Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B45—Children of Retired Workers With Benefits In Current-Payment Status and as a Percent of Male Retired Workers In Current-Payment Status
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
Minor children
Disabled children
Student children
Total children
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
  Excess
  Number
  Percent
of male
retired
workers
1975
390.6
4.262
...
118.8
1.296
...
133.2
1.453
...
642.6
7.011
1976
385.3
4.089
...
123.0
1.306
...
144.5
1.534
...
652.8
6.929
1977
389.1
4.005
...
128.4
1.322
...
160.5
1.652
...
677.9
6.978
1978
376.7
3.793
...
132.8
1.337
...
151.4
1.525
...
660.8
6.655
1979
365.9
3.590
...
137.2
1.346
...
148.9
1.460
...
652.0
6.396
1980
354.8
3.391
...
140.5
1.343
...
143.4
1.370
...
638.7
6.105
1981
340.4
3.161
...
143.6
1.334
...
148.9
1.383
...
632.9
5.878
1982
322.4
2.922
...
144.5
1.309
...
90.7
.822
...
557.6
5.053
1983
310.2
2.730
...
148.5
1.307
...
53.3
.469
...
511.9
4.505
1984
295.3
2.551
...
152.7
1.319
...
28.8
.249
...
476.8
4.118
1985
284.3
2.405
...
157.0
1.328
...
14.8
.125
...
456.1
3.859
1986
275.0
2.275
...
161.8
1.339
...
13.0
.107
...
449.7
3.721
1987
261.7
2.128
...
165.7
1.347
...
11.9
.096
...
439.2
3.571
1988
249.2
1.995
...
168.8
1.351
...
13.6
.109
...
431.6
3.455
1989
239.0
1.879
...
170.1
1.337
...
12.6
.099
...
421.7
3.315
1990
236.0
1.817
...
173.2
1.334
...
12.2
.094
...
421.4
3.245
1991
235.7
1.782
...
176.8
1.337
...
12.3
.093
...
424.9
3.213
1992
238.4
1.770
...
181.4
1.346
...
11.7
.087
...
431.5
3.202
1993
239.6
1.755
...
184.8
1.354
...
11.6
.085
...
436.0
3.195
1994
241.1
1.748
...
187.3
1.358
...
11.4
.083
...
439.8
3.188
1995
241.7
1.737
...
188.8
1.356
...
10.9
.078
...
441.4
3.171
1996
241.9
1.726
...
189.6
1.353
...
10.9
.078
...
442.4
3.156
1997
240.0
1.699
...
189.6
1.343
...
11.3
.080
...
441.0
3.122
1998
238.4
1.678
...
189.6
1.334
...
10.6
.075
...
438.6
3.087
1999
240.9
1.681
...
189.7
1.324
...
11.3
.079
...
441.9
3.084
2000
255.9
1.732
...
191.5
1.296
...
11.5
.078
...
458.9
3.106
2001-II
262.8
1.771
0.016
192.0
1.294
0.000
14.3
.097
0.271
469.1
3.162
2001-IV
261.3
1.755
...
192.5
1.293
...
11.1
.075
...
464.9
3.123
2002-II
267.9
1.787
.016
192.8
1.286
.000
14.2
.094
.271
474.8
3.167
2002-IV
265.9
1.769
...
193.0
1.284
...
11.2
.074
...
470.1
3.128
2003-II
272.3
1.798
.016
193.2
1.275
.000
14.3
.094
.271
479.8
3.167
2003-IV
270.0
1.778
...
193.3
1.273
...
11.4
.075
...
474.6
3.126
2004-II
276.1
1.799
.016
193.3
1.259
.000
14.5
.094
.271
483.8
3.153
2004-IV
273.4
1.777
...
193.2
1.256
...
11.4
.074
...
478.0
3.107
2005-II
279.4
1.793
.016
193.1
1.239
.000
14.6
.093
.271
487.0
3.126
2005-IV
276.4
1.768
...
192.9
1.234
...
11.5
.074
...
480.8
3.076
2006-II
281.8
1.782
.016
192.6
1.218
.000
14.8
.093
.271
489.1
3.093
2006-IV
278.1
1.752
...
192.4
1.212
...
11.7
.074
...
482.2
3.037
2007-II
282.8
1.762
.016
192.0
1.196
.000
15.1
.094
.271
489.9
3.053
2007-IV
278.4
1.724
...
191.7
1.187
...
12.1
.075
...
482.2
2.986
2008-II
282.4
1.725
.016
191.3
1.169
.000
15.5
.095
.271
489.1
2.989
2008-IV
277.2
1.679
...
190.9
1.156
...
12.3
.075
...
480.5
2.909
2009-II
281.1
1.674
.016
190.5
1.134
.000
15.7
.093
.271
487.2
2.901
2009-IV
275.9
1.621
...
190.1
1.117
...
12.3
.073
...
478.3
2.811
2010-II
279.8
1.624
.016
189.6
1.101
.000
15.6
.091
.271
485.0
2.816
2010-IV
274.7
1.568
...
189.2
1.080
...
12.2
.070
...
476.1
2.717

Sources:

End of year numbers of children shown earlier.

Historical excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers calculated using June 30th data from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement.

Future excess of June 30th numbers over average of December 31st numbers are projected to remain at the last known rate.

Future June 30th numbers are projected from December 31st numbers and excess June 30th ratios.

Children of retired workers as a percent of male retired workers are calculated using numbers of children and numbers of male retired workers shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001