2003 Trustees Report

The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E1--The probability distribution of the annual trust fund ratios for the combined OASI and DI Trust Funds. The column headings represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the fund ratio shown in the table.

Plot points
Calendar
year
OASDI Trust Fund ratios
2.5%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
97.5%
2002
2.60
2.60
2.60
2.60
2.61
2.61
2.61
2.61
2.61
2.61
2.61
2003
2.82
2.83
2.85
2.86
2.87
2.88
2.89
2.90
2.91
2.93
2.95
2004
2.99
3.02
3.06
3.09
3.11
3.13
3.15
3.17
3.20
3.24
3.29
2005
3.15
3.20
3.26
3.30
3.34
3.37
3.41
3.45
3.49
3.55
3.65
2006
3.30
3.36
3.45
3.51
3.56
3.61
3.66
3.72
3.78
3.87
4.01
2007
3.42
3.51
3.62
3.70
3.76
3.83
3.89
3.97
4.06
4.19
4.37
2008
3.54
3.65
3.78
3.87
3.96
4.04
4.12
4.21
4.33
4.48
4.73
2009
3.63
3.77
3.91
4.02
4.12
4.22
4.32
4.43
4.56
4.74
5.06
2010
3.71
3.86
4.02
4.15
4.27
4.38
4.50
4.62
4.77
5.00
5.36
2011
3.76
3.92
4.11
4.25
4.38
4.51
4.64
4.78
4.95
5.21
5.62
2012
3.79
3.97
4.17
4.33
4.47
4.62
4.76
4.91
5.11
5.39
5.87
2013
3.80
3.99
4.21
4.38
4.53
4.70
4.85
5.03
5.23
5.54
6.05
2014
3.78
3.99
4.22
4.40
4.57
4.74
4.91
5.10
5.32
5.65
6.20
2015
3.74
3.94
4.20
4.40
4.58
4.76
4.94
5.14
5.36
5.72
6.31
2016
3.66
3.89
4.15
4.36
4.56
4.75
4.94
5.14
5.39
5.75
6.39
2017
3.58
3.79
4.07
4.29
4.51
4.70
4.89
5.12
5.37
5.76
6.42
2018
3.46
3.69
3.98
4.21
4.42
4.63
4.84
5.07
5.34
5.74
6.40
2019
3.32
3.56
3.88
4.10
4.32
4.53
4.75
4.99
5.28
5.69
6.35
2020
3.18
3.41
3.75
3.98
4.20
4.41
4.64
4.88
5.19
5.61
6.28
2021
3.02
3.25
3.60
3.85
4.07
4.28
4.51
4.77
5.09
5.50
6.22
2022
2.83
3.08
3.45
3.70
3.93
4.14
4.37
4.65
4.95
5.40
6.15
2023
2.64
2.90
3.27
3.53
3.77
3.99
4.22
4.50
4.82
5.29
6.05
2024
2.42
2.70
3.09
3.36
3.60
3.82
4.07
4.34
4.67
5.16
5.94
2025
2.19
2.50
2.90
3.17
3.42
3.65
3.91
4.18
4.51
5.03
5.81
2026
1.95
2.29
2.69
2.98
3.22
3.46
3.74
4.01
4.35
4.88
5.64
2027
1.71
2.08
2.47
2.78
3.01
3.27
3.54
3.84
4.18
4.70
5.54
2028
1.47
1.84
2.25
2.56
2.81
3.08
3.36
3.65
4.02
4.56
5.38
2029
1.21
1.59
2.02
2.34
2.60
2.87
3.16
3.47
3.85
4.40
5.30
2030
0.94
1.34
1.78
2.11
2.38
2.67
2.96
3.28
3.68
4.24
5.24
2031
0.66
1.07
1.53
1.87
2.15
2.47
2.75
3.09
3.50
4.08
5.12
2032
0.40
0.80
1.27
1.63
1.93
2.24
2.56
2.89
3.32
3.93
4.99
2033
0.10
0.52
1.01
1.39
1.70
2.02
2.36
2.70
3.13
3.78
4.88
2034
-0.20
0.23
0.74
1.13
1.46
1.79
2.15
2.50
2.94
3.62
4.73
2035
-0.52
-0.07
0.47
0.87
1.23
1.56
1.93
2.29
2.75
3.46
4.66
2036
-0.86
-0.39
0.19
0.62
0.99
1.34
1.72
2.10
2.58
3.30
4.55
2037
-1.21
-0.71
-0.09
0.35
0.75
1.11
1.49
1.89
2.41
3.16
4.47
2038
-1.57
-1.04
-0.37
0.08
0.50
0.88
1.27
1.69
2.22
3.02
4.41
2039
-1.91
-1.37
-0.68
-0.19
0.24
0.65
1.05
1.48
2.05
2.87
4.33
2040
-2.29
-1.71
-0.98
