Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B78—Aged Husbands of Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age, end of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Withheld
Percent of aged husband beneficiaries in force
  62-64
  65 or older
  Total
  62-64
  65 or older
  Total
1975
(1)
0.1
0.1
4.484
1.715
1.798
1976
(1)
.1
.1
3.636
1.610
1.673
1977
0.1
1.1
1.2
2.897
3.545
3.480
1978
1.3
5.3
6.5
31.947
12.890
14.567
1979
1.9
9.1
11.0
51.715
19.571
21.889
1980
2.3
13.3
15.6
71.869
25.794
28.517
1981
2.7
18.0
20.8
76.566
32.338
34.992
1982
3.1
23.3
26.3
78.634
38.593
41.012
1983
3.5
29.2
32.7
79.618
44.527
46.733
1984
3.9
35.3
39.2
79.823
49.948
51.874
1985
4.0
42.2
46.2
79.600
54.982
56.488
1986
4.0
49.5
53.4
79.820
59.572
60.721
1987
3.9
55.6
59.4
79.756
63.006
63.877
1988
3.6
61.1
64.6
78.433
65.967
66.548
1989
2.9
65.2
68.1
75.621
67.947
68.244
1990
2.6
68.3
70.9
73.217
69.424
69.556
1991
2.2
70.3
72.5
69.067
70.440
70.398
1992
1.9
71.1
73.0
65.310
70.948
70.789
1993
1.9
71.2
73.1
64.730
71.142
70.959
1994
1.8
70.9
72.8
62.343
71.229
70.974
1995
1.7
70.2
71.9
61.059
71.076
70.801
1996
1.5
69.5
71.0
59.984
70.894
70.627
1997
1.3
68.4
69.8
58.929
70.383
70.121
1998
1.2
66.9
68.1
55.475
69.791
69.468
1999
1.3
65.4
66.7
54.345
69.006
68.650
2000
1.4
64.2
65.6
55.983
67.307
67.015
2001-II
1.4
62.8
64.2
54.564
67.315
66.978
2001-IV
1.4
62.3
63.6
55.983
67.323
67.025
2002-II
1.3
62.0
63.4
54.564
67.330
66.999
2002-IV
1.4
61.7
63.1
55.983
67.338
67.045
2003-II
1.3
61.5
62.8
54.564
67.346
67.019
2003-IV
1.3
61.2
62.5
55.983
67.354
67.066
2004-II
1.3
60.9
62.2
54.564
67.362
67.036
2004-IV
1.3
60.6
61.9
55.983
67.370
67.079
2005-II
1.3
60.2
61.5
54.564
67.378
67.051
2005-IV
1.3
59.9
61.2
55.983
67.386
67.096
2006-II
1.3
59.6
60.9
54.564
67.393
67.060
2006-IV
1.3
59.2
60.6
55.983
67.401
67.098
2007-II
1.3
59.0
60.4
54.564
67.409
67.058
2007-IV
1.4
58.8
60.2
55.983
67.417
67.095
2008-II
1.4
58.6
60.0
54.564
67.425
67.055
2008-IV
1.5
58.4
59.8
55.983
67.433
67.097
2009-II
1.4
58.1
59.6
54.564
67.441
67.055
2009-IV
1.5
57.8
59.3
55.983
67.449
67.099
2010-II
1.5
57.5
59.0
54.564
67.456
67.053
2010-IV
1.6
57.2
58.8
55.983
67.464
67.094

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed as number in force minus number in current-payment status; future numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed by applying applicable percentage to number of beneficiaries in force.

· Historical percentages of aged husbands computed by dividing number withheld by number in force; future percentages for aged husbands under 65 projected to remain at last known rate (June or December); those 65 or older are projected to increase to ultimate rate based on historical pattern and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001