Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A4—Labor Force Participation Rates
(By age and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
[Percent]
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA 1
Male
1975
73.00
85.90
94.80
96.40
96.30
95.20
94.10
90.10
84.40
65.70
65.70
1976
73.10
86.40
94.60
96.50
96.00
95.00
93.30
89.90
83.60
63.70
63.70
1977
74.40
86.70
94.80
96.40
96.20
95.30
93.20
89.20
83.20
62.90
62.90
1978
74.80
87.10
94.90
96.30
96.40
95.10
93.00
89.70
82.90
62.00
62.00
1979
73.90
87.60
95.00
96.20
96.40
95.30
93.40
89.60
82.20
61.80
61.80
1980
73.20
87.00
94.70
96.20
96.00
95.10
93.30
89.30
81.90
61.00
61.00
1981
72.50
86.50
94.30
95.90
96.00
94.90
93.40
89.60
81.30
58.70
58.70
1982
69.70
86.00
94.20
95.60
95.90
94.70
92.80
89.70
81.90
57.20
57.20
1983
70.27
85.80
93.87
94.92
95.69
94.86
93.32
89.03
80.74
56.90
56.90
1984
69.82
86.06
93.90
95.16
95.72
95.14
93.31
88.94
80.22
56.02
56.02
1985
70.45
86.09
94.16
95.64
95.43
94.75
93.33
88.62
79.58
55.63
55.63
1986
69.86
86.86
94.40
95.19
95.22
94.45
92.90
88.93
79.04
54.88
54.88
1987
69.01
86.30
94.23
95.29
95.00
94.34
92.86
88.38
79.73
54.90
54.90
1988
69.60
86.09
93.99
95.00
94.87
94.28
93.03
88.42
79.33
54.34
54.34
1989
70.44
86.26
93.99
95.25
94.78
94.37
92.69
89.22
79.47
54.86
54.86
1990
68.39
85.39
93.96
94.73
94.89
93.99
92.28
88.87
79.88
55.58
55.58
1991
66.64
84.54
93.58
94.16
94.48
93.91
92.24
88.43
79.09
54.79
54.79
1992
67.08
84.24
93.36
94.58
94.20
93.32
92.13
88.95
78.99
54.71
54.71
1993
66.20
84.10
93.20
93.97
93.82
93.12
91.68
88.05
78.24
54.06
54.06
1994
66.06
83.90
92.21
93.27
92.96
92.74
91.01
86.73
76.94
52.74
52.74
1995
67.15
83.90
92.55
93.74
92.60
92.11
90.72
86.42
77.37
53.15
53.15
1996
66.10
83.28
93.14
93.54
92.87
92.04
90.80
86.94
77.86
54.29
54.29
1997
64.78
83.28
92.70
93.56
93.17
92.06
90.83
87.86
78.67
54.51
54.51
1998
65.21
82.74
92.96
93.74
93.14
92.25
90.82
87.29
78.40
55.43
55.43
1999
65.13
82.68
92.94
93.90
93.41
92.32
90.37
86.97
78.38
54.82
54.82
2000
65.83
83.41
92.76
94.18
93.28
91.85
90.23
86.99
76.95
55.01
55.01
2001
65.06
83.95
92.90
93.61
93.05
91.43
90.16
87.25
77.56
54.06
54.06
2002
65.07
84.01
93.02
93.67
93.22
91.51
90.10
87.10
77.90
54.88
54.88
2003
64.95
83.93
93.00
93.56
93.26
91.41
89.93
86.76
78.19
55.69
55.69
2004
64.87
83.86
92.98
93.47
93.21
91.37
89.78
86.47
77.93
55.81
55.81
2005
64.82
83.81
92.97
93.40
93.16
91.34
89.67
86.23
78.07
55.05
55.05
2006
64.76
83.76
92.95
93.35
93.13
91.29
89.60
86.00
77.87
54.34
54.34
2007
64.70
83.70
92.91
93.35
93.04
91.30
89.50
85.79
77.64
54.77
54.77
2008
64.66
83.66
92.88
93.37
92.94
91.34
89.38
85.62
77.37
55.25
55.25
2009
64.66
83.63
92.86
93.42
92.87
91.29
89.33
85.48
77.12
55.00
55.00
2010
64.63
83.64
92.86
93.39
92.77
91.23
89.34
85.45
76.96
54.71
54.71
Female
1975
58.30
64.30
57.10
51.70
54.90
