Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B44—Children of Retired Workers With Benefits In Force and as a Percent of
Male Retired Workers In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
Minor children
Disabled children
Student children
Total children
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
1975
404.8
4.214
...
122.1
1.271
...
144.1
1.500
...
671.1
6.985
1976
398.6
4.057
...
126.1
1.284
...
154.0
1.568
...
678.7
6.909
1977
411.2
4.072
...
130.7
1.294
...
161.3
1.597
...
703.2
6.963
1978
392.4
3.812
...
137.5
1.336
...
166.1
1.614
...
696.0
6.762
1979
378.2
3.578
...
141.4
1.338
...
164.9
1.560
...
684.5
6.476
1980
366.0
3.380
...
145.1
1.340
...
171.6
1.585
...
682.7
6.304
1981
350.7
3.160
...
148.2
1.335
...
177.1
1.595
...
676.0
6.090
1982
337.4
2.968
...
153.0
1.346
...
113.7
1.001
...
604.0
5.315
1983
326.3
2.802
...
160.2
1.375
...
66.2
.569
...
552.7
4.746
1984
312.1
2.630
...
166.7
1.404
...
37.7
.317
...
516.5
4.352
1985
301.2
2.486
...
175.1
1.445
...
18.1
.149
...
494.4
4.081
1986
294.1
2.374
...
184.6
1.490
...
17.1
.138
...
495.8
4.002
1987
283.7
2.247
...
193.8
1.535
...
16.4
.130
...
494.0
3.913
1988
272.1
2.123
...
201.5
1.573
...
18.2
.142
...
491.7
3.838
1989
262.2
2.012
...
207.6
1.593
...
17.1
.131
...
486.8
3.736
1990
259.3
1.957
...
214.8
1.621
...
16.8
.127
...
490.9
3.705
1991
257.9
1.913
...
222.7
1.652
...
16.4
.122
...
497.0
3.687
1992
261.0
1.903
...
231.9
1.691
...
16.5
.120
...
509.4
3.714
1993
262.8
1.892
...
240.1
1.729
...
16.7
.120
...
519.7
3.741
1994
264.6
1.885
...
246.6
1.757
...
16.7
.119
...
527.8
3.761
1995
265.8
1.877
...
252.2
1.780
...
16.6
.117
...
534.6
3.774
1996
266.2
1.866
...
256.4
1.797
...
16.8
.117
...
539.4
3.781
1997
264.4
1.841
...
259.9
1.810
...
17.0
.118
...
541.3
3.770
1998
263.5
1.825
...
263.1
1.822
...
16.9
.117
...
543.5
3.764
1999
266.4
1.830
...
266.0
1.827
...
16.2
.112
...
548.6
3.769
2000
279.5
1.883
...
269.6
1.816
...
17.3
.117
...
566.4
3.815
2001-II
285.8
1.918
0.012
270.3
1.814
-0.001
19.4
.130
0.134
575.5
3.863
2001-IV
285.4
1.910
...
271.6
1.817
...
16.9
.113
...
573.9
3.840
2002-II
291.4
1.939
.012
272.0
1.810
-.001
19.2
.128
.134
582.6
3.877
2002-IV
290.5
1.925
...
272.9
1.808
...
17.0
.113
...
580.4
3.846
2003-II
296.2
1.952
.012
273.1
1.799
-.001
19.4
.128
.134
588.7
3.879
2003-IV
295.0
1.935
...
273.7
1.795
...
17.2
.113
...
585.9
3.843
2004-II
300.4
1.955
.012
273.6
1.781
-.001
19.6
.127
.134
593.6
3.864
2004-IV
298.7
1.933
...
274.0
1.773
...
17.3
.112
...
590.1
3.818
2005-II
303.9
1.950
.012
273.7
1.756
-.001
19.7
.126
.134
597.3
3.832
2005-IV
302.0
1.924
...
273.9
1.745
...
17.4
.111
...
593.3
3.780
2006-II
306.6
1.936
.012
273.4
1.726
-.001
19.9
.126
.134
599.9
3.788
2006-IV
304.0
1.906
...
273.4
1.714
...
17.7
.111
...
595.1
3.731
2007-II
307.8
1.912
.012
272.7
1.694
-.001
20.4
.126
.134
600.9
3.732
2007-IV
304.5
1.876
...
272.5
1.680
...
18.2
.112
...
595.1
3.668
2008-II
307.4
1.871
.012
271.7
1.654
-.001
20.8
.127
.134
600.0
3.652
2008-IV
303.2
1.827
...
271.4
1.636
...
18.5
.112
...
593.2
3.575
2009-II
306.1
1.814
.012
270.6
1.604
-.001
21.1
.125
.134
597.7
3.543
2009-IV
301.8
1.765
...
270.2
1.580
...
18.6
.109
...
590.6
3.454
2010-II
304.6
1.753
.012
269.3
1.550
-.001
21.1
.121
.134
595.1
3.425
2010-IV
300.4
1.706
...
268.9
1.528
...
18.5
.105
...
587.9
3.339

Sources:

End of year number of children shown earlier.

Historical excess of June 30th number over average of December 31st numbers calculated using June 30th data from 1-A Table In Force Supplement.

Future excess of June 30th number over average of December 31st numbers are projected to remain at the last known rate.

Future June 30th numbers are projected from December 31st numbers and excess June 30th ratios.

Children of retired workers as a percent of male retired workers are calculated using numbers of children and numbers of male retired workers shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001