-0.48
-0.03
0.41
0.82
1.28
1.87
2.72
4.22
2041
-2.70
-2.06
-1.29
-0.77
-0.30
0.16
0.60
1.09
1.70
2.58
4.14
2042
-3.06
-2.40
-1.62
-1.06
-0.56
-0.09
0.38
0.88
1.52
2.43
4.06
2043
-3.49
-2.78
-1.96
-1.36
-0.83
-0.33
0.15
0.66
1.34
2.27
3.92
2044
-3.87
-3.15
-2.30
-1.68
-1.12
-0.59
-0.08
0.45
1.15
2.12
3.89
2045
-4.29
-3.55
-2.65
-2.01
-1.40
-0.86
-0.32
0.24
0.97
2.00
3.80
2046
-4.76
-3.94
-3.01
-2.32
-1.69
-1.12
-0.56
0.04
0.79
1.86
3.72
2047
-5.22
-4.35
-3.35
-2.65
-1.98
-1.39
-0.80
-0.17
0.60
1.72
3.58
2048
-5.65
-4.77
-3.71
-2.99
-2.28
-1.65
-1.06
-0.40
0.41
1.57
3.52
2049
-6.11
-5.21
-4.09
-3.31
-2.59
-1.94
-1.32
-0.63
0.22
1.41
3.44
2050
-6.61
-5.66
-4.48
-3.66
-2.92
-2.25
-1.58
-0.85
0.02
1.27
3.34
2051
-7.11
-6.11
-4.86
-3.99
-3.23
-2.55
-1.82
-1.09
-0.17
1.12
3.26
2052
-7.62
-6.57
-5.26
-4.31
-3.57
-2.86
-2.09
-1.31
-0.38
0.93
3.17
2053
-8.09
-7.02
-5.68
-4.66
-3.90
-3.16
-2.36
-1.54
-0.58
0.79
3.04
2054
-8.66
-7.51
-6.06
-5.04
-4.23
-3.45
-2.63
-1.78
-0.79
0.65
2.94
2055
-9.17
-7.99
-6.49
-5.41
-4.57
-3.77
-2.91
-2.02
-1.01
0.49
2.86
2056
-9.73
-8.44
-6.91
-5.80
-4.89
-4.10
-3.21
-2.25
-1.20
0.29
2.80
2057
-10.24
-8.94
-7.31
-6.17
-5.26
-4.40
-3.50
-2.49
-1.42
0.13
2.67
2058
-10.79
-9.43
-7.77
-6.60
-5.61
-4.74
-3.81
-2.76
-1.64
-0.03
2.56
2059
-11.39
-10.00
-8.19
-7.01
-5.98
-5.06
-4.12
-3.04
-1.86
-0.20
2.48
2060
-12.03
-10.46
-8.62
-7.41
-6.38
-5.40
-4.41
-3.33
-2.10
-0.38
2.33
2061
-12.69
-11.02
-9.08
-7.83
-6.80
-5.74
-4.71
-3.63
-2.33
-0.60
2.18
2062
-13.35
-11.59
-9.59
-8.28
-7.22
-6.11
-5.04
-3.92
-2.59
-0.80
2.11
2063
-13.99
-12.17
-10.08
-8.75
-7.61
-6.47
-5.35
-4.23
-2.84
-1.00
1.98
2064
-14.67
-12.74
-10.62
-9.20
-8.02
-6.84
-5.66
-4.53
-3.10
-1.18
1.77
2065
-15.41
-13.31
-11.18
-9.64
-8.43
-7.21
-5.99
-4.82
-3.34
-1.38
1.65
2066
-16.07
-13.99
-11.68
-10.12
-8.86
-7.60
-6.34
-5.13
-3.63
-1.56
1.50
2067
-16.80
-14.63
-12.22
-10.62
-9.28
-7.99
-6.72
-5.43
-3.91
-1.78
1.34
2068
-17.49
-15.29
-12.71
-11.10
-9.75
-8.38
-7.11
-5.77
-4.23
-2.02
1.21
2069
-18.24
-15.98
-13.30
-11.58
-10.22
-8.78
-7.45
-6.08
-4.54
-2.26
1.12
2070
-19.06
-16.68
-13.88
-12.13
-10.64
-9.23
-7.85
-6.43
-4.87
-2.51
0.98
2071
-19.83
-17.36
-14.50
-12.68
-11.09
-9.66
-8.28
-6.79
-5.19
-2.74
0.83
2072
-20.80
-18.13
-15.11
-13.24
-11.56
-10.06
-8.66
-7.14
-5.50
-2.97
0.63
2073
-21.63
-18.82
-15.71
-13.77
-12.09
-10.53
-9.07
-7.51
-5.82
-3.22
0.41
2074
-22.57
-19.55
-16.33
-14.26
-12.61
-10.95
-9.48
-7.92
-6.10
-3.42
0.26
2075
-23.47
-20.31
-17.00
-14.86
-13.10
-11.39
-9.87
-8.28
-6.47
-3.67
0.03
2076
-24.51
-21.16
-17.69
-15.43
-13.62
-11.84
-10.34
-8.66
-6.76
-3.96
-0.16
2077
-25.48
-22.05
-18.35
-16.05
-14.14
-12.34
-10.78
-9.05
-7.06
-4.23
-0.29

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