Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B82—Parents of Deceased Workers With Benefits In Force, Withheld, and
In Current-Payment Status
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
In force
Withheld
Number in
current-payment
status
Percent of
number from
6 months earlier
Number
Percent of
number
in force
Number
1975
96.872
21.6
0.814
0.2
21.4
1976
96.687
20.1
.827
.2
19.9
1977
96.686
18.6
.699
.1
18.5
1978
96.927
17.3
.991
.2
17.2
1979
96.653
16.2
.994
.2
16.0
1980
96.523
15.0
1.103
.2
14.8
1981
96.519
13.8
1.511
.2
13.6
1982
95.909
12.7
1.763
.2
12.5
1983
95.830
11.6
1.780
.2
11.4
1984
95.971
10.7
2.052
.2
10.5
1985
96.200
9.8
2.364
.2
9.5
1986
96.363
9.0
2.859
.3
8.7
1987
95.954
8.2
3.297
.3
7.9
1988
95.912
7.5
4.235
.3
7.1
1989
96.514
6.8
5.191
.4
6.5
1990
95.950
6.3
5.894
.4
5.9
1991
97.189
5.8
6.451
.4
5.5
1992
97.394
5.5
7.481
.4
5.1
1993
97.486
5.1
8.713
.4
4.7
1994
96.717
4.8
9.533
.5
4.3
1995
97.056
4.5
10.652
.5
4.0
1996
96.897
4.2
11.630
.5
3.7
1997
97.410
3.9
12.602
.5
3.4
1998
97.369
3.7
13.915
.5
3.2
1999
96.820
3.4
14.821
.5
2.9
2000
97.818
3.3
16.015
.5
2.7
2001-II
96.522
3.2
15.776
.5
2.7
2001-IV
96.532
3.0
16.102
.5
2.6
2002-II
96.543
2.9
15.866
.5
2.5
2002-IV
96.555
2.8
16.194
.5
2.4
2003-II
96.566
2.7
15.961
.4
2.3
2003-IV
96.575
2.6
16.292
.4
2.2
2004-II
96.699
2.6
16.059
.4
2.2
2004-IV
96.823
2.5
16.388
.4
2.1
2005-II
96.946
2.4
16.153
.4
2.0
2005-IV
97.068
2.3
16.481
.4
2.0
2006-II
97.190
2.3
16.244
.4
1.9
2006-IV
97.311
2.2
16.569
.4
1.8
2007-II
97.431
2.2
16.331
.4
1.8
2007-IV
97.550
2.1
16.653
.3
1.7
2008-II
97.669
2.0
16.412
.3
1.7
2008-IV
97.787
2.0
16.732
.3
1.7
2009-II
97.905
2.0
16.488
.3
1.6
2009-IV
98.021
1.9
16.805
.3
1.6
2010-II
98.138
1.9
16.558
.3
1.6
2010-IV
98.253
1.9
16.871
.3
1.5

Sources:

· Historical numbers of parent beneficiaries in force from In Force Table; future numbers of parent beneficiaries in force computed by applying ratio to number from 6 months earlier.

· Historical ratio of number of parent beneficiaries to number from 6 months earlier computed by dividing corresponding numbers. Future ratios for parents projected by exponential regression on time, and modified by judgment.

· Historical ratio of number of parent beneficiaries withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical trend and judgment.

· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force.

· Historical numbers in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001