Proposed Provision: Starting December 2018, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. The new COLA will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to OASI benefits, except for those of formerly disabled-workers who converted to retired-worker status.

OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)

Year Present Law Provision
2015308308
2016298298
2017280280
2018264264
2019248249
2020233234
2021219221
2022204207
2023189192
2024173178
2025157164
2026142149
2027126135
2028110121
202994106
20307791
20316075
20324259
20332342
2034425
2035-167
2036-36-11
2037-57-29
2038-78-48
2039-100-67
2040-122-86
2041-144-106
2042-166-125
2043-189-145
2044-211-164
2045-234-184
2046-257-204
2047-280-224
2048-303-244
2049-327-265
2050-351-285
2051-375-306
2052-398-327
2053-423-347
2054-447-369
2055-472-390
2056-496-412
2057-522-434
2058-548-456
2059-574-480
2060-601-503
2061-629-527
2062-657-552
2063-685-577
2064-714-603
2065-744-629
2066-774-655
2067-804-682
2068-835-710
2069-867-738
2070-899-766
2071-932-796
2072-965-826
2073-1000-857
2074-1035-888
2075-1072-921
2076-1110-954
2077-1148-989
2078-1188-1024
2079-1228-1060
2080-1268-1096
2081-1309-1132
2082-1350-1168
2083-1391-1204
2084-1432-1241
2085-1472-1277
2086-1514-1314
2087-1555-1351
2088-1597-1388
2089-1640-1426
2090-1683-1465
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