Table V.A1.--Principal Demographic Assumptions
Calendar Years 2004-80
High Cost Assumptions


Age-sex-adjusted death rate 2
per 100,000, by age:

Net immigration
Calendar
year 		Total
fertility
rate 1 		Total Under 65 65 and over
Legal Other
2004 2.00 856.7 228.8 5,278.6
630,000 250,000
2005 1.99 846.9 224.5 5,230.1
600,000 250,000
2006 1.97 836.7 220.4 5,177.3
575,000 250,000
2007 1.96 826.3 216.5 5,121.0
550,000 250,000
2008 1.95 815.7 212.7 5,062.2
525,000 250,000
2009 1.94 804.9 209.1 5,001.4
500,000 250,000
2010 1.92 794.1 205.5 4,939.3
472,500 250,000
2011 1.91 783.2 202.0 4,876.4
472,500 250,000
2012 1.90 772.4 198.7 4,813.0
472,500 250,000
2013 1.89 761.6 195.4 4,749.5
472,500 250,000
2014 1.87 750.9 192.1 4,686.2
472,500 200,000
2015 1.86 740.3 189.0 4,623.2
472,500 200,000
2016 1.85 729.8 185.9 4,560.7
472,500 200,000
2017 1.84 719.5 182.9 4,498.8
472,500 200,000
2018 1.82 709.3 179.9 4,437.7
472,500 200,000
2019 1.81 699.2 177.0 4,377.3
472,500 200,000
2020 1.80 689.3 174.1 4,317.8
472,500 200,000
2021 1.79 679.6 171.3 4,259.2
472,500 200,000
2022 1.77 670.0 168.6 4,201.5
472,500 200,000
2023 1.76 660.6 165.9 4,144.7
472,500 200,000
2024 1.75 651.3 163.3 4,088.8
472,500 200,000
2025 1.74 642.2 160.7 4,033.8
472,500 200,000
2026 1.72 633.3 158.1 3,979.8
472,500 200,000
2027 1.71 624.5 155.6 3,926.8
472,500 200,000
2028 1.70 615.9 153.2 3,874.4
472,500 200,000
2029 1.70 607.4 150.8 3,823.0
472,500 200,000
2030 1.70 599.0 148.4 3,772.5
472,500 200,000
2031 1.70 590.8 146.1 3,723.0
472,500 200,000
2032 1.70 582.8 143.8 3,674.3
472,500 200,000
2033 1.70 574.9 141.6 3,626.5
472,500 200,000
2034 1.70 567.1 139.4 3,579.5
472,500 200,000
2035 1.70 559.5 137.2 3,533.4
472,500 200,000
2036 1.70 552.0 135.1 3,488.1
472,500 200,000
2037 1.70 544.7 133.1 3,443.6
472,500 200,000
2038 1.70 537.5 131.0 3,399.9
472,500 200,000
2039 1.70 530.4 129.0 3,356.9
472,500 200,000
2040 1.70 523.4 127.1 3,314.7
472,500 200,000
2041 1.70 516.6 125.1 3,273.2
472,500 200,000
2042 1.70 509.8 123.2 3,232.5
472,500 200,000
2043 1.70 503.2 121.4 3,192.4
472,500 200,000
2044 1.70 496.7 119.5 3,153.1
472,500 200,000
2045 1.70 490.3 117.7 3,114.4
472,500 200,000
2046 1.70 484.1 116.0 3,076.4
472,500 200,000
2047 1.70 477.9 114.2 3,039.0
472,500 200,000
2048 1.70 471.8 112.5 3,002.3
472,500 200,000
2049 1.70 465.9 110.8 2,966.2
472,500 200,000
2050 1.70 460.0 109.2 2,930.7
472,500 200,000
2051 1.70 454.3 107.6 2,895.8
472,500 200,000
2052 1.70 448.6 106.0 2,861.5
472,500 200,000
2053 1.70 443.0 104.4 2,827.7
472,500 200,000
2054 1.70 437.6 102.9 2,794.6
472,500 200,000
2055 1.70 432.2 101.4 2,762.0
472,500 200,000
2056 1.70 426.9 99.9 2,729.9
472,500 200,000
2057 1.70 421.7 98.4 2,698.3
472,500 200,000
2058 1.70 416.6 97.0 2,667.3
472,500 200,000
2059 1.70 411.6 95.6 2,636.8
472,500 200,000
2060 1.70 406.6 94.2 2,606.8
472,500 200,000
2061 1.70 401.8 92.8 2,577.3
472,500 200,000
2062 1.70 397.0 91.5 2,548.2
472,500 200,000
2063 1.70 392.3 90.2 2,519.7
472,500 200,000
2064 1.70 387.6 88.9 2,491.5
472,500 200,000
2065 1.70 383.1 87.6 2,463.9
472,500 200,000
2066 1.70 378.6 86.4 2,436.7
472,500 200,000
2067 1.70 374.2 85.1 2,409.9
472,500 200,000
2068 1.70 369.8 83.9 2,383.5
472,500 200,000
2069 1.70 365.6 82.7 2,357.6
472,500 200,000
2070 1.70 361.4 81.5 2,332.1
472,500 200,000
2071 1.70 357.2 80.4 2,307.0
472,500 200,000
2072 1.70 353.2 79.3 2,282.2
472,500 200,000
2073 1.70 349.2 78.1 2,257.9
472,500 200,000
2074 1.70 345.2 77.0 2,233.9
472,500 200,000
2075 1.70 341.3 76.0 2,210.3
472,500 200,000
2076 1.70 337.5 74.9 2,187.1
472,500 200,000
2077 1.70 333.8 73.8 2,164.3
472,500 200,000
2078 1.70 330.1 72.8 2,141.7
472,500 200,000
2079 1.70 326.4 71.8 2,119.6
472,500 200,000
2080 1.70 322.8 70.8 2,097.7
472,500 200,000
1 The total fertility rate for any year is the average number of children who would be born to a woman in her lifetime if she were to experience the birth rates by age observed in, or assumed for, the selected year, and if she were to survive the entire childbearing period. The ultimate total fertility rate is assumed to be reached in 2028.
2 The age-sex-adjusted death rate is the crude rate that would occur in the enumerated total population as of April 1, 2000, if that population were to experience the death rates by age and sex observed in, or assumed for, the selected year.

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