56.80
55.90
53.30
47.90
33.30
33.30
1976
59.20
65.20
59.30
54.60
57.20
58.50
57.00
53.10
48.10
33.10
33.10
1977
60.60
66.70
61.80
56.90
59.50
59.70
57.90
53.70
48.00
32.90
32.90
1978
62.30
68.50
64.30
59.80
60.90
62.50
59.80
54.50
48.60
33.10
33.10
1979
63.10
69.30
65.80
61.80
63.40
63.90
60.40
56.50
48.70
33.90
33.90
1980
62.30
69.20
66.80
64.10
64.90
66.10
62.10
57.80
48.60
33.30
33.30
1981
61.30
69.80
67.70
65.90
66.40
67.40
64.20
58.20
49.40
32.70
32.70
1982
61.40
70.10
69.10
66.90
67.40
68.60
65.30
58.00
49.60
33.40
33.40
1983
60.94
70.16
69.97
68.09
68.24
69.27
65.33
58.53
48.78
33.80
33.80
1984
61.98
70.69
70.54
69.16
70.20
70.06
66.25
59.38
49.84
33.37
33.37
1985
61.93
72.09
71.52
70.40
71.71
71.84
67.76
60.84
50.32
33.41
33.41
1986
62.47
72.64
72.46
71.01
73.03
73.22
69.53
62.03
51.34
33.18
33.18
1987
62.44
73.27
73.42
71.61
73.98
75.14
70.66
63.15
52.17
33.16
33.16
1988
63.09
72.97
73.72
71.98
74.56
75.88
72.55
64.79
53.29
33.81
33.81
1989
62.67
72.65
74.08
73.17
74.99
77.15
74.34
65.90
54.79
35.63
35.63
1990
60.45
71.55
73.74
73.43
75.46
77.47
74.72
66.88
55.29
35.51
35.51
1991
59.63
70.35
73.36
73.06
75.56
77.63
75.35
67.80
55.67
35.10
35.10
1992
58.92
71.12
74.26
73.73
75.54
78.06
75.75
68.68
56.77
36.43
36.43
1993
60.37
71.14
73.69
73.35
75.35
77.93
76.42
69.80
57.09
37.03
37.03
1994
60.26
71.26
74.46
73.76
76.00
78.29
77.64
70.66
59.18
37.81
37.81
1995
61.74
70.56
74.97
75.08
76.35
78.12
77.24
70.74
59.49
38.00
38.00
1996
60.15
71.54
75.94
74.76
76.54
78.62
78.03
71.86
59.80
38.15
38.15
1997
61.41
72.91
77.43
74.93
76.63
78.91
78.08
73.49
60.73
39.49
39.49
1998
62.83
73.21
77.40
75.45
75.57
78.60
78.81
72.98
61.28
39.12
39.12
1999
61.14
73.46
77.00
75.96
76.20
78.23
78.93
74.00
61.83
38.82
38.82
2000
61.19
73.73
77.58
75.54
76.18
78.63
78.92
74.16
61.34
40.02
40.02
2001
61.05
74.64
78.15
74.89
76.56
78.12
78.28
73.94
61.38
41.15
41.15
2002
60.96
74.45
78.24
75.62
76.50
77.94
78.41
74.23
62.17
40.92
40.92
2003
60.80
73.96
78.18
76.14
76.35
77.60
78.25
74.29
62.88
40.32
40.32
2004
60.64
73.80
78.12
76.55
76.12
77.34
78.03
74.21
63.11
39.72
39.72
2005
60.53
73.72
78.20
76.79
75.78
77.37
77.81
73.97
63.47
38.96
38.96
2006
60.43
73.70
78.25
76.95
75.76
77.40
77.64
73.72
63.37
38.69
38.69
2007
60.33
73.67
78.28
76.98
76.01
77.43
77.34
73.50
63.23
39.27
39.27
2008
60.22
73.62
78.24
76.89
76.54
77.35
77.07
73.40
63.12
39.80
39.80
2009
60.14
73.60
78.20
76.85
76.95
77.15
76.87
73.21
62.98
39.71
39.71
2010
60.08
73.62
78.21
76.92
77.27
77.13
76.93
73.14
62.87
39.37
39.37

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

Sources:

Historical rates are annual averages from January issues of Employment and Earnings.

Future rates projected by the Office of the Chief Actuary.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


List of Studies
December 26, 2001