Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 
                    Actuarial Study No. 115 
                    Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.  | 
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|   Calendar period  | 
      FICA  | 
      SECA  | 
      State deposits  | 
    ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 
   Credit 1
 
 | 
    |||||||||
|   $47,434.0  | 
      ...  | 
      $2,522.0  | 
      ...  | 
      $6,319.0  | 
      ...  | 
      $810.0  | 
      -$269.7  | 
      $56,815.3  | 
  |
|   53,916.0  | 
      ...  | 
      2,670.0  | 
      ...  | 
      7,052.0  | 
      ...  | 
      28.1  | 
      -304.8  | 
      63,361.3  | 
  |
|   59,254.0  | 
      ...  | 
      3,054.0  | 
      ...  | 
      7,462.0  | 
      ...  | 
      99.9  | 
      -298.9  | 
      69,571.0  | 
  |
|   64,946.0  | 
      ...  | 
      3,293.0  | 
      ...  | 
      8,055.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -436.3  | 
      -387.2  | 
      75,470.5  | 
  |
|   75,611.0  | 
      ...  | 
      3,744.0  | 
      ...  | 
      9,125.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -111.3  | 
      -449.0  | 
      87,919.7  | 
  |
|   87,031.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,400.0  | 
      ...  | 
      11,810.0  | 
      ...  | 
      571.6  | 
      -357.5  | 
      103,455.1  | 
  |
|   103,990.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,146.0  | 
      ...  | 
      12,295.0  | 
      ...  | 
      1,576.1  | 
      -380.0  | 
      122,627.1  | 
  |
|   106,617.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,043.0  | 
      ...  | 
      12,264.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -1,014.3  | 
      -236.6  | 
      123,673.1  | 
  |
|   115,988.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,363.0  | 
      ...  | 
      13,803.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -2,145.5  | 
      -292.8  | 
      132,715.7  | 
  |
|   136,604.0  | 
      $3,594.0  | 
      6,636.0  | 
      $627.0  | 
      16,445.0  | 
      $385.9  | 
      -654.7  | 
      -296.0  | 
      163,341.2  | 
  |
|   149,559.0  | 
      49.4  | 
      7,877.0  | 
      1,767.0  | 
      17,201.0  | 
      12.9  | 
      615.7  | 
      -450.2  | 
      176,631.8  | 
  |
|   160,596.0  | 
      65.3  | 
      8,657.0  | 
      1,541.1  | 
      18,866.0  | 
      -1.6  | 
      1,230.3  | 
      -537.4  | 
      190,416.7  | 
  |
|   190,466.0  | 
      5.0  | 
      9,798.0  | 
      1,638.9  | 
      423.4  | 
      -1.2  | 
      429.2  | 
      -373.2  | 
      202,386.1  | 
  |
|   216,018.0  | 
      2.4  | 
      12,391.0  | 
      2,089.2  | 
      -8.1  | 
      ...  | 
      -489.7  | 
      -511.9  | 
      229,490.9  | 
  |
|   235,577.0  | 
      .6  | 
      13,668.0  | 
      2,065.2  | 
      -35.1  | 
      1.6  | 
      -594.6  | 
      -792.3  | 
      249,890.4  | 
  |
|   254,271.0  | 
      .6  | 
      15,924.0  | 
      1,419.9  | 
      12.8  | 
      -.1  | 
      -3,758.2  | 
      -790.8  | 
      267,079.2  | 
  |
|   257,794.0  | 
      .3  | 
      17,792.0  | 
      96.2  | 
      16.2  | 
      ...  | 
      -2,877.3  | 
      -603.8  | 
      272,217.6  | 
  |
|   267,062.0  | 
      ...  | 
      18,022.0  | 
      -138.8  | 
      -8.0  | 
      -1.7  | 
      -3,593.4  | 
      -677.6  | 
      280,664.5  | 
  |
|   279,226.0  | 
      .1  | 
      17,045.0  | 
      39.9  | 
      -43.3  | 
      ...  | 
      -5,203.0  | 
      -466.3  | 
      290,598.4  | 
  |
|   291,505.0  | 
      ...  | 
      18,502.0  | 
      6.1  | 
      2.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -16,234.4  | 
      -744.9  | 
      293,035.8  | 
  |
|   289,003.0  | 
      ...  | 
      18,306.0  | 
      -38.9  | 
      -1.6  | 
      ...  | 
      -2,247.2  | 
      -643.2  | 
      304,378.1  | 
  |
|   303,776.0  | 
      ...  | 
      18,608.0  | 
      1.3  | 
      -7.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -324.9  | 
      -759.6  | 
      321,293.8  | 
  |
|   331,246.0  | 
      ...  | 
      19,480.0  | 
      1.2  | 
      9.0  | 
      ...  | 
      -161.9  | 
      -895.3  | 
      349,679.0  | 
  |
|   352,868.0  | 
      ...  | 
      20,489.0  | 
      1.2  | 
      -9.5  | 
      ...  | 
      -606.3  | 
      -1,778.0  | 
      370,964.4  | 
  |
|   374,767.0  | 
      ...  | 
      21,310.0  | 
      .4  | 
      2.0  | 
      ...  | 
      1,346.3  | 
      -1,301.0  | 
      396,124.7  | 
  |
|   398,297.0  | 
      ...  | 
      22,627.0  | 
      .6  | 
      3.1  | 
      ...  | 
      2,150.7  | 
      -1,695.0  | 
      421,383.4  | 
  |
|   109,842.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,713.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      278.6  | 
      ...  | 
      114,833.6  | 
  |
|   110,097.0  | 
      ...  | 
      13,236.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      168.8  | 
      ...  | 
      123,501.8  | 
  |
|   102,345.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,256.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      222.2  | 
      -2,049.0  | 
      104,774.2  | 
  |
|   99,677.0  | 
      ...  | 
      509.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -757.1  | 
      ...  | 
      99,428.9  | 
  |
|   115,650.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,823.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      293.9  | 
      ...  | 
      120,766.9  | 
  |
|   116,514.0  | 
      ...  | 
      13,682.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      177.8  | 
      ...  | 
      130,373.8  | 
  |
|   107,841.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,446.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      234.1  | 
