| Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 Actuarial Study No. 115 Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |  |  | 
 
| Year |  
   65-NRA1
 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | ||||||||||||
| 11,245.7 | 10,471.1 | 9,515.8 | 7,440.6 | 6,242.4 | 5,798.7 | 6,074.8 | 6,022.7 | 5,383.1 | 4,570.4 | ... | 72,765.3 | |
| 10,754.4 | 11,400.8 | 10,625.9 | 9,619.5 | 7,445.4 | 6,208.5 | 5,702.5 | 5,876.1 | 5,695.9 | 4,932.8 | ... | 78,261.8 | |
| 9,869.4 | 11,054.9 | 11,633.7 | 10,718.4 | 9,611.3 | 7,388.0 | 6,101.1 | 5,524.6 | 5,582.2 | 5,248.7 | ... | 82,732.2 | |
| 8,951.6 | 10,091.4 | 11,345.4 | 11,820.7 | 10,714.7 | 9,520.4 | 7,271.8 | 5,932.7 | 5,275.5 | 5,190.3 | ... | 86,114.6 | |
| 8,857.4 | 10,024.0 | 11,024.8 | 11,892.5 | 10,978.6 | 9,653.7 | 7,766.6 | 6,131.8 | 5,284.8 | 5,160.4 | ... | 86,774.7 | |
| 8,952.9 | 9,890.7 | 10,700.7 | 11,876.3 | 11,255.5 | 9,795.9 | 8,148.2 | 6,429.8 | 5,372.4 | 5,074.6 | ... | 87,496.9 | |
| 9,125.1 | 9,697.4 | 10,427.9 | 11,838.9 | 11,478.8 | 10,032.3 | 8,486.3 | 6,695.9 | 5,499.7 | 4,996.8 | ... | 88,279.0 | |
| 9,346.2 | 9,488.5 | 10,257.3 | 11,714.0 | 11,651.4 | 10,303.9 | 8,879.0 | 6,919.1 | 5,582.3 | 4,969.6 | ... | 89,111.4 | |
| 9,600.5 | 9,251.8 | 10,231.0 | 11,475.5 | 11,792.4 | 10,587.5 | 9,320.3 | 7,081.1 | 5,695.5 | 4,954.6 | ... | 89,990.0 | |
| 9,835.3 | 9,154.0 | 10,197.2 | 11,189.6 | 11,876.4 | 10,866.2 | 9,528.0 | 7,489.5 | 5,872.1 | 4,967.8 | ... | 90,976.0 | |
| 10,028.3 | 9,211.7 | 10,093.1 | 10,888.0 | 11,884.3 | 11,141.0 | 9,644.8 | 7,916.4 | 6,136.5 | 5,042.3 | ... | 91,986.4 | |
| 10,157.3 | 9,357.8 | 9,927.5 | 10,621.6 | 11,854.7 | 11,366.3 | 9,867.2 | 8,241.2 | 6,406.9 | 5,153.0 | ... | 92,953.6 | |
| 10,219.3 | 9,583.6 | 9,723.4 | 10,441.6 | 11,755.9 | 11,559.1 | 10,140.8 | 8,639.8 | 6,636.4 | 5,253.9 | ... | 93,953.7 | |
| 10,277.0 | 9,835.0 | 9,510.0 | 10,389.5 | 11,549.2 | 11,720.4 | 10,431.1 | 9,082.9 | 6,820.3 | 5,363.6 | ... | 94,978.9 | |
| 10,327.1 | 10,064.1 | 9,396.3 | 10,357.9 | 11,265.9 | 11,816.2 | 10,728.3 | 9,331.0 | 7,195.2 | 5,530.3 | ... | 96,012.3 | |
| 10,378.7 | 10,259.0 | 9,452.9 | 10,259.5 | 10,962.1 | 11,840.8 | 11,015.6 | 9,449.7 | 7,644.1 | 5,788.5 | ... | 97,050.8 | |
| 10,489.9 | 10,391.5 | 9,615.5 | 10,099.2 | 10,692.5 | 11,823.1 | 11,256.8 | 9,682.9 | 7,976.9 | 6,063.9 | 171.3 | 98,263.4 | |
| 10,656.6 | 10,459.0 | 9,844.9 | 9,903.3 | 10,520.8 | 11,731.5 | 11,452.8 | 9,956.9 | 8,367.1 | 6,286.6 | 348.4 | 99,527.8 | |
