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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.4: Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2021, multiply all PIA factors each year by 0.991. Stop reductions after 2049. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
0.000.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
0.000.000.00
202114.0212.99-1.02
245
-0.00-0.000.00
202214.2513.02-1.23
230
-0.00-0.000.00
202314.5413.05-1.49
215
-0.01-0.000.01
202414.8113.08-1.73
199
-0.01-0.000.01
202515.0713.10-1.97
183
-0.02-0.000.02
202615.3313.13-2.20
166
-0.04-0.000.04
202715.5613.15-2.41
149
-0.06-0.000.05
202815.7713.16-2.61
132
-0.08-0.000.08
202915.9513.18-2.78
114
-0.11-0.010.11
203016.1213.19-2.93
97
-0.15-0.010.14
203116.2613.20-3.06
79
-0.19-0.010.18
203216.3713.21-3.17
61
-0.23-0.010.22
203316.4613.21-3.25
43
-0.28-0.020.27
203416.5113.22-3.30
24
-0.34-0.020.32
203516.5313.22-3.32
4
-0.39-0.020.37
203616.5313.22-3.31
----
-0.46-0.030.43
203716.5013.22-3.28
----
-0.52-0.030.49
203816.4413.22-3.22
----
-0.59-0.030.55
203916.3413.21-3.13
----
-0.65-0.040.62
204016.2413.21-3.03
----
-0.72-0.040.68
204116.1213.20-2.92
----
-0.80-0.040.75
204215.9913.19-2.79
----
-0.87-0.050.82
204315.8513.19-2.67
----
-0.95-0.050.90
204415.7213.18-2.54
----
-1.03-0.060.98
204515.6013.17-2.42
----
-1.12-0.061.06
204615.4713.17-2.30
----
-1.21-0.071.14
204715.3413.16-2.18
----
-1.30-0.071.23
204815.2213.15-2.06
----
-1.40-0.081.32
204915.0913.15-1.94
----
-1.50-0.081.41
205014.9713.14-1.83
----
-1.60-0.091.51
205114.8613.14-1.72
----
-1.70-0.101.60
205214.7613.13-1.63
----
-1.80-0.101.70
205314.6713.13-1.54
----
-1.90-0.111.79
205414.5913.12-1.46
----
-2.00-0.111.89
205514.5213.12-1.40
----
-2.10-0.121.98
205614.4513.12-1.34
----
-2.20-0.132.08
205714.4013.11-1.29
----
-2.30-0.132.17
205814.3513.11-1.24
----
-2.39-0.142.25
205914.3113.11-1.21
----
-2.47-0.142.33
206014.2813.11-1.17
----
-2.55-0.152.40
206114.2513.11-1.15
----
-2.62-0.152.47
206214.2313.11-1.13
----
-2.69-0.152.54
206314.2213.11-1.11
----
-2.75-0.162.60
206414.2013.10-1.10
----
-2.81-0.162.65
206514.2013.10-1.09
----
-2.87-0.162.71
206614.2013.10-1.09
----
-2.92-0.172.75
206714.2013.11-1.09
----
-2.97-0.172.80
206814.2113.11-1.10
----
-3.01-0.172.84
206914.2213.11-1.11
----
-3.06-0.172.88
207014.2313.11-1.12
----
-3.09-0.182.92
207114.2413.11-1.14
----
-3.13-0.182.95
207214.2513.11-1.14
----
-3.16-0.182.98
207314.2613.11-1.15
----
-3.19-0.183.00
207414.2713.11-1.16
----
-3.21-0.183.03
207514.2713.11-1.16
----
-3.23-0.183.05
207614.2713.11-1.16
----
-3.25-0.193.06
207714.2713.11-1.16
----
-3.26-0.193.07
207814.2613.11-1.15
----
-3.26-0.193.08
207914.2513.11-1.14
----
-3.27-0.193.08
208014.2413.11-1.13
----
-3.27-0.193.08
208114.2413.11-1.13
----
-3.27-0.193.08
208214.2313.11-1.12
----
-3.27-0.193.08
208314.2413.11-1.13
----
-3.27-0.193.09
208414.2513.11-1.14
----
-3.28-0.193.09
208514.2713.11-1.16
----
-3.28-0.193.09
208614.2913.11-1.18
----
-3.29-0.193.10
208714.3213.11-1.21
----
-3.30-0.193.11
208814.3513.12-1.24
----
-3.31-0.193.12
208914.3913.12-1.27
----
-3.32-0.193.12
209014.4213.12-1.30
----
-3.33-0.193.14
209114.4613.12-1.34
----
-3.34-0.193.15
209214.4913.12-1.37
----
-3.35-0.193.16



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.
2017-2091 15.07% 13.75% -1.33%
2035
-1.59% -0.09% 1.50%
 
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified July 13, 2017