Table 2--Financial Effects of the Representative Nick Smith Proposal Assuming a 67% PRSA Participation Rate
|
PRSA proceeds go to estate if worker dies before entitlement Ultimate Real Trust Fund Interest Rate 3.00 Ultimate Real PRSA Rate for Offset 3.70 Assumed PRSA Participation Rate 67%
|
|
Year
|
OASDI
|
TFR 1-1-yr
|
Marginal Change in OASDI Contribution Rate
|
Net OASDI Contribution Rate 2/
|
PRSA Contribution Rate
|
|
Cost Rate 1/
|
Income Rate
|
Annual Balance
|
Total
|
Redirection to PRSAs
|
Reimbursement for Minimum DI Benefits
|
Specified General Fund Transfers
|
From Trust Funds
|
Refundable Credit from General Fund
|
Average PRSA Contribution Rate
|
|
2003
|
10.90
|
12.71
|
1.80
|
288
|
|
|
|
|
12.40
|
|
|
|
|
2004
|
10.83
|
12.69
|
1.86
|
309
|
|
|
|
|
12.40
|
|
|
|
|
2005
|
10.99
|
11.05
|
0.06
|
320
|
-1.662
|
-1.667
|
0.005
|
|
10.74
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2006
|
10.85
|
11.16
|
0.31
|
326
|
0.112
|
|
0.010
|
0.102
|
10.85
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2007
|
10.80
|
11.58
|
0.79
|
331
|
0.409
|
|
0.003
|
0.405
|
11.26
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2008
|
10.79
|
12.05
|
1.26
|
341
|
0.450
|
|
-0.002
|
0.453
|
11.71
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2009
|
10.81
|
12.51
|
1.70
|
354
|
0.456
|
|
-0.002
|
0.458
|
12.17
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2010
|
10.84
|
12.95
|
2.11
|
371
|
0.428
|
|
-0.001
|
0.429
|
12.59
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2011
|
10.89
|
13.51
|
2.62
|
393
|
0.520
|
|
0.000
|
0.520
|
13.11
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2012
|
10.95
|
14.18
|
3.23
|
418
|
0.653
|
|
0.000
|
0.653
|
13.77
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2013
|
11.03
|
14.10
|
3.07
|
448
|
-0.088
|
|
0.000
|
-0.088
|
13.68
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2014
|
11.13
|
11.18
|
0.05
|
477
|
-2.933
|
|
-0.001
|
-2.932
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2015
|
11.23
|
11.19
|
-0.04
|
479
|
0.000
|
|
0.000
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2016
|
11.36
|
11.20
|
-0.16
|
480
|
0.000
|
|
0.000
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2017
|
11.50
|
11.22
|
-0.29
|
479
|
0.001
|
|
0.001
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2018
|
11.65
|
11.23
|
-0.42
|
478
|
0.001
|
|
0.001
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2019
|
11.78
|
11.24
|
-0.54
|
475
|
0.001
|
|
0.001
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2020
|
11.94
|
11.26
|
-0.68
|
471
|
0.001
|
|
0.001
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2021
|
12.10
|
11.27
|
-0.82
|
466
|
0.002
|
|
0.002
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2022
|
12.24
|
11.29
|
-0.95
|
461
|
0.002
|
|
0.002
|
|
10.75
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2023
|
12.35
|
11.30
|
-1.05
|
456
|
0.002
|
|
0.002
|
|
10.76
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2024
|
12.45
|
11.32
|
-1.13
|
451
|
0.002
|
|
0.002
|
|
10.76
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2025
|
12.53
|
11.33
|
-1.20
|
446
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.76
|
1.67
|
0.23
|
1.89
|
|
2026
|
12.59
|
11.18
|
-1.42
|
441
|
-0.164
|
-0.167
|
0.003
|
|
10.60
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2027
|
12.63
|
11.19
|
-1.45
|
436
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.60
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2028
|
12.66
|
11.20
|
-1.46
|
430
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.60
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2029
|
12.67
|
11.21
|
-1.46
|
424
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.61
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2030
|
12.66
|
11.22
|
-1.44
|
420
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.61
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2031
|
12.61
|
11.23
|
-1.39
|
416
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.61
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2032
|
12.54
|
11.24
|
-1.31
|
414
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.62
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2033
|
12.45
|
11.24
|
-1.21
|
413
|
0.003
|
|
0.003
|
|
10.62
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2034
|
12.34
|
11.25
|
-1.09
|
413
|
0.004
|
|
0.004
|
|
10.62
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2035
|
12.22
|
11.25
|
-0.97
|
414
|
0.004
|
|
0.004
|
|
10.63
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2036
|
12.08
|
11.26
|
-0.83
|
417
|
0.004
|
|
0.004
|
|
10.63
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2037
|
11.93
|
11.26
|
-0.67
|
422
|
0.004
|
|
0.004
|
|
10.63
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2038
|
11.77
|
11.26
|
-0.51
|
429
|
0.004
|
|
0.004
|
|
10.64
|
1.83
|
0.23
|
2.06
|
|
2039
|
11.60
|
10.77
|
-0.83
|
438
|
-0.495
|
-0.500
|
0.005
|
|
10.14
|
2.33
|
0.23
|
2.56
|
|
2040
|
11.43
|
10.44
|
-1.00
|
444
|
-0.329
|
-0.333
|
0.005
|
|
9.82
|
2.67
|
0.23
|
2.89
|
|
2041
|
11.25
|
10.11
|
-1.15
|
449
|
-0.328
|
-0.333
|
0.005
|
|
9.49
|
3.00
|
0.23
|
3.23
|
|
2042
|
11.07
|
9.61
|
-1.46
|
454
|
-0.495
|
-0.500
|
0.005
|
|
8.99
|
3.50
|
0.23
|
3.73
|