| 10,835.9 | 10,520.1 | 10,097.9 | 9,695.8 | 10,473.6 | 11,531.6 | 11,616.7 | 10,246.4 | 8,798.4 | 6,465.1 | 537.5 | 100,819.0 | |
| 11,006.5 | 10,573.9 | 10,328.7 | 9,587.0 | 10,446.7 | 11,256.1 | 11,716.3 | 10,542.8 | 9,043.8 | 6,826.1 | 750.8 | 102,078.8 | |
| 11,135.4 | 10,626.0 | 10,523.3 | 9,644.2 | 10,350.3 | 10,957.9 | 11,744.1 | 10,828.3 | 9,165.2 | 7,258.8 | 1,032.9 | 103,266.5 | |
| 11,193.6 | 10,737.5 | 10,656.0 | 9,806.6 | 10,192.5 | 10,693.5 | 11,730.2 | 11,068.7 | 9,396.4 | 7,580.6 | 1,291.4 | 104,346.9 | |
| 11,162.0 | 10,904.1 | 10,724.0 | 10,035.4 | 9,999.3 | 10,526.0 | 11,643.4 | 11,265.1 | 9,667.0 | 7,954.8 | 1,262.4 | 105,143.6 | |
| 11,062.4 | 11,083.2 | 10,785.8 | 10,287.6 | 9,794.7 | 10,481.4 | 11,449.7 | 11,430.0 | 9,952.5 | 8,366.2 | 1,252.4 | 105,945.9 | |
| Female | ||||||||||||
| 10,792.5 | 10,132.5 | 9,341.2 | 7,379.6 | 6,219.4 | 5,825.5 | 6,202.5 | 6,324.9 | 5,791.0 | 5,212.1 | ... | 73,221.2 | |
| 10,324.7 | 10,990.1 | 10,351.6 | 9,484.5 | 7,424.7 | 6,225.6 | 5,785.1 | 6,103.1 | 6,154.8 | 5,552.0 | ... | 78,396.3 | |
| 9,411.3 | 10,583.0 | 11,219.1 | 10,471.2 | 9,512.0 | 7,405.5 | 6,170.6 | 5,686.5 | 5,942.2 | 5,899.8 | ... | 82,301.2 | |
| 8,557.8 | 9,649.6 | 10,880.6 | 11,426.0 | 10,531.5 | 9,485.4 | 7,350.1 | 6,083.1 | 5,552.5 | 5,716.5 | ... | 85,233.0 | |
| 8,473.5 | 9,607.5 | 10,595.4 | 11,493.8 | 10,774.0 | 9,619.7 | 7,835.2 | 6,284.9 | 5,551.6 | 5,653.6 | ... | 85,889.1 | |
| 8,561.9 | 9,509.8 | 10,310.4 | 11,487.1 | 11,029.0 | 9,760.3 | 8,220.4 | 6,583.5 | 5,633.8 | 5,543.2 | ... | 86,639.4 | |
| 8,721.9 | 9,351.4 | 10,077.2 | 11,459.2 | 11,237.1 | 9,993.3 | 8,560.1 | 6,854.9 | 5,764.5 | 5,440.5 | ... | 87,460.1 | |
| 8,926.2 | 9,166.6 | 9,937.3 | 11,358.7 | 11,399.7 | 10,256.3 | 8,953.9 | 7,085.9 | 5,848.6 | 5,405.9 | ... | 88,339.1 | |
| 9,159.7 | 8,941.9 | 9,943.1 | 11,147.7 | 11,533.0 | 10,533.8 | 9,396.0 | 7,257.2 | 5,962.6 | 5,378.6 | ... | 89,253.7 | |
| 9,374.0 | 8,840.9 | 9,943.0 | 10,897.5 | 11,615.0 | 10,800.3 | 9,611.7 | 7,666.5 | 6,143.3 | 5,381.1 | ... | 90,273.2 | |
| 9,551.4 | 8,883.9 | 9,870.9 | 10,629.2 | 11,623.6 | 11,053.7 | 9,732.9 | 8,096.3 | 6,411.1 | 5,448.5 | ... | 91,301.4 | |
| 9,672.7 | 9,005.0 | 9,730.3 | 10,392.9 | 11,596.7 | 11,258.8 | 9,953.5 | 8,426.5 | 6,687.6 | 5,558.7 | ... | 92,282.5 | |
| 9,737.9 | 9,193.3 | 9,525.1 | 10,239.5 | 11,507.5 | 11,431.4 | 10,218.1 | 8,829.8 | 6,925.9 | 5,663.1 | ... | 93,271.4 | |
