.95
5.00
5.12
5.15
5.13
5.14
5.14
5.13
5.14
...
5.13
1980
25.29
18.77
14.33
7.74
5.50
5.20
3.88
3.21
2.17
1.29
...
3.14
1985
10.20
32.04
25.32
18.03
13.63
10.37
9.94
7.60
5.12
2.69
...
7.39
1990
14.49
34.89
42.49
27.03
22.13
19.11
14.87
10.44
7.53
4.35
...
12.73
1991
10.48
26.85
35.49
26.33
20.71
18.16
14.59
10.30
7.25
4.25
...
12.26
1992
19.74
21.77
30.36
23.51
18.68
16.73
13.81
9.59
6.97
4.20
...
11.51
1993
1.78
22.22
28.93
22.66
17.83
16.30
13.45
9.60
6.98
4.04
...
11.34
1994
9.98
25.41
30.06
24.46
18.64
16.03
13.94
9.95
7.12
4.02
...
11.75
1995
7.84
27.49
32.21
26.22
20.66
17.17
14.40
10.37
7.49
4.23
...
12.46
1996
22.50
33.87
35.92
29.32
22.83
18.84
14.49
10.81
7.23
4.45
...
13.17
1997
23.50
36.58
38.21
30.68
23.91
19.54
15.66
11.14
7.35
4.58
...
13.56
1998
13.30
34.76
41.59
33.65
25.91
20.84
16.69
11.77
7.88
4.57
...
14.27
1999
18.63
32.45
42.73
33.58
26.45
21.08
16.74
11.94
8.30
4.86
...
14.36
2000
8.65
31.44
37.20
29.40
24.54
20.04
15.76
11.05
7.59
4.44
...
13.09
2001
8.64
31.45
38.66
30.81
25.94
21.44
17.16
11.05
7.60
4.44
...
13.47
2002
8.63
31.52
38.77
30.83
26.01
21.53
17.25
11.07
7.64
4.46
...
13.32
2003
8.63
31.63
38.82
30.80
26.06
21.55
17.27
11.07
7.65
4.47
3.17
13.09
2004
8.63
31.72
38.84
30.82
26.10
21.57
17.29
11.08
7.63
4.44
3.17
12.84
2005
8.63
31.79
38.89
30.91
26.16
21.58
17.31
11.07
7.59
4.39
3.17
12.59
2006
8.63
31.81
38.92
31.03
26.19
21.61
17.34
11.07
7.57
4.40
3.17
12.36
2007
8.63
31.80
39.03
31.19
26.27
21.70
17.44
11.06
7.59
4.46
3.17
12.16
2008
8.63
31.80
39.14
31.32
26.36
21.82
17.54
11.05
7.60
4.47
3.17
11.98
2009
8.64
31.81
39.12
31.34
26.35
21.84
17.54
11.05
7.60
4.43
3.17
11.82
2010
8.64
31.77
39.23
31.45
26.48
21.97
17.63
11.04
7.59
4.38
3.17
11.68
Total
1975
7.93
6.43
6.44
6.43
6.45
6.42
6.39
6.35
6.32
6.34
...
6.36
1980
20.74
20.38
16.91
10.53
8.15
6.70
5.18
3.92
2.64
1.62
...
4.15
1985
27.40
36.64
32.55
25.23
19.47
15.18
12.20
9.46
6.54
3.68
...
10.13
1990
14.00
41.93
52.29
36.60
28.50
21.91
16.47
11.93
8.59
5.22
...
15.64
1991
22.13
32.65
46.24
35.44
27.36
21.17
16.32
11.62
8.32
5.12
...
15.19
1992
21.12
28.33
39.15
32.46
25.14
20.15
15.43
10.97
7.88
4.94
...
14.33
1993
13.71
30.10
37.68
31.47
24.93
19.77
15.16
10.78
7.94
4.87
...
14.26
1994
14.75
35.45
40.96
34.62
26.87
21.09
16.04
11.19
8.10
4.94
...
15.19
1995
13.63
43.25
46.78
39.82
32.02
25.24
18.27
12.74
9.01
5.53
...
17.45
1996
20.44
50.88
55.52
48.04
38.16
29.68
20.85
14.28
9.37
6.06
...
19.91
1997
21.45
50.58
59.78
48.33
38.42
29.57
21.33
14.64
9.57
5.78
...
19.73
1998
25.81
49.51
61.30
52.01
40.82
31.45
23.14
15.55
10.21
5.91
...
20.61
1999
18.28
47.50
62.50
52.19
42.60
32.01
23.58
15.75
10.67
6.39
...
20.82
2000
17.50
45.33
55.48
48.60
40.24
31.32
23.17
15.23
10.18
6.06
...
19.61
2001
21.63
45.39
58.44
51.35
43.09
34.24
26.10
15.17
10.17
6.04
...
20.41
2002
21.54
45.50
58.36
51.07
42.94
34.20
26.15
15.16
10.20
6.05
...
20.04
2003
21.67
45.76
58.50
50.87
42.91
34.19
26.23
15.13
10.20
6.05
4.24
19.61
2004
21.73
45.92
58.63
50.80
42.92
34.21
26.30
15.12
10.17
6.00
4.23
19.17
2005
21.74
46.05
58.84
50.90
42.92
34.21
26.37
15.08
10.10
5.93
4.22
18.74
2006
21.80
46.10
59.06
51.06
42.88
34.23
26.46
15.06
10.06
5.92
4.22
18.34
2007
21.91
46.12
59.31
51.28
42.87
34.29
26.58
15.04
10.06
5.99
4.21
17.98
2008
21.89
46.12
59.56
51.49
42.85
34.38
26.69
15.00
10.05
6.00
4.20
17.66
2009
21.78
46.14
59.82
51.74
42.92
34.54
26.82
14.97
10.05
5.95
4.20
17.44
2010
21.70
46.10
60.09
51.99
43.07
34.69
26.94
14.94
10.03
5.88
4.19
17.21

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

Sources:

Historical percentages computed by dividing disabled workers withheld at end of year by disabled workers in force at end of year.

Future percentages projected based on historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


List of Studies
December 26, 2001