Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A5.—Workers Insured in the Event of Disability as a Percent of Fully Insured
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1980-2014)
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
Total
 
Male
1980
96.92
93.97
90.39
86.64
89.17
90.50
90.20
90.54
89.63
84.00
...
90.16
1981
95.73
92.37
91.50
88.37
87.77
89.43
91.04
90.16
90.62
85.10
...
90.15
1982
94.71
90.74
91.40
88.70
89.02
89.49
90.34
90.16
91.19
87.58
...
90.15
1983
93.94
89.94
91.26
88.40
88.50
90.08
89.98
89.92
91.49
85.34
...
89.70
1984
93.82
90.56
91.20
88.97
88.28
89.76
90.42
89.70
90.41
88.42
...
89.93
1985
95.46
92.00
91.54
89.61
87.82
89.93
90.22
89.89
90.49
87.25
...
90.19
1986
95.76
92.56
91.49
90.24
89.38
88.27
88.90
90.44
89.80
87.46
...
90.28
1987
95.01
92.48
91.67
90.01
89.18
89.23
88.61
89.36
89.14
87.01
...
90.11
1988
94.79
93.19
91.40
90.14
89.15
88.85
89.45
89.06
88.82
87.28
...
90.16
1989
94.99
93.17
91.04
89.75
89.61
88.79
89.24
89.43
88.84
84.53
...
89.92
1990
94.39
92.90
90.92
89.66
89.98
88.41
89.69
89.54
89.02
86.04
...
89.99
1991
93.16
91.80
91.23
89.38
90.65
90.17
88.48
88.58
89.83
85.96
...
89.97
1992
91.76
90.26
91.50
90.25
90.84
90.24
90.00
88.84
89.14
85.88
...
90.06
1993
92.23
90.05
91.56
90.72
91.33
90.26
90.03
89.92
89.06
85.20
...
90.24
1994
93.22
91.27
91.08
91.22
91.23
90.88
89.96
89.96
89.54
86.03
...
90.54
1995
94.18
92.17
90.60
91.24
91.59
91.42
89.44
90.43
89.64
85.44
...
90.67
1996
94.95
92.10
90.79
91.17
91.71
91.87
91.01
89.17
88.65
86.51
...
90.83
1997
95.17
92.19
90.79
91.14
91.86
91.67
90.67
90.49
88.81
85.23
...
90.84
1998
95.45
92.35
90.85
90.95
91.81
91.83
90.52
90.50
89.89
84.90
...
90.90
1999
95.91
92.56
90.99
90.56
92.19
91.69
91.09
90.42
89.95
86.21
...
91.08
2000
96.00
92.67
91.12
90.53
92.15
92.27
91.93
90.47
90.09
86.04
...
91.28
2001
95.62
91.86
90.77
90.74
92.23
92.22
92.42
91.57
89.83
85.01
...
91.25
2002
93.88
89.83
90.43
90.45
92.04
92.28
92.43
91.06
91.12
85.80
...
90.99
2003
94.69
90.31
90.89
90.63
92.12
92.24
92.35
91.12
89.93
85.26
84.00
90.95
2004
94.71
90.65
91.08
90.92
92.05
92.06
92.19
91.47
89.90
85.31
84.00
91.00
2005
94.72
91.04
91.23
91.05
91.94
91.84
91.99
91.70
89.89
85.47
84.00
91.00
2006
94.73
91.41
91.32
91.10
91.90
91.77
91.75
91.82
89.89
85.50
84.00
90.99
2007
94.82
91.74
91.40
91.20
91.87
91.55
91.49
91.99
89.89
85.54
84.00
90.96
2008
94.90
92.01
91.41
91.32
91.94
91.55
91.28
92.11
90.00
85.43
84.00
90.96
2009
95.05
92.26
91.44
91.42
92.00
91.49
91.07
92.15
90.05
85.33
84.00
90.95
2010
95.26
92.47
91.46
91.45
92.08
91.37
90.94
92.16
89.98
85.24
84.00
90.92
2011
95.46
92.60
91.49
91.48
92.16
91.28
90.87
92.16
89.86
85.16
84.00
90.89
2012
95.67
92.71
91.51
91.46
92.23
91.11
90.77
92.17
89.80
85.07
84.00
90.85
2013
95.85
92.81
91.52
91.44
92.26
90.93
90.68
92.16
89.83
85.02
84.00
90.82
2014
96.03
92.82
91.53
91.44
92.34
90.94
90.59
92.14
89.79
85.01
84.00
90.81
 