| 9,800.5 | 9,412.5 | 9,295.8 | 10,215.0 | 11,319.4 | 11,575.2 | 10,497.1 | 9,278.3 | 7,118.1 | 5,774.3 | ... | 94,286.2 | |
| 9,856.3 | 9,616.8 | 9,156.1 | 10,207.3 | 11,060.5 | 11,658.8 | 10,777.4 | 9,534.0 | 7,498.4 | 5,944.8 | ... | 95,310.4 | |
| 9,913.8 | 9,796.6 | 9,182.8 | 10,127.9 | 10,785.1 | 11,679.3 | 11,041.3 | 9,656.9 | 7,953.8 | 6,209.8 | ... | 96,347.3 | |
| 10,026.1 | 9,924.4 | 9,310.5 | 9,980.5 | 10,542.2 | 11,661.9 | 11,260.2 | 9,887.8 | 8,295.6 | 6,494.6 | 188.4 | 97,572.1 | |
| 10,188.7 | 9,995.3 | 9,505.3 | 9,784.4 | 10,396.8 | 11,579.6 | 11,437.0 | 10,153.8 | 8,693.6 | 6,727.4 | 382.5 | 98,844.4 | |
| 10,363.1 | 10,061.3 | 9,728.1 | 9,561.1 | 10,377.1 | 11,396.7 | 11,583.7 | 10,432.8 | 9,133.8 | 6,914.5 | 589.1 | 100,141.2 | |
| 10,530.3 | 10,120.3 | 9,935.8 | 9,426.9 | 10,374.1 | 11,143.7 | 11,670.9 | 10,713.1 | 9,386.9 | 7,284.2 | 821.5 | 101,407.6 | |
| 10,652.6 | 10,178.0 | 10,115.5 | 9,454.0 | 10,295.7 | 10,871.2 | 11,693.2 | 10,975.7 | 9,510.0 | 7,726.5 | 1,125.0 | 102,597.5 | |
| 10,705.2 | 10,290.4 | 10,243.4 | 9,581.8 | 10,149.5 | 10,631.1 | 11,677.9 | 11,193.9 | 9,738.3 | 8,058.5 | 1,405.0 | 103,674.9 | |
| 10,675.8 | 10,452.9 | 10,314.5 | 9,776.5 | 9,954.9 | 10,487.9 | 11,598.1 | 11,370.7 | 10,000.9 | 8,443.2 | 1,374.7 | 104,450.0 | |
| 10,582.7 | 10,627.2 | 10,380.6 | 9,999.0 | 9,733.2 | 10,469.6 | 11,418.6 | 11,517.6 | 10,276.1 | 8,867.1 | 1,362.7 | 105,234.5 | |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| 22,038.2 | 20,603.7 | 18,856.9 | 14,820.2 | 12,461.8 | 11,624.2 | 12,277.3 | 12,347.6 | 11,174.1 | 9,782.5 | ... | 145,986.5 | |
| 21,079.1 | 22,391.0 | 20,977.5 | 19,104.0 | 14,870.1 | 12,434.1 | 11,487.6 | 11,979.2 | 11,850.7 | 10,484.8 | ... | 156,658.0 | |
| 19,280.7 | 21,637.9 | 22,852.9 | 21,189.5 | 19,123.3 | 14,793.5 | 12,271.6 | 11,211.0 | 11,524.4 | 11,148.5 | ... | 165,033.4 | |
| 17,509.4 | 19,741.0 | 22,226.0 | 23,246.6 | 21,246.3 | 19,005.8 | 14,621.9 | 12,015.8 | 10,828.1 | 10,906.8 | ... | 171,347.6 | |
| 17,330.9 | 19,631.5 | 21,620.2 | 23,386.3 | 21,752.5 | 19,273.4 | 15,601.9 | 12,416.7 | 10,836.4 | 10,813.9 | ... | 172,663.8 | |
| 17,514.8 | 19,400.5 | 21,011.1 | 23,363.4 | 22,284.5 | 19,556.2 | 16,368.6 | 13,013.3 | 11,006.1 | 10,617.8 | ... | 174,136.3 | |
| 17,847.0 | 19,048.8 | 20,505.1 | 23,298.1 | 22,715.9 | 20,025.7 | 17,046.4 | 13,550.7 | 11,264.2 | 10,437.3 | ... | 175,739.1 | |
