Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B71—Aged Wives of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widows of Deceased Workers,
Age 65 or Older, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Uninsured
female
population
age 65 or older
Aged wife and uninsured widow
beneficiaries age 65 or older
Aged wife beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Aged
uninsured
widow
beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Percent of
uninsured
female population
age 65 or older
Number
Percent of
aged wife and
uninsured widow
beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Number
1975
6,555.6
75.697
4,962.4
46.398
2,302.5
2,660.0
1976
6,582.7
76.562
5,039.8
46.191
2,327.9
2,711.9
1977
6,616.3
77.331
5,116.5
45.902
2,348.5
2,767.9
1978
6,628.3
78.300
5,189.9
45.708
2,372.2
2,817.7
1979
6,631.0
79.434
5,267.2
45.538
2,398.6
2,868.6
1980
6,633.0
80.253
5,323.2
45.455
2,419.7
2,903.5
1981
6,634.1
80.986
5,372.7
45.316
2,434.7
2,938.0
1982
6,682.0
81.059
5,416.3
45.186
2,447.4
2,968.9
1983
6,669.7
81.866
5,460.2
45.128
2,464.1
2,996.1
1984
6,698.6
81.980
5,491.5
44.993
2,470.8
3,020.8
1985
6,718.9
82.493
5,542.6
45.009
2,494.7
3,047.9
1986
6,804.4
83.065
5,652.1
44.763
2,530.1
3,122.1
1987
6,819.3
83.506
5,694.5
44.843
2,553.6
3,140.9
1988
6,824.9
83.788
5,718.4
44.953
2,570.6
3,147.9
1989
6,833.4
84.351
5,764.1
45.047
2,596.5
3,167.5
1990
6,838.0
84.569
5,782.8
45.239
2,616.1
3,166.7
1991
6,863.1
84.718
5,814.2
45.269
2,632.1
3,182.2
1992
6,869.3
84.773
5,823.4
45.523
2,651.0
3,172.4
1993
6,845.4
84.962
5,816.0
45.648
2,654.9
3,161.1
1994
6,825.7
85.025
5,803.5
45.701
2,652.3
3,151.3
1995
6,761.8
85.531
5,783.4
45.834
2,650.8
3,132.7
1996
6,703.6
85.749
5,748.3
45.868
2,636.6
3,111.7
1997
6,532.9
87.237
5,699.1
45.940
2,618.2
3,080.9
1998
6,413.7
87.600
5,618.4
46.008
2,584.9
3,033.4
1999
6,341.4
87.602
5,555.2
45.979
2,554.2
3,001.0
2000
6,280.2
87.456
5,492.4
46.032
2,528.2
2,964.1
2001-II
6,237.6
87.480
5,456.7
46.097
2,515.4
2,941.3
2001-IV
6,194.6
87.674
5,431.0
46.163
2,507.1
2,923.9
2002-II
6,156.2
87.698
5,398.9
46.228
2,495.8
2,903.1
2002-IV
6,117.3
87.887
5,376.3
46.294
2,488.9
2,887.4
2003-II
6,082.9
87.912
5,347.6
46.360
2,479.1
2,868.5
2003-IV
6,047.9
88.095
5,327.9
46.425
2,473.5
2,854.4
2004-II
6,013.8
88.121
5,299.4
46.491
2,463.7
2,835.6
2004-IV
5,979.1
88.298
5,279.4
46.556
2,457.9
2,821.5
2005-II
5,946.6
88.323
5,252.2
46.622
2,448.7
2,803.5
2005-IV
5,913.4
88.495
5,233.1
46.688
2,443.2
2,789.9
2006-II
5,883.8
88.520
5,208.3
46.753
2,435.1
2,773.3
2006-IV
5,853.4
88.687
5,191.2
46.819
2,430.5
2,760.7
2007-II
5,833.3
88.711
5,174.8
46.885
2,426.2
2,748.6
2007-IV
5,811.9
88.872
5,165.2
46.950
2,425.1
2,740.1
2008-II
5,792.9
88.896
5,149.7
47.016
2,421.2
2,728.5
2008-IV
5,772.3
89.053
5,140.4
47.081
2,420.2
2,720.2
2009-II
5,743.6
89.076
5,116.2
47.147
2,412.1
2,704.1
2009-IV
5,713.6
89.227
5,098.1
47.213
2,406.9
2,691.1
2010-II
5,681.1
89.250
5,070.4
47.278
2,397.2
2,673.2
2010-IV
5,647.4
89.397
5,048.6
47.344
2,390.2
2,658.4

Sources:

· Uninsured female population age 65 or older computed by subtracting insured female population age 65 or older (shown earlier) from population age 65 or older (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).

· Historical ratio to uninsured female population computed by dividing sum of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force age 65 or older by uninsured female population age 65 or older; future ratios projected by regression.

· Historical numbers of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured female population.

· Historical ratio of aged wife beneficiaries to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

· Future numbers of aged wife beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

· Future numbers of aged uninsured widow beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged wife beneficiaries from aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001