Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

V. ESTIMATES BASED ON ALTERNATIVE ASSUMPTIONS

A. LOW-COST ASSUMPTIONS

Table V.A7—Summary of OASDI Beneficiaries In Current-Payment Status
(Low-cost alternative, end of calendar half years 2001-10)
[In thousands]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Total
Retired
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
Total
Chil-
dren
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and
aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
2001-II
45,613.2
31,900.2
28,645.8
2,785.2
469.2
6,980.0
1,894.7
192.4
4,687.9
205.0
6,732.9
5,099.8
161.4
1,471.7
0.1
2001-IV
45,760.1
32,016.4
28,775.2
2,776.2
465.0
6,969.6
1,881.0
196.9
4,683.4
208.4
6,774.0
5,159.0
157.6
1,457.4
(1)

2002-II
46,010.3
32,187.4
28,945.8
2,766.5
475.0
6,967.8
1,896.9
186.7
4,673.0
211.2
6,855.1
5,230.2
155.1
1,469.8
(1)
2002-IV
46,176.6
32,308.0
29,077.5
2,760.1
470.4
6,959.7
1,882.2
191.3
4,672.5
213.8
6,908.9
5,296.5
152.2
1,460.1
(1)

2003-II
46,450.3
32,486.7
29,254.9
2,751.6
480.2
6,954.7
1,896.4
181.8
4,660.0
216.6
7,008.8
5,383.9
150.4
1,474.4
(1)
2003-IV
46,635.7
32,612.7
29,391.3
2,746.2
475.2
6,942.6
1,879.7
186.6
4,657.1
219.2
7,080.4
5,466.1
148.3
1,466.1
(1)

2004-II
46,969.1
32,847.8
29,627.5
2,735.7
484.7
6,939.3
1,893.6
177.5
4,645.8
222.4
7,182.0
5,552.4
147.2
1,482.4
(1)
2004-IV
47,182.0
32,999.0
29,791.9
2,728.0
479.1
6,928.4
1,876.3
182.5
4,644.0
225.5
7,254.6
5,633.4
145.7
1,475.5
(1)

2005-II
47,558.0
33,271.9
30,067.4
2,716.2
488.3
6,923.2
1,889.3
173.8
4,631.4
228.7
7,362.9
5,722.0
145.3
1,495.6
(1)
2005-IV
47,801.8
33,451.0
30,261.6
2,707.0
482.4
6,909.8
1,871.2
178.8
4,628.0
231.8
7,441.0
5,805.1
144.4
1,491.5
(1)

2006-II
48,180.3
33,718.8
30,528.6
2,699.0
491.2
6,908.4
1,883.1
170.5
4,620.1
234.7
7,553.1
5,894.3
144.6
1,514.3
(1)
2006-IV
48,453.9
33,921.9
30,744.1
2,693.3
484.5
6,898.0
1,863.6
175.6
4,621.2
237.6
7,634.0
5,977.8
144.0
1,512.1
(1)

2007-II
48,834.1
34,185.9
31,004.0
2,689.2
492.7
6,902.0
1,873.8
167.6
4,621.2
239.5
7,746.2
6,064.9
144.5
1,536.7
(1)
2007-IV
49,159.3
34,437.2
31,265.0
2,687.0
485.3
6,895.7
1,852.0
172.8
4,629.7
241.2
7,826.3
6,146.4
144.3
1,535.6
(1)

2008-II
49,610.8
34,777.9
31,605.1
2,680.0
492.8
6,900.8
1,860.7
165.0
4,632.3
242.8
7,932.1
6,226.5
145.0
1,560.6
(1)
2008-IV
50,029.7
35,129.6
31,970.3
2,674.8
484.5
6,894.8
1,836.9
170.3
4,643.2
244.4
8,005.4
6,301.0
144.9
1,559.5
(1)

2009-II
50,554.4
35,571.3
32,415.3
2,664.2
491.8
6,901.5
1,845.8
162.6
4,647.5
245.6
8,081.6
6,351.2
145.7
1,584.7
(1)
2009-IV
51,081.4
36,059.2
32,920.7
2,655.3
483.3
6,896.7
1,822.1
167.8
4,660.1
246.7
8,125.5
6,396.2
145.8
1,583.4
(1)

2010-II
51,547.2
36,432.4
33,298.6
2,643.2
490.6
6,901.7
1,831.9
160.5
4,661.5
247.7
8,213.2
6,455.9
146.9
1,610.3
(1)
2010-IV
52,155.3
36,992.8
33,878.1
2,632.5
482.1
6,895.0
1,809.3
165.8
4,671.1
248.7
8,267.6
6,510.3
147.3
1,610.1
(1)

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· All detail columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.

· Totals and subtotals computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report low-cost set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001