      -2,144.0  | 
      110,377.1  | 
  |
|   105,341.0  | 
      ...  | 
      534.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -793.5  | 
      ...  | 
      105,081.5  | 
  |
|   121,829.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,062.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      309.3  | 
      ...  | 
      127,200.3  | 
  |
|   121,672.0  | 
      ...  | 
      14,378.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      187.0  | 
      ...  | 
      136,237.0  | 
  |
|   112,831.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,679.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      246.6  | 
      -2,234.0  | 
      115,522.6  | 
  |
|   111,124.0  | 
      ...  | 
      562.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -807.9  | 
      ...  | 
      110,878.1  | 
  |
|   126,212.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,330.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      320.3  | 
      ...  | 
      131,862.3  | 
  |
|   127,280.0  | 
      ...  | 
      15,156.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      194.4  | 
      ...  | 
      142,630.4  | 
  |
|   118,096.0  | 
      ...  | 
      4,938.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      256.8  | 
      -2,313.0  | 
      120,977.8  | 
  |
|   118,653.0  | 
      ...  | 
      594.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -850.6  | 
      ...  | 
      118,396.4  | 
  |
|   132,721.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,628.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      333.9  | 
      ...  | 
      138,682.9  | 
  |
|   134,506.0  | 
      ...  | 
      16,006.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      202.8  | 
      ...  | 
      150,714.8  | 
  |
|   126,249.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,216.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      267.5  | 
      -2,409.0  | 
      129,323.5  | 
  |
|   121,792.0  | 
      ...  | 
      627.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -896.6  | 
      ...  | 
      121,522.4  | 
  |
|   140,550.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,945.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      350.2  | 
      ...  | 
      146,845.2  | 
  |
|   141,188.0  | 
      ...  | 
      16,916.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      212.3  | 
      ...  | 
      158,316.3  | 
  |
|   130,987.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,516.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      279.9  | 
      -2,533.0  | 
      134,249.9  | 
  |
|   127,642.0  | 
      ...  | 
      664.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -947.4  | 
      ...  | 
      127,358.6  | 
  |
|   147,924.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,288.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      368.4  | 
      ...  | 
      154,580.4  | 
  |
|   148,060.0  | 
      ...  | 
      17,888.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      223.1  | 
      ...  | 
      166,171.1  | 
  |
|   137,578.0  | 
      ...  | 
      5,831.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      293.9  | 
      -2,659.0  | 
      141,043.9  | 
  |
|   133,987.0  | 
      ...  | 
      701.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -1,001.0  | 
      ...  | 
      133,687.0  | 
  |
|   154,773.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,646.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      388.7  | 
      ...  | 
      161,807.7  | 
  |
|   154,863.0  | 
      ...  | 
      18,895.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      235.1  | 
      ...  | 
      173,993.1  | 
  |
|   143,618.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,155.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      309.7  | 
      -2,771.0  | 
      147,311.7  | 
  |
|   141,442.0  | 
      ...  | 
      740.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -1,059.1  | 
      ...  | 
      141,122.9  | 
  |
|   161,810.0  | 
      ...  | 
      7,013.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      410.7  | 
      ...  | 
      169,233.7  | 
  |
|   161,738.0  | 
      ...  | 
      19,918.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      248.1  | 
      ...  | 
      181,904.1  | 
  |
|   149,858.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,482.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      327.0  | 
      -2,896.0  | 
      153,771.0  | 
  |
|   150,631.0  | 
      ...  | 
      779.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -1,119.5  | 
      ...  | 
      150,290.5  | 
  |
|   167,383.0  | 
      ...  | 
      7,383.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      434.1  | 
      ...  | 
      175,200.1  | 
  |
|   170,571.0  | 
      ...  | 
      20,962.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      262.1  | 
      ...  | 
      191,795.1  | 
  |
|   159,457.0  | 
      ...  | 
      6,820.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      345.5  | 
      -3,038.0  | 
      163,584.5  | 
  |
|   157,018.0  | 
      ...  | 
      820.0  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      ...  | 
      -1,181.0  | 
      ...  | 
      156,657.0  | 
  |
1 Credit against FICA and SECA tax liability not applicable until 1984.  | 
  
· Historical amounts based on Department of the Treasury administrative records.
· Future amounts from econometric model in the Office of the Chief Actuary.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
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List of Studies
December 26, 2001