Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B21—Awards to Minor Children of Retired Workers
(By age, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
1975
4.9
12.0
35.7
62.8
115.3
1976
4.9
12.1
35.9
60.2
113.0
1977
4.1
9.6
32.0
56.4
102.1
1978
3.9
8.8
28.9
51.7
93.2
1979
4.9
12.0
35.3
62.5
114.7
1980
4.9
11.4
33.8
61.5
111.6
1981
3.6
7.3
24.8
49.0
84.8
1982
3.8
7.5
23.8
46.4
81.5
1983
3.9
7.5
23.4
45.3
80.1
1984
3.9
7.4
21.6
41.5
74.3
1985
4.2
7.9
21.0
41.1
74.2
1986
4.0
8.0
19.7
39.1
70.9
1987
4.0
7.9
18.7
35.6
66.1
1988
4.1
8.0
18.5
33.1
63.7
1989
4.0
7.8
17.7
29.6
59.2
1990
4.3
8.6
18.8
28.7
60.5
1991
4.6
8.8
19.1
28.1
60.6
1992
4.8
8.9
19.7
27.9
61.3
1993
4.6
8.9
19.5
26.4
59.5
1994
4.5
8.8
18.8
25.4
57.6
1995
4.2
9.0
18.7
25.2
57.1
1996
4.2
9.1
18.4
24.4
56.0
1997
3.9
8.9
18.3
23.7
54.8
1998
3.9
8.9
18.1
23.3
54.1
1999
3.8
9.3
19.5
24.4
57.0
2000
4.5
10.7
23.8
29.3
68.3
2001
4.2
9.8
22.0
27.0
62.9
2002
4.2
9.7
22.3
27.2
63.4
2003
4.2
9.7
22.5
27.5
63.8
2004
4.2
9.7
22.5
28.0
64.3
2005
4.2
9.7
22.3
28.6
64.7
2006
4.2
9.7
22.1
29.0
65.0
2007
4.2
9.7
21.9
29.2
65.0
2008
4.2
9.7
21.8
29.0
64.7
2009
4.2
9.7
21.8
28.7
64.4
2010
4.3
9.7
21.9
28.4
64.2

Sources:

Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

Future figures computed by applying award rate to non-orphan population.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001