| 18,272.5 | 18,655.1 | 20,194.6 | 23,072.7 | 23,051.0 | 20,560.1 | 17,832.9 | 14,005.0 | 11,431.0 | 10,375.5 | ... | 177,450.5 | |
| 18,760.2 | 18,193.7 | 20,174.1 | 22,623.2 | 23,325.4 | 21,121.3 | 18,716.3 | 14,338.3 | 11,658.1 | 10,333.2 | ... | 179,243.7 | |
| 19,209.3 | 17,994.9 | 20,140.2 | 22,087.0 | 23,491.4 | 21,666.5 | 19,139.6 | 15,156.0 | 12,015.3 | 10,348.9 | ... | 181,249.2 | |
| 19,579.7 | 18,095.6 | 19,963.9 | 21,517.2 | 23,507.9 | 22,194.7 | 19,377.7 | 16,012.6 | 12,547.6 | 10,490.8 | ... | 183,287.8 | |
| 19,830.0 | 18,362.8 | 19,657.8 | 21,014.5 | 23,451.4 | 22,625.0 | 19,820.7 | 16,667.7 | 13,094.6 | 10,711.7 | ... | 185,236.1 | |
| 19,957.1 | 18,776.8 | 19,248.5 | 20,681.1 | 23,263.4 | 22,990.5 | 20,358.8 | 17,469.6 | 13,562.3 | 10,917.0 | ... | 187,225.2 | |
| 20,077.5 | 19,247.4 | 18,805.9 | 20,604.5 | 22,868.5 | 23,295.7 | 20,928.3 | 18,361.1 | 13,938.4 | 11,137.9 | ... | 189,265.1 | |
| 20,183.4 | 19,681.0 | 18,552.3 | 20,565.1 | 22,326.5 | 23,475.1 | 21,505.7 | 18,865.0 | 14,693.6 | 11,475.1 | ... | 191,322.7 | |
| 20,292.4 | 20,055.5 | 18,635.7 | 20,387.4 | 21,747.2 | 23,520.1 | 22,056.9 | 19,106.6 | 15,597.9 | 11,998.3 | ... | 193,398.1 | |
| 20,516.0 | 20,316.0 | 18,926.0 | 20,079.7 | 21,234.6 | 23,485.0 | 22,516.9 | 19,570.6 | 16,272.5 | 12,558.4 | 359.7 | 195,835.5 | |
| 20,845.3 | 20,454.3 | 19,350.2 | 19,687.7 | 20,917.6 | 23,311.0 | 22,889.8 | 20,110.6 | 17,060.6 | 13,014.0 | 730.9 | 198,372.2 | |
| 21,199.0 | 20,581.4 | 19,825.9 | 19,256.8 | 20,850.7 | 22,928.3 | 23,200.5 | 20,679.2 | 17,932.2 | 13,379.6 | 1,126.6 | 200,960.1 | |
| 21,536.8 | 20,694.3 | 20,264.5 | 19,013.9 | 20,820.8 | 22,399.7 | 23,387.2 | 21,255.9 | 18,430.6 | 14,110.3 | 1,572.3 | 203,486.3 | |
| 21,787.9 | 20,804.0 | 20,638.8 | 19,098.2 | 20,646.0 | 21,829.1 | 23,437.4 | 21,804.0 | 18,675.3 | 14,985.3 | 2,157.9 | 205,864.0 | |
| 21,898.8 | 21,027.9 | 20,899.4 | 19,388.4 | 20,342.0 | 21,324.6 | 23,408.2 | 22,262.6 | 19,134.7 | 15,639.1 | 2,696.3 | 208,021.8 | |
| 21,837.8 | 21,357.0 | 21,038.5 | 19,811.8 | 19,954.2 | 21,014.0 | 23,241.5 | 22,635.8 | 19,667.9 | 16,398.0 | 2,637.1 | 209,593.7 | |
| 21,645.1 | 21,710.4 | 21,166.4 | 20,286.6 | 19,527.9 | 20,951.0 | 22,868.3 | 22,947.7 | 20,228.6 | 17,233.3 | 2,615.1 | 211,180.4 | |
| 1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age." | 
Source: Estimates prepared by the Office of the Chief Actuary.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
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December 26, 2001