Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B80—Aged Uninsured Widowers of Deceased Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age, end of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Withheld
Percent of aged uninsured widower beneficiaries in force
  60-64
  65 or older
  Total
  60-64
  65 or older
  Total
1975
5.262
0.131
0.256
1976
5.128
.198
.322
1977
0.1
0.1
0.2
29.269
2.352
3.746
1978
.3
.3
9.050
4.109
4.444
1979
.1
.5
.6
12.012
6.894
7.318
1980
.3
.4
.7
32.357
4.853
7.101
1981
.5
1.0
1.5
57.900
9.515
13.540
1982
.4
1.9
2.3
35.305
16.517
18.102
1983
.5
2.8
3.3
36.065
21.712
23.003
1984
.5
3.8
4.3
35.578
26.387
27.214
1985
.5
4.8
5.4
35.335
30.938
31.306
1986
.6
6.1
6.6
26.291
34.678
33.761
1987
.6
7.3
7.9
27.167
38.235
37.072
1988
.1
8.0
8.0
4.120
39.806
36.898
1989
.6
9.9
10.5
26.596
44.635
42.955
1990
.6
11.2
11.8
26.204
47.262
45.365
1991
.7
12.4
13.1
32.543
49.227
47.990
1992
.3
12.8
13.1
15.612
49.858
47.430
1993
.3
14.0
14.3
14.944
51.699
49.122
1994
.2
13.8
14.0
11.067
53.545
51.199
1995
.2
16.3
16.5
11.402
57.424
55.075
1996
.2
17.2
17.4
10.982
61.983
59.143
1997
.2
17.3
17.5
10.971
63.978
60.904
1998
.2
18.4
18.6
10.418
65.626
62.476
1999
.2
17.8
18.0
9.654
62.583
59.686
2000
.3
18.6
19.0
19.828
62.626
60.246
2001-II
.3
18.2
18.5
16.238
62.596
60.061
2001-IV
.3
18.1
18.4
19.828
62.567
60.246
2002-II
.3
18.0
18.3
16.238
62.537
60.043
2002-IV
.3
18.0
18.3
19.828
62.507
60.228
2003-II
.3
17.9
18.1
16.238
62.478
60.033
2003-IV
.3
17.8
18.1
19.828
62.448
60.221
2004-II
.3
17.7
18.0
16.238
62.418
59.992
2004-IV
.3
17.6
18.0
19.828
62.389
60.141
2005-II
.3
17.6
17.8
16.238
62.359
59.934
2005-IV
.3
17.5
17.8
19.828
62.329
60.105
2006-II
.3
17.4
17.6
16.238
62.299
59.841
2006-IV
.3
17.3
17.6
19.828
62.270
59.959
2007-II
.3
17.3
17.5
16.238
62.240
59.669
2007-IV
.3
17.2
17.5
19.828
62.210
59.780
2008-II
.3
17.2
17.4
16.238
62.181
59.499
2008-IV
.3
17.1
17.4
19.828
62.151
59.635
2009-II
.3
17.0
17.3
16.238
62.121
59.345
2009-IV
.4
16.9
17.3
19.828
62.091
59.486
2010-II
.3
16.9
17.2
16.238
62.062
59.159
2010-IV
.4
16.8
17.2
19.828
62.032
59.284

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

Historical numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed as number in force minus number in current-payment status; future numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed by applying applicable percentage to number of beneficiaries in force.

Historical percentages of aged uninsured widowers computed by dividing number withheld by number in force; future percentages for aged uninsured widowers under 65 projected to remain at last known rate (June or December); those 65 or older are projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001