Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B3—Retired Workers With Benefits In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
874.1
3,297.6
2,412.9
1,569.3
927.2
396.6
110.8
18.9
9,607.5
1980
1,021.4
3,646.3
2,749.1
1,774.9
991.6
470.4
146.0
30.0
10,829.7
1985
1,311.5
3,829.9
3,062.8
2,045.6
1,137.1
510.3
176.6
42.1
12,116.0
1990
1,359.1
4,115.7
3,293.3
2,313.6
1,329.2
593.7
192.3
51.4
13,248.3
1991
1,369.2
4,108.2
3,404.2
2,360.5
1,369.5
618.2
196.2
53.2
13,479.2
1992
1,376.9
4,138.2
3,479.2
2,400.7
1,415.9
643.8
206.0
54.3
13,715.1
1993
1,371.7
4,143.0
3,534.4
2,450.7
1,455.3
666.4
213.9
54.9
13,890.2
1994
1,371.6
4,106.4
3,613.2
2,474.5
1,504.1
686.9
221.1
55.1
14,033.0
1995
1,341.9
4,102.0
3,629.6
2,550.9
1,546.1
707.9
228.2
57.1
14,163.8
1996
1,322.7
4,071.9
3,619.7
2,647.3
1,581.3
730.7
236.0
57.9
14,267.6
1997
1,301.6
4,027.1
3,643.2
2,713.0
1,613.7
755.8
244.7
59.8
14,359.0
1998
1,309.2
3,967.4
3,648.6
2,764.9
1,655.6
780.1
252.7
61.5
14,440.0
1999
1,324.1
3,964.3
3,627.0
2,833.4
1,677.6
807.4
259.5
62.7
14,556.2
2000
1,356.5
4,089.4
3,643.4
2,854.5
1,739.6
831.3
266.4
63.9
14,845.1
2001
1,390.1
4,068.8
3,626.8
2,854.8
1,813.3
851.8
275.4
64.1
14,945.2
2002
1,420.9
4,106.5
3,599.7
2,879.8
1,861.4
871.8
286.2
65.7
15,092.0
2003
1,457.9
4,178.7
3,556.1
2,891.9
1,901.5
897.5
296.1
67.3
15,246.9
2004
1,534.1
4,237.4
3,561.1
2,881.2
1,951.6
912.1
307.7
68.8
15,454.1
2005
1,626.4
4,309.3
3,563.4
2,896.0
1,968.1
948.1
316.9
70.5
15,698.7
2006
1,691.9
4,421.7
3,588.8
2,888.2
1,973.1
991.0
324.2
72.3
15,951.3
2007
1,697.4
4,593.9
3,642.3
2,872.3
1,994.3
1,017.6
331.9
74.9
16,224.7
2008
1,755.0
4,784.4
3,747.8
2,842.4
2,006.1
1,040.1
341.9
77.1
16,594.8
2009
1,915.9
4,997.0
3,841.2
2,851.8
2,001.9
1,067.0
347.2
79.6
17,101.7
2010
2,095.5
5,167.6
3,947.5
2,860.3
2,016.0
1,076.6
361.7
81.4
17,606.7
Female
1975
889.1
2,351.7
1,814.3
1,254.0
789.5
346.6
90.2
14.3
7,549.7
1980
1,035.9
2,723.4
2,207.6
1,560.2
964.0
505.6
167.3
31.9
9,195.9
1985
1,186.0
2,938.9
2,540.4
1,902.5
1,215.3
629.0
249.6
61.8
10,723.5
1990
1,181.6
3,154.0
2,735.2
2,189.5
1,485.7
802.5
312.3
92.7
11,953.4
1991
1,165.6
3,151.6
2,801.9
2,240.7
1,534.5
845.1
326.1
99.9
12,165.3
1992
1,156.7
3,173.6
2,846.3
2,276.4
1,586.6
888.0
348.9
105.9
12,382.4
1993
1,144.5
3,177.2
2,878.4
2,319.5
1,630.1
926.6
368.7
110.7
12,555.8
1994
1,152.3
3,139.1
2,948.1
2,326.0
1,682.4
961.6
388.5
114.6
12,712.5
1995
1,141.1
3,127.7
2,973.3
2,371.6
1,725.2
993.3
407.5
121.2
12,860.9
1996
1,141.1
3,111.2
2,967.6
2,432.4
1,763.9
1,023.4
427.0
125.5
12,992.2
1997
1,143.8
3,112.3
3,030.8
2,506.2
1,813.8
1,065.7
447.9
133.0
13,253.6
1998
1,169.7
3,095.0
3,039.9
2,541.3
1,854.3
1,098.3
467.0
138.9
13,404.4
1999
1,193.6
3,125.1
3,009.8
2,604.2
1,860.0
1,132.0
480.7
143.4
13,548.8
2000
