Table V.A1.--Principal Demographic Assumptions
Calendar Years 2004-80
Low Cost Assumptions


Age-sex-adjusted death rate 2
per 100,000, by age:

Net immigration
Calendar
year 		Total
fertility
rate 1 		Total Under 65 65 and over
Legal Other
2004 2.04 868.5 232.4 5,348.0
900,000 550,000
2005 2.04 869.9 231.4 5,366.3
925,000 550,000
2006 2.05 870.4 230.4 5,377.8
950,000 550,000
2007 2.06 870.2 229.3 5,383.8
950,000 550,000
2008 2.06 869.4 228.2 5,385.2
925,000 550,000
2009 2.07 868.1 227.1 5,382.8
900,000 550,000
2010 2.08 866.5 225.9 5,377.4
875,000 550,000
2011 2.08 864.5 224.8 5,369.5
850,000 550,000
2012 2.09 862.2 223.6 5,359.6
850,000 550,000
2013 2.10 859.8 222.4 5,348.1
850,000 550,000
2014 2.10 857.1 221.3 5,335.4
850,000 500,000
2015 2.11 854.4 220.1 5,321.7
850,000 500,000
2016 2.12 851.6 218.9 5,307.2
850,000 500,000
2017 2.12 848.7 217.7 5,292.1
850,000 500,000
2018 2.13 845.7 216.6 5,276.6
850,000 500,000
2019 2.14 842.8 215.4 5,260.7
850,000 500,000
2020 2.15 839.8 214.3 5,244.7
850,000 500,000
2021 2.15 836.7 213.1 5,228.4
850,000 500,000
2022 2.16 833.7 212.0 5,212.0
850,000 500,000
2023 2.17 830.7 210.9 5,195.6
850,000 500,000
2024 2.17 827.7 209.8 5,179.1
850,000 450,000
2025 2.18 824.6 208.7 5,162.7
850,000 450,000
2026 2.19 821.6 207.6 5,146.2
850,000 450,000
2027 2.19 818.6 206.5 5,129.8
850,000 450,000
2028 2.20 815.6 205.4 5,113.3
850,000 450,000
2029 2.20 812.7 204.3 5,096.8
850,000 450,000
2030 2.20 809.7 203.3 5,080.4
850,000 450,000
2031 2.20 806.8 202.2 5,064.2
850,000 450,000
2032 2.20 803.8 201.2 5,048.1
850,000 450,000
2033 2.20 800.9 200.1 5,032.1
850,000 450,000
2034 2.20 798.1 199.1 5,016.3
850,000 450,000
2035 2.20 795.2 198.1 5,000.5
850,000 450,000
2036 2.20 792.4 197.1 4,984.9
850,000 450,000
2037 2.20 789.6 196.1 4,969.3
850,000 450,000
2038 2.20 786.8 195.1 4,953.9
850,000 450,000
2039 2.20 784.0 194.1 4,938.6
850,000 450,000
2040 2.20 781.3 193.1 4,923.4
850,000 450,000
2041 2.20 778.6 192.2 4,908.4
850,000 450,000
2042 2.20 775.9 191.2 4,893.4
850,000 450,000
2043 2.20 773.2 190.3 4,878.5
850,000 450,000
2044 2.20 770.5 189.3 4,863.8
850,000 450,000
2045 2.20 767.9 188.4 4,849.1
850,000 450,000
2046 2.20 765.3 187.5 4,834.6
850,000 450,000
2047 2.20 762.7 186.6 4,820.1
850,000 450,000
2048 2.20 760.1 185.6 4,805.8
850,000 450,000
2049 2.20 757.5 184.7 4,791.5
850,000 450,000
2050 2.20 755.0 183.8 4,777.4
850,000 450,000
2051 2.20 752.5 183.0 4,763.4
850,000 450,000
2052 2.20 750.0 182.1 4,749.4
850,000 450,000
2053 2.20 747.5 181.2 4,735.6
850,000 450,000
2054 2.20 745.0 180.3 4,721.8
850,000 450,000
2055 2.20 742.6 179.5 4,708.2
850,000 450,000
2056 2.20 740.1 178.6 4,694.6
850,000 450,000
2057 2.20 737.7 177.8 4,681.2
850,000 450,000
2058 2.20 735.3 176.9 4,667.8
850,000 450,000
2059 2.20 733.0 176.1 4,654.6
850,000 450,000
2060 2.20 730.6 175.3 4,641.4
850,000 450,000
2061 2.20 728.3 174.5 4,628.3
850,000 450,000
2062 2.20 725.9 173.7 4,615.3
850,000 450,000
2063 2.20 723.6 172.9 4,602.4
850,000 450,000
2064 2.20 721.3 172.1 4,589.6
850,000 450,000
2065 2.20 719.1 171.3 4,576.9
850,000 450,000
2066 2.20 716.8 170.5 4,564.3
850,000 450,000
2067 2.20 714.6 169.7 4,551.7
850,000 450,000
2068 2.20 712.3 168.9 4,539.3
850,000 450,000
2069 2.20 710.1 168.2 4,526.9
850,000 450,000
2070 2.20 707.9 167.4 4,514.6
850,000 450,000
2071 2.20 705.7 166.6 4,502.4
850,000 450,000
2072 2.20 703.6 165.9 4,490.3
850,000 450,000
2073 2.20 701.4 165.1 4,478.3
850,000 450,000
2074 2.20 699.3 164.4 4,466.3
850,000 450,000
2075 2.20 697.2 163.7 4,454.4
850,000 450,000
2076 2.20 695.1 162.9 4,442.7
850,000 450,000
2077 2.20 693.0 162.2 4,431.0
850,000 450,000
2078 2.20 690.9 161.5 4,419.3
850,000 450,000
2079 2.20 688.9 160.8 4,407.8
850,000 450,000
2080 2.20 686.8 160.1 4,396.3
850,000 450,000
1 The total fertility rate for any year is the average number of children who would be born to a woman in her lifetime if she were to experience the birth rates by age observed in, or assumed for, the selected year, and if she were to survive the entire childbearing period. The ultimate total fertility rate is assumed to be reached in 2028.
2 The age-sex-adjusted death rate is the crude rate that would occur in the enumerated total population as of April 1, 2000, if that population were to experience the death rates by age and sex observed in, or assumed for, the selected year.

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