Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B51—Young Spouses of Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld,
as a Percentage of Young Spouses In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  17-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-66
  Total
Male worker
1975
6.818
5.992
5.985
6.004
5.996
5.999
6.001
6.001
5.999
5.996
0.000
5.999
1976
6.897
6.029
5.951
6.026
5.993
6.003
6.001
5.999
6.002
6.003
.000
6.001
1977
6.897
6.004
5.934
6.007
6.000
6.001
6.001
6.000
6.001
6.002
.000
6.001
1978
2.439
3.704
5.854
5.711
6.474
6.029
6.285
5.782
5.297
7.359
.000
6.068
1979
5.128
4.492
5.442
5.685
6.147
5.896
6.077
5.679
5.553
5.994
.000
5.794
1980
5.455
4.500
4.878
5.280
5.900
5.906
6.003
5.391
5.401
5.997
.000
5.658
1981
4.167
5.026
5.147
5.647
6.204
6.706
6.617
6.015
5.997
6.282
.000
6.198
1982
.000
5.621
5.241
6.015
6.481
7.492
7.284
6.754
6.720
6.594
.000
6.801
1983
6.452
5.298
5.666
5.617
6.854
7.132
7.582
7.088
8.095
8.778
.000
7.665
1984
14.286
4.815
5.018
5.638
6.819
7.549
7.085
7.224
7.698
10.992
.000
7.954
1985
6.250
4.982
6.943
5.802
6.726
7.062
7.210
7.044
7.818
9.241
.000
7.580
1986
21.739
4.247
7.399
7.043
7.310
7.302
7.277
7.281
7.710
8.667
.000
7.627
1987
12.500
7.031
8.394
8.254
8.278
8.975
8.490
8.345
8.869
9.018
.000
8.676
1988
4.348
11.765
7.388
8.679
8.374
9.036
8.824
8.918
8.989
8.909
.000
8.864
1989
4.762
8.947
9.689
7.730
8.125
8.473
8.310
8.253
8.833
8.850
.000
8.504
1990
12.500
7.303
9.450
8.737
7.780
7.956
8.199
2.114
8.807
8.363
.000
7.237
1991
9.091
8.108
9.378
8.787
7.951
7.246
8.087
8.215
8.732
8.180
.000
8.152
1992
.000
5.128
9.091
9.552
9.151
8.340
8.458
7.911
9.197
9.308
.000
8.735
1993
16.667
12.736
7.368
7.862
7.503
8.306
8.900
8.577
9.539
9.074
.000
8.745
1994
.000
8.333
10.495
8.741
8.404
7.948
8.183
8.254
8.747
8.237
.000
8.329
1995
12.500
6.504
11.001
9.088
8.279
8.468
8.219
8.829
9.054
8.320
.000
8.584
1996
33.333
9.910
16.134
15.752
18.172
20.066
20.243
17.911
14.265
10.987
.000
16.590
1997
57.143
15.534
17.213
17.241
19.514
20.898
21.294
18.386
14.811
11.198
.000
17.279
1998
45.455
8.750
17.691
19.068
20.223
22.365
22.323
19.124
14.795
11.308
.000
17.928
1999
40.000
9.333
17.842
19.462
20.510
22.481
22.205
19.500
14.678
11.383
.000
18.042
2000
50.000
6.250
12.944
19.113
19.798
21.565
20.379
18.481
14.238
10.602
.000
17.082
2001
24.401
7.774
12.820
19.164
19.827
21.564
20.377
18.467
14.236
10.595
.000
17.085
2002
23.383
6.866
12.734
19.157
19.837
21.567
20.372
18.490
14.267
10.609
.000
17.086
2003
22.952
6.340
12.760
19.154
19.834
21.580
20.376
18.496
14.263
10.613
9.132
17.025
2004
22.951
6.804
12.706
19.140
19.825
21.577
20.375
18.491
14.257
10.608
9.132
16.959
2005
22.950
6.836
12.744
19.125
19.818
21.578
20.375
18.499
14.251
10.608
9.132
16.897
2006
22.949
6.798
12.816
19.136
19.828
21.577
20.374
18.490
14.244
10.609
9.132
16.838
2007
22.950
6.796
12.737
19.151
19.827
21.584
20.374
18.489
14.253
10.609
9.132
16.780
2008
22.952
6.793
12.733
19.143
19.828
21.579
20.373
18.490
14.257
10.607
9.132
16.723
2009
22.952
6.791
12.750
19.141
19.827
21.578
20.373
18.489
14.256
10.612
9.132
16.717
2010
22.952
6.790
12.747
19.137
19.823
21.577
20.372
18.491
14.257
10.611
9.132
16.710
Female worker
1975
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1976
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1977
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1978
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1979
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1980
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1981
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1982
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
66.667
.000
.000
.000
13.333
1983
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
13.636
12.000
.000
8.108
1984
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
6.667
16.667
15.385
10.145
.000
10.227
1985
.000
.000
.000
.000
7.692
8.333
12.500
5.000
13.636
11.594
.000
10.465
1986
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
50.000
.000
.000
9.615
14.103
.000
11.039
1987
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
33.333
.000
-7.143
11.364
11.268
.000
9.420
1988
.000
.000
.000
100.000
.000
50.000
.000
.000
15.909
17.647
.000
15.789
1989
.000
.000
.000
50.000
.000
50.000
.000
10.000
14.894
23.636
.000
18.852
1990
.000
.000
.000
50.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
10.000
15.517
.000
11.765
1991
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
9.091
5.556
19.048
.000
12.000
1992
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
-33.333
-25.000
-14.286
.000
27.941
.000
12.712
1993
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
-33.333
-20.000
-16.667
-7.407
24.194
.000
9.524
1994
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
16.667
22.222
16.667
6.818
.000
11.702
1995
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
33.333
15.385
11.111
16.667
.000
15.217
1996
.000
.000
.000
.000
100.000
.000
28.571
15.385
22.727
20.000
.000
20.690
1997
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
40.000
50.000
9.091
12.500
30.303
.000
24.051
1998
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
71.429
40.000
12.500
14.286
26.316
.000
25.287
1999
.000
.000
.000
.000
100.000
66.667
50.000
25.000
13.158
33.333
.000
26.136
2000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
50.000
60.000
33.333
20.000
33.333
.000
30.337
2001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
10.757
41.554
29.128
18.086
32.163
.000
26.436
2002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
10.944
35.899
32.460
18.244
31.812
.000
26.201
2003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
26.243
50.260
30.471
17.318
32.744
60.000
27.086
2004
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
31.532
46.539
29.203
17.587
32.883
60.000
27.265
2005
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
10.630
42.598
30.974
18.647
33.299
60.000
27.791
2006
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
33.579
44.546
30.459
18.068
33.115
60.000
27.977
2007
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
45.507
45.091
30.249
18.181
32.881
60.000
28.277
2008
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
37.039
41.036
30.270
18.030
32.567
60.000
28.245
2009
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
37.139
40.888
30.258
18.199
32.451
60.000
28.331
2010
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
37.026
41.619
30.240
18.152
32.823
60.000
28.405

Sources:

Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.

Future percentages projected based on historical trends.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


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December 26, 2001