1,236.0
3,211.4
3,006.7
2,627.8
1,895.9
1,157.1
492.7
148.2
13,776.0
2001
1,275.7
3,252.0
2,988.0
2,622.0
1,947.0
1,183.8
508.1
155.0
13,931.7
2002
1,311.7
3,308.8
2,976.4
2,635.5
1,978.8
1,204.4
527.0
159.9
14,102.5
2003
1,351.8
3,388.7
2,957.2
2,638.2
2,003.1
1,230.3
543.6
169.6
14,282.5
2004
1,426.3
3,457.9
2,982.3
2,610.6
2,052.6
1,236.6
563.1
174.8
14,504.2
2005
1,519.1
3,527.4
3,019.6
2,602.0
2,071.4
1,264.7
578.1
181.6
14,763.9
2006
1,589.3
3,636.2
3,070.9
2,587.2
2,069.2
1,302.0
591.3
186.4
15,032.6
2007
1,610.2
3,799.3
3,132.2
2,579.0
2,081.5
1,324.7
602.0
194.6
15,323.5
2008
1,682.6
3,986.5
3,232.3
2,563.6
2,084.7
1,342.6
615.6
200.6
15,708.4
2009
1,852.8
4,185.0
3,320.6
2,586.6
2,064.3
1,376.3
618.5
204.5
16,208.6
2010
2,039.9
4,355.6
3,410.7
2,620.8
2,059.4
1,390.0
633.7
210.4
16,720.5
Total
1975
1,763.2
5,649.3
4,227.3
2,823.4
1,716.7
743.2
201.0
33.2
17,157.2
1980
2,057.3
6,369.7
4,956.6
3,335.2
1,955.6
976.0
313.3
61.8
20,025.6
1985
2,497.5
6,768.8
5,603.2
3,948.1
2,352.5
1,139.3
426.2
103.9
22,839.5
1990
2,540.7
7,269.8
6,028.5
4,503.1
2,814.9
1,396.1
504.6
144.1
25,201.8
1991
2,534.7
7,259.8
6,206.1
4,601.1
2,904.0
1,463.3
522.3
153.1
25,644.5
1992
2,533.5
7,311.8
6,325.4
4,677.1
3,002.6
1,531.8
554.9
160.2
26,097.5
1993
2,516.2
7,320.2
6,412.8
4,770.2
3,085.4
1,593.0
582.6
165.7
26,446.1
1994
2,523.9
7,245.5
6,561.3
4,800.5
3,186.4
1,648.6
609.6
169.6
26,745.5
1995
2,483.0
7,229.7
6,602.9
4,922.5
3,271.3
1,701.2
635.8
178.3
27,024.8
1996
2,463.8
7,183.1
6,587.3
5,079.7
3,345.3
1,754.2
663.0
183.4
27,259.8
1997
2,445.3
7,139.4
6,674.1
5,219.2
3,427.5
1,821.5
692.6
192.9
27,612.5
1998
2,478.8
7,062.5
6,688.5
5,306.3
3,509.8
1,878.3
719.7
200.4
27,844.3
1999
2,517.8
7,089.4
6,636.8
5,437.6
3,537.6
1,939.5
740.3
206.1
28,105.0
2000
2,592.5
7,300.9
6,650.2
5,482.2
3,635.5
1,988.5
759.1
212.1
28,621.1
2001
2,665.8
7,320.8
6,614.9
5,476.9
3,760.3
2,035.6
783.5
219.1
28,876.9
2002
2,732.6
7,415.3
6,576.1
5,515.4
3,840.1
2,076.2
813.2
225.6
29,194.5
2003
2,809.7
7,567.4
6,513.4
5,530.1
3,904.6
2,127.8
839.7
236.8
29,529.4
2004
2,960.4
7,695.3
6,543.4
5,491.8
4,004.3
2,148.7
870.8
243.6
29,958.3
2005
3,145.5
7,836.7
6,582.9
5,498.1
4,039.5
2,212.8
895.0
252.1
30,462.6
2006
3,281.2
8,058.0
6,659.7
5,475.4
4,042.3
2,293.0
915.5
258.7
30,983.8
2007
3,307.6
8,393.2
6,774.5
5,451.3
4,075.8
2,342.4
933.9
269.5
31,548.2
2008
3,437.7
8,770.9
6,980.1
5,405.9
4,090.8
2,382.7
957.5
277.7
32,303.2
2009
3,768.8
9,182.0
7,161.8
5,438.4
4,066.2
2,443.4
965.7
284.1
33,310.3
2010
4,135.4
9,523.2
7,358.2
5,481.1
4,075.4
2,466.6
995.4
291.8
34,327.2

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by adding awards to number in force at beginning of year, and applying termination rates.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001