Proposed Provision: F3. Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for employer-sponsored group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2030, phase out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in 2030, with amounts above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each year by 10 percent of the 2030 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 2040.

OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)

Year Current Law Provision
2026151151
2027131131
2028111111
20299292
20307474
20315758
20324043
20332329
2034716
2035-94
2036-25-7
2037-41-18
2038-58-28
2039-76-38
2040-94-48
2041-112-57
2042-132-66
2043-151-76
2044-171-87
2045-192-97
2046-213-109
2047-234-120
2048-256-132
2049-279-144
2050-301-157
2051-324-170
2052-347-183
2053-371-197
2054-395-211
2055-420-226
2056-445-241
2057-470-257
2058-496-273
2059-522-290
2060-550-308
2061-578-326
2062-607-346
2063-636-365
2064-666-386
2065-697-407
2066-729-428
2067-761-450
2068-794-473
2069-827-496
2070-861-520
2071-896-545
2072-931-570
2073-967-596
2074-1004-622
2075-1042-650
2076-1081-678
2077-1121-707
2078-1162-738
2079-1204-769
2080-1248-800
2081-1292-833
2082-1337-866
2083-1384-900
2084-1431-935
2085-1480-971
2086-1530-1008
2087-1581-1045
2088-1633-1084
2089-1686-1123
2090-1740-1162
2091-1795-1202
2092-1850-1243
2093-1906-1284
2094-1962-1325
2095-2019-1366
2096-2075-1408
2097-2132-1449
2098-2189-1491
2099-2246-1533
2100-2303-1574
2101-2359-1616
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