Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
|
|
| Calendar period |
In force |
Withheld |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1983 |
360.4 |
.021 |
0.1 |
... |
8.108 |
0.1 |
... |
|
| 359.6 |
.049 |
.2 |
... |
10.227 |
.2 |
... |
||
| 362.4 |
.047 |
.2 |
... |
10.465 |
.2 |
... |
||
| 365.9 |
.042 |
.2 |
... |
11.039 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 369.0 |
.037 |
.1 |
... |
9.420 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 373.1 |
.036 |
.1 |
... |
15.789 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 377.3 |
.032 |
.1 |
... |
18.852 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 385.8 |
.031 |
.1 |
... |
11.765 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 395.9 |
.032 |
.1 |
... |
12.000 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 408.8 |
.029 |
.1 |
... |
12.712 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 419.6 |
.025 |
.1 |
... |
9.524 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 427.4 |
.022 |
.1 |
... |
11.702 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 434.0 |
.021 |
.1 |
... |
15.217 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 438.4 |
.020 |
.1 |
... |
20.690 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 441.9 |
.018 |
.1 |
... |
24.051 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 444.8 |
.020 |
.1 |
... |
25.287 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 450.1 |
.020 |
.1 |
... |
26.136 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 463.2 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
30.337 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 468.0 |
.019 |
.1 |
0.006 |
29.143 |
.1 |
-0.008 |
||
| 469.1 |
.020 |
.1 |
... |
26.087 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 473.2 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
26.822 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 473.6 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
25.556 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 477.3 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
27.249 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 477.1 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
26.966 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 480.0 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
28.351 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 479.0 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
27.778 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 481.1 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
28.749 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 479.3 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
27.778 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 480.5 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
28.749 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 477.8 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
27.778 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 478.8 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
28.749 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 476.0 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
27.778 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 476.8 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
29.143 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 473.8 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
28.571 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 475.0 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
29.143 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 472.3 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
27.778 |
.1 |
... |
||
| 473.5 |
.019 |
.1 |
.006 |
29.297 |
.1 |
-.008 |
||
| 470.9 |
.019 |
.1 |
... |
28.889 |
.1 |
... |
||
1 This benefit became available on October 17, 1980, but was not paid in significant numbers until November 1983. 2 Includes minor children under age 16 and all disabled children of retired workers. 3 Fewer than 50. |
· Numbers of minor and disabled children of retired workers shown earlier.
· Ratios of number in force to number of minor and disabled children computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers in force from In Force Table; future end of December figures computed by applying single year of age award rates (awards per minor child of retired worker under age 16 and disabled child of retired worker awards) and termination rates; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
· Historical ratios of number withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future end of December ratios projected to remain at last known rate by single year of age; future end of June ratios computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force; future end of December figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force; future June figures computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force.
· Historical numbers in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future end of December figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
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List of Studies
December 26, 2001