Female
1980
96.40
87.38
75.90
62.47
60.73
68.02
73.02
75.16
73.88
65.31
...
73.57
1981
95.31
86.51
78.29
66.33
62.36
69.37
75.03
76.71
75.72
68.54
...
74.99
1982
94.30
84.97
79.47
68.76
66.37
72.00
76.15
78.96
77.55
71.83
...
76.29
1983
93.75
83.49
80.39
70.34
68.19
73.26
78.07
79.76
78.97
70.21
...
76.69
1984
93.81
84.39
80.38
72.20
69.78
74.38
78.92
80.63
79.57
72.88
...
77.60
1985
95.44
86.72
81.04
73.71
70.76
75.51
79.91
81.08
80.47
72.90
...
78.63
1986
95.73
88.14
81.96
74.79
72.62
75.27
79.99
81.94
81.03
73.79
...
79.46
1987
95.36
88.41
83.01
75.35
73.13
76.38
80.73
81.42
81.89
74.45
...
79.99
1988
95.28
89.16
82.98
76.50
73.77
77.07
81.32
82.79
82.12
75.53
...
80.60
1989
95.09
89.65
83.62
76.80
75.07
77.65
81.93
83.36
83.14
74.90
...
81.10
1990
94.60
89.59
84.28
77.43
75.99
78.19
82.64
84.15
83.26
76.05
...
81.59
1991
94.03
87.96
84.99
78.41
76.89
80.11
81.92
84.19
84.27
77.50
...
82.01
1992
92.91
86.67
85.52
79.77
77.69
80.47
83.67
85.06
84.08
78.94
...
82.53
1993
92.70
86.65
85.70
80.19
78.98
80.84
83.97
85.74
85.20
77.97
...
82.90
1994
94.11
87.53
85.87
81.12
79.35
81.48
84.37
86.23
85.42
80.05
...
83.54
1995
94.84
88.29
85.63
81.62
79.94
81.84
84.40
86.76
86.03
79.69
...
83.89
1996
95.36
88.88
86.24
81.96
80.43
82.22
85.83
85.58
86.04
80.12
...
84.34
1997
95.49
89.86
85.98
82.23
81.07
82.17
85.43
86.86
86.18
78.47
...
84.54
1998
95.88
90.20
86.81
82.54
81.06
82.82
85.21
86.76
86.51
78.79
...
84.86
1999
96.18
90.38
87.16
83.16
81.69
82.84
85.59
86.81
86.60
79.56
...
85.23
2000
96.39
90.92
87.61
83.33
82.33
83.34
85.70
87.23
86.56
80.06
...
85.62
2001
96.04
90.66
87.17
84.18
82.75
83.63
86.02
88.10
86.34
79.60
...
85.82
2002
94.69
88.53
87.83
83.86
83.01
84.05
85.89
87.42
87.54
80.28
...
85.72
2003
95.58
88.58
87.76
84.11
83.42
84.09
86.15
87.57
87.19
79.71
76.07
85.77
2004
95.53
88.84
88.04
84.71
84.02
84.61
86.64
88.12
87.24
80.20
76.30
86.18
2005
95.47
89.37
88.33
85.23
84.53
84.96
86.71
88.31
87.48
80.60
76.09
86.49
2006
95.40
89.85
88.51
85.72
84.83
85.34
86.80
88.58
87.75
80.85
76.11
86.75
2007
95.33
90.16
88.59
86.19
85.17
85.61
86.91
88.86
88.12
81.02
75.82
86.96
2008
95.25
90.41
88.66
86.48
85.47
85.87
87.05
89.06
88.42
81.19
75.85
87.14
2009
95.21
90.61
88.74
86.78
85.73
86.12
87.16
89.22
88.66
81.27
75.78
87.30
2010
95.31
90.73
88.79
87.09
85.88
86.34
87.28
89.36
88.74
81.25
75.91
87.42
2011
95.44
90.82
88.84
87.37
85.99
86.52
87.39
89.41
88.92
81.27
76.02
87.51
2012
95.58
90.92
88.88
87.57
86.00
86.68
87.51
89.44
89.06
81.35
76.15
87.60
2013
95.67
91.03
88.92
87.72
86.00
86.82
87.62
89.48
89.22
81.43
76.27
87.67
2014
95.73
91.12
88.96
87.84
86.00
86.91
87.69
89.52
89.37
81.51
76.42
87.73

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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