Table V.A1.--Principal Demographic Assumptions
Calendar Years 1940-2003
Historical Period



Age-sex-adjusted death rate 2
per 100,000, by age:

Net immigration
Calendar
year
Total
fertility
rate 1
Total Under 65 65 and over
Legal 3 Other 4

1940 2.23 1,779.1 673.0 9,569.0
1941 2.33 1,700.7 651.2 9,091.7
30,212
1942 2.55 1,643.6 628.8 8,791.0
19,682
1943 2.64 1,712.1 631.8 9,320.0
19,605
1944 2.49 1,630.7 611.5 8,808.4
25,002
1945 2.42 1,586.6 601.8 8,522.4
55,069
1946 2.86 1,536.1 569.9 8,340.8
96,005
1947 3.18 1,535.3 544.8 8,510.9
119,196
1948 3.03 1,502.3 532.0 8,335.9
134,582
1949 3.04 1,456.6 514.0 8,094.7
164,062
1950 3.03 1,435.6 499.4 8,028.3
170,594
1951 3.20 1,423.3 495.1 7,960.5
176,717
1952 3.29 1,396.2 489.0 7,785.1
163,481
1953 3.35 1,387.2 476.2 7,803.0
141,976
1954 3.46 1,316.2 449.1 7,422.9
167,240
1955 3.50 1,334.2 442.8 7,612.2
209,779
1956 3.60 1,334.3 440.8 7,626.3
243,188
1957 3.68 1,356.9 449.0 7,751.2
217,547
1958 3.63 1,344.3 439.8 7,714.6
192,731
1959 3.64 1,319.2 433.8 7,555.0
197,283
1960 3.61 1,330.9 436.9 7,626.7
201,276
1961 3.56 1,299.1 423.6 7,464.6
208,167
1962 3.42 1,323.2 428.4 7,624.9
221,255
1963 3.30 1,344.5 434.7 7,751.4
224,439
1964 3.17 1,302.6 431.2 7,438.9
220,853
1965 2.88 1,304.6 430.0 7,464.0
232,400
1966 2.67 1,307.8 431.9 7,476.8
256,878
1967 2.53 1,273.1 424.6 7,248.1
306,155
1968 2.43 1,295.1 435.3 7,350.4
304,886
1969 2.42 1,255.7 428.3 7,082.9
274,465
1970 2.43 1,224.3 422.6 6,870.7
278,928
1971 2.25 1,217.2 410.7 6,897.0
283,185
1972 1.99 1,212.5 408.2 6,877.0
294,282
1973 1.86 1,194.7 401.8 6,778.8
298,096
1974 1.82 1,145.4 384.7 6,502.8
292,893
1975 1.77 1,099.0 369.5 6,236.4
294,303
1976 1.74 1,088.8 359.7 6,223.5
313,919
1977 1.80 1,057.5 350.7 6,035.2
372,824
1978 1.76 1,052.1 344.6 6,035.3
424,628
1979 1.82 1,017.3 333.8 5,831.1
358,437
1980 1.82 1,035.9 331.9 5,993.6
410,348
1981 1.80 1,007.2 323.2 5,823.9
446,989
1982 1.81 975.8 312.0 5,650.9
439,152
1983 1.78 987.7 306.9 5,782.6
416,848
1984 1.79 980.1 304.2 5,740.0
412,825
1985 1.84 984.2 303.6 5,777.6
433,449
1986 1.83 975.3 302.5 5,713.8
451,247
1987 1.86 965.6 299.6 5,655.6
458,922
1988 1.92 977.9 299.3 5,757.4
476,472
1989 2.00 951.8 294.9 5,577.9
467,334
1990 2.07 934.0 289.4 5,474.0
501,065
1991 2.06 921.5 286.2 5,395.7
548,000
1992 2.04 909.0 280.2 5,337.9
620,986
1993 2.02 930.8 283.1 5,492.7
644,696
1994 2.00 918.8 280.5 5,413.8
583,390
1995 1.98 916.6 277.3 5,419.4
573,719
1996 1.98 903.0 266.1 5,388.4
662,284
1997 1.97 887.8 253.6 5,353.5
571,800
1998 2.00 880.8 246.9 5,345.5
489,360
1999 2.01 887.0 245.0 5,407.9
523,037
2000 2.06 878.2 243.3 5,349.5
677,579 400,000
2001 5 2.03 874.0 239.2 5,344.4
798,126 400,000
2002 5 2.01 869.9 236.2 5,332.3
797,801 400,000
2003 5 2.02 866.1 233.4 5,321.9
562,500 400,000

1 The total fertility rate for any year is the average number of children who would be born to a woman in her lifetime if she were to experience the birth rates by age observed in, or assumed for, the selected year, and if she were to survive the entire childbearing period. The ultimate total fertility rate is assumed to be reached in 2028.
2 The age-sex-adjusted death rate is the crude rate that would occur in the enumerated total population as of April 1, 2000, if that population were to experience the death rates by age and sex observed in, or assumed for, the selected year.
3 Historical estimates of net legal immigration assume a 25 percent reduction in legal immigration due to legal emigration. Estimates do not include persons legalized under the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.
4 Net other annual immigration is estimated to have been between 225,000 and 550,000 persons for years 1980 through 1999.
5 Preliminary or estimated.

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