Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B26—Awards to Minor Children of Deceased Workers
(By age, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
1975
31.8
61.2
110.0
118.6
321.7
1976
28.3
56.8
102.4
115.1
302.7
1977
30.3
57.2
96.3
109.4
293.3
1978
29.0
53.6
94.5
110.0
287.1
1979
30.5
52.9
89.6
105.5
278.6
1980
30.6
48.8
83.7
98.9
261.9
1981
29.3
44.5
77.2
92.2
243.1
1982
29.0
44.5
75.7
84.9
234.1
1983
28.9
41.9
70.6
79.1
220.5
1984
27.7
42.3
66.9
75.8
212.8
1985
28.1
44.4
66.1
75.9
214.6
1986
28.7
45.0
62.0
72.5
208.2
1987
27.5
44.9
60.3
68.6
201.3
1988
28.3
45.5
61.8
66.5
202.1
1989
28.6
45.9
61.5
61.8
197.9
1990
29.2
46.3
63.3
59.3
198.1
1991
30.1
47.0
64.7
59.5
201.3
1992
29.9
46.6
65.8
59.8
202.1
1993
30.6
48.1
68.2
61.7
208.6
1994
30.5
49.6
68.3
63.2
211.6
1995
28.6
49.5
67.5
64.0
209.6
1996
26.7
47.9
66.0
63.2
203.8
1997
25.3
45.6
62.6
60.8
194.3
1998
24.3
44.8
62.7
59.6
191.4
1999
23.8
44.0
63.8
59.8
191.5
2000
24.5
43.8
65.1
60.1
193.4
2001
23.0
42.0
65.2
61.3
191.6
2002
22.8
40.7
65.4
61.8
190.7
2003
22.5
39.7
65.2
62.2
189.6
2004
22.1
38.9
64.5
62.6
188.1
2005
21.7
38.2
63.3
63.2
186.4
2006
21.4
37.6
61.9
63.5
184.5
2007
21.1
37.1
60.6
63.2
182.0
2008
20.9
36.5
59.6
62.2
179.1
2009
20.7
35.9
58.7
61.0
176.2
2010
20.5
35.3
57.8
59.9
173.5

Sources:

Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

Future figures computed by applying award rate to non-orphan population.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001