|
2043
|
10.88
|
9.11
|
-1.76
|
456
|
-0.494
|
-0.500
|
0.006
|
|
8.50
|
4.00
|
0.23
|
4.23
|
|
2044
|
10.68
|
8.62
|
-2.06
|
455
|
-0.494
|
-0.500
|
0.006
|
|
8.00
|
4.50
|
0.23
|
4.73
|
|
2045
|
10.50
|
8.12
|
-2.38
|
451
|
-0.493
|
-0.500
|
0.007
|
|
7.51
|
5.00
|
0.23
|
5.23
|
|
2046
|
10.32
|
7.80
|
-2.52
|
444
|
-0.326
|
-0.333
|
0.007
|
|
7.18
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2047
|
10.13
|
7.80
|
-2.33
|
435
|
0.008
|
|
0.008
|
|
7.19
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2048
|
9.94
|
7.81
|
-2.13
|
428
|
0.008
|
|
0.008
|
|
7.20
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2049
|
9.76
|
7.82
|
-1.94
|
421
|
0.009
|
|
0.009
|
|
7.21
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2050
|
9.58
|
7.83
|
-1.75
|
416
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.22
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2051
|
9.40
|
7.84
|
-1.56
|
413
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.23
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2052
|
9.23
|
7.85
|
-1.38
|
411
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.24
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2053
|
9.06
|
7.86
|
-1.20
|
410
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.25
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2054
|
8.89
|
7.87
|
-1.01
|
412
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.26
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2055
|
8.74
|
7.89
|
-0.85
|
414
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.27
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2056
|
8.59
|
7.90
|
-0.69
|
419
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.29
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2057
|
8.44
|
7.92
|
-0.52
|
425
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.30
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2058
|
8.29
|
7.93
|
-0.36
|
434
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.31
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2059
|
8.14
|
7.94
|
-0.19
|
445
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.32
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2060
|
7.99
|
7.96
|
-0.03
|
458
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.33
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2061
|
7.83
|
7.97
|
0.14
|
475
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.35
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2062
|
7.68
|
7.99
|
0.30
|
494
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.36
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2063
|
7.54
|
8.00
|
0.47
|
516
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.37
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2064
|
7.39
|
8.02
|
0.63
|
541
|
0.013
|
|
0.013
|
|
7.38
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2065
|
7.27
|
8.04
|
0.77
|
568
|
0.013
|
|
0.013
|
|
7.40
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2066
|
7.15
|
8.05
|
0.91
|
597
|
0.013
|
|
0.013
|
|
7.41
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2067
|
7.03
|
8.07
|
1.04
|
630
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.42
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2068
|
6.92
|
8.09
|
1.17
|
666
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.43
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2069
|
6.81
|
8.11
|
1.30
|
705
|
0.012
|
|
0.012
|
|
7.44
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2070
|
6.72
|
8.13
|
1.41
|
746
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.46
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2071
|
6.63
|
8.15
|
1.51
|
789
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.47
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2072
|
6.55
|
8.16
|
1.62
|
836
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.48
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2073
|
6.47
|
8.18
|
1.72
|
885
|
0.011
|
|
0.011
|
|
7.49
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2074
|
6.39
|
8.20
|
1.82
|
938
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.50
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2075
|
6.31
|
8.22
|
1.91
|
994
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.51
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2076
|
6.24
|
8.24
|
2.01
|
1053
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.52
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2077
|
6.16
|
8.26
|
2.10
|
1116
|
0.010
|
|
0.010
|
|
7.53
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
2078
|
6.10
|
8.28
|
2.19
|
1182
|
0.009
|
|
0.009
|
|
7.54
|
5.33
|
0.23
|
5.56
|
|
|
Summarized
|
|
Change in Actuarial Balance
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost Rate
|
Income Rate
|
Actuarial Balance
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003- 2077
|
10.62
|
11.09
|
0.47
|
|
2.38
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2003 Trustees Report. 1/ Net of Benefit Cost Reductions from PRSA Offsets. 2/ Includes payroll tax contributions plus reimbursement for minimum DI benefits plus specified General Fund transfers (expressed as a percent of taxable payroll)
|
|
Office of the Chief Actuary Social Security Administration September 9, 2003
|