Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B74—Aged Uninsured Widows of Deceased Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age, end of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Withheld
Percent of aged uninsured widow beneficiaries in force
  60-64
  65 or older
  Total
  60-64
  65 or older
  Total
1975
4.2
7.0
11.2
1.463
0.262
0.379
1976
3.6
4.8
8.4
1.310
.177
.281
1977
5.6
3.3
8.9
2.089
.118
.293
1978
2.5
5.1
7.6
1.045
.180
.248
1979
2.0
5.2
7.2
.849
.180
.231
1980
1.1
2.7
3.8
.502
.092
.121
1981
4.2
4.0
8.2
1.874
.137
.260
1982
1.7
7.5
9.1
.740
.252
.286
1983
1.4
7.3
8.7
.587
.243
.268
1984
1.7
8.4
10.1
.681
.278
.309
1985
3.0
17.5
20.5
1.177
.576
.622
1986
4.4
22.3
26.6
1.768
.713
.790
1987
5.3
24.5
29.9
2.028
.782
.878
1988
3.9
33.4
37.2
1.537
1.060
1.095
1989
3.5
37.5
41.0
1.459
1.183
1.203
1990
3.4
42.0
45.3
1.486
1.325
1.336
1991
4.9
45.0
50.0
2.182
1.415
1.466
1992
7.0
63.1
70.0
3.364
1.989
2.073
1993
4.1
63.0
67.1
2.164
1.993
2.003
1994
4.6
84.9
89.4
2.576
2.693
2.686
1995
4.4
97.1
101.5
2.703
3.100
3.081
1996
6.8
107.2
114.0
4.421
3.445
3.491
1997
4.7
111.6
116.3
3.364
3.622
3.611
1998
3.4
119.9
123.3
2.471
3.951
3.886
1999
3.3
130.5
133.8
2.594
4.349
4.276
2000
5.0
133.9
138.9
4.258
4.517
4.507
2001-II
5.0
132.8
137.8
4.280
4.513
4.504
2001-IV
5.1
131.9
136.9
4.303
4.510
4.502
2002-II
5.1
130.8
135.9
4.325
4.507
4.500
2002-IV
5.1
130.1
135.2
4.348
4.504
4.498
2003-II
5.2
129.1
134.3
4.370
4.501
4.496
2003-IV
5.2
128.4
133.6
4.392
4.498
4.494
2004-II
5.2
127.5
132.6
4.415
4.495
4.492
2004-IV
5.2
126.7
131.9
4.437
4.492
4.489
2005-II
5.2
125.8
131.0
4.460
4.488
4.487
2005-IV
5.1
125.1
130.3
4.482
4.485
4.485
2006-II
5.2
124.3
129.5
4.504
4.482
4.483
2006-IV
5.2
123.7
128.8
4.527
4.479
4.481
2007-II
5.2
123.0
128.2
4.549
4.476
4.479
2007-IV
5.2
122.6
127.8
4.572
4.473
4.477
2008-II
5.2
122.0
127.2
4.594
4.470
4.475
2008-IV
5.2
121.5
126.7
4.616
4.467
4.473
2009-II
5.2
120.7
125.9
4.639
4.464
4.470
2009-IV
5.1
120.0
125.2
4.661
4.460
4.468
2010-II
5.1
119.2
124.3
4.684
4.457
4.466
2010-IV
5.1
118.4
123.5
4.706
4.454
4.464

Sources:

· Historical numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed as number in force minus number in current-payment status; future numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed by applying applicable percentage to number of beneficiaries in force.

· Historical percentages of aged uninsured widows computed by dividing number withheld by number in force; future percentages for each age group projected to increase to ultimate rate based on historical pattern and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001