Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B19—Minor Children of Retired Workers With Benefits In Force
(By age, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year
In force
Percent of non-orphan population
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
1975
13.0
48.2
148.5
195.2
404.8
0.078
0.269
0.765
1.598
0.616
1976
12.5
46.5
145.3
194.3
398.6
.076
.261
.771
1.589
.614
1977
12.5
46.3
149.0
203.5
411.2
.076
.262
.814
1.675
.641
1978
11.9
43.3
139.5
197.7
392.4
.072
.250
.781
1.646
.618
1979
11.5
41.0
132.3
193.4
378.2
.068
.242
.750
1.640
.600
1980
11.3
38.6
126.7
189.5
366.0
.065
.236
.713
1.653
.583
1981
11.0
37.0
120.8
181.9
350.7
.062
.228
.681
1.642
.560
1982
10.8
35.6
115.6
175.4
337.4
.059
.218
.657
1.636
.539
1983
10.8
35.6
111.5
168.4
326.3
.059
.214
.647
1.584
.520
1984
10.7
35.2
105.8
160.3
312.1
.057
.207
.628
1.493
.496
1985
11.0
35.6
100.4
154.3
301.2
.058
.204
.615
1.406
.475
1986
11.1
36.1
96.3
150.6
294.1
.059
.202
.597
1.367
.461
1987
11.1
36.3
93.5
142.7
283.7
.058
.199
.575
1.329
.443
1988
11.3
36.4
92.0
132.4
272.1
.059
.196
.556
1.292
.423
1989
11.2
36.7
91.1
123.3
262.2
.057
.196
.537
1.226
.404
1990
11.5
37.2
92.0
118.6
259.3
.057
.198
.528
1.173
.393
1991
11.9
38.3
93.0
114.7
257.9
.058
.202
.520
1.132
.385
1992
12.3
39.1
95.0
114.6
261.0
.060
.205
.521
1.107
.385
1993
12.4
40.2
96.0
114.2
262.8
.060
.208
.519
1.081
.383
1994
12.2
40.9
96.7
114.8
264.6
.059
.208
.520
1.053
.382
1995
11.8
41.6
96.9
115.5
265.8
.058
.208
.517
1.030
.381
1996
11.5
42.1
97.7
114.9
266.2
.057
.207
.518
1.003
.378
1997
11.0
42.2
98.1
113.1
264.4
.055
.205
.517
.975
.374
1998
10.7
41.9
98.8
112.2
263.5
.053
.203
.515
.964
.371
1999
10.4
41.9
100.8
113.3
266.4
.052
.203
.517
.972
.374
2000
11.0
42.7
107.5
118.4
279.5
.055
.209
.542
1.013
.391
2001
11.0
42.5
110.5
121.4
285.4
.055
.210
.548
1.030
.398
2002
11.0
42.1
113.5
124.0
290.5
.055
.210
.556
1.041
.404
2003
11.0
42.1
114.9
127.0
295.0
.055
.211
.560
1.055
.409
2004
11.0
42.1
115.4
130.3
298.7
.055
.211
.563
1.062
.413
2005
10.9
42.3
114.5
134.3
302.0
.054
.211
.564
1.069
.417
2006
10.9
42.4
113.6
137.1
304.0
.054
.211
.565
1.072
.419
2007
10.9
42.3
112.7
138.5
304.5
.054
.211
.564
1.078
.420
2008
11.0
42.3
112.4
137.5
303.2
.054
.211
.564
1.078
.419
2009
11.0
42.3
112.3
136.2
301.8
.054
.211
.563
1.079
.417
2010
11.1
42.3
112.5
134.6
300.4
.054
.211
.564
1.077
.415

Sources:

Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

Future figures computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of year, and applying termination rates.

Percentages computed by dividing number in force by non-orphan population.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001