Description of Proposed Provision:
A7: Starting December 2018, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point, but not to less than zero. In cases where the unreduced COLA is less than 1 percentage point, do not carry over the unused reduction into future years.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.5812.94-0.64
275
-0.12-0.010.12
202013.6112.95-0.66
264
-0.24-0.010.23
202113.6512.97-0.68
254
-0.37-0.020.35
202213.7713.00-0.77
243
-0.49-0.020.46
202313.9413.02-0.92
232
-0.61-0.030.58
202414.1013.05-1.05
221
-0.73-0.040.69
202514.2513.06-1.19
210
-0.84-0.040.80
202614.4113.09-1.33
198
-0.96-0.050.91
202714.5513.10-1.45
186
-1.07-0.051.01
202814.6813.11-1.57
174
-1.17-0.061.11
202914.8013.12-1.68
163
-1.27-0.071.20
203014.9013.12-1.78
151
-1.36-0.071.29
203114.9913.13-1.86
140
-1.45-0.081.38
203215.0713.14-1.93
129
-1.54-0.081.46
203315.1213.14-1.98
117
-1.62-0.081.53
203415.1613.15-2.01
106
-1.69-0.091.60
203515.1713.15-2.03
94
-1.75-0.091.66
203615.1713.15-2.03
82
-1.81-0.101.72
203715.1513.15-2.01
69
-1.87-0.101.77
203815.1113.15-1.96
57
-1.91-0.101.81
203915.0513.14-1.90
45
-1.95-0.101.85
204014.9813.14-1.83
34
-1.99-0.111.88
204114.9013.14-1.76
22
-2.01-0.111.91
204214.8213.13-1.69
11
-2.04-0.111.93
204314.7513.13-1.62
0
-2.06-0.111.95
204414.6913.13-1.56
----
-2.07-0.111.96
204514.6413.13-1.51
----
-2.08-0.111.97
204614.5913.12-1.47
----
-2.09-0.111.98
204714.5513.12-1.43
----
-2.10-0.111.98
204814.5213.12-1.40
----
-2.10-0.111.99
204914.4913.12-1.37
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205014.4713.12-1.35
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205114.4613.12-1.34
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205214.4613.12-1.34
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205314.4713.12-1.35
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205414.4913.12-1.37
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205514.5213.12-1.39
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205614.5513.13-1.42
----
-2.11-0.111.99
205714.5913.13-1.46
----
-2.11-0.112.00
205814.6313.13-1.49
----
-2.11-0.112.00
205914.6613.13-1.53
----
-2.12-0.112.01
206014.7013.14-1.56
----
-2.13-0.122.01
206114.7413.14-1.60
----
-2.14-0.122.02
206214.7813.14-1.63
----
-2.14-0.122.03
206314.8213.15-1.67
----
-2.15-0.122.04
206414.8513.15-1.70
----
-2.16-0.122.05
206514.8913.15-1.74
----
-2.18-0.122.06
206614.9313.15-1.78
----
-2.19-0.122.07
206714.9713.16-1.82
----
-2.20-0.122.08
206815.0113.16-1.85
----
-2.21-0.122.09
206915.0513.16-1.89
----
-2.22-0.122.10
207015.0913.16-1.93
----
-2.23-0.122.11
207115.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.25-0.122.12
207215.1613.17-1.99
----
-2.26-0.122.13
207315.1813.17-2.01
----
-2.27-0.122.14
207415.2013.17-2.03
----
-2.28-0.122.15
207515.2213.17-2.04
----
-2.29-0.122.16
207615.2213.17-2.05
----
-2.30-0.132.17
207715.2213.17-2.05
----
-2.31-0.132.18
207815.2113.17-2.04
----
-2.31-0.132.19
207915.2013.17-2.03
----
-2.32-0.132.19
208015.1913.17-2.02
----
-2.32-0.132.20
208115.1813.17-2.01
----
-2.33-0.132.20
208215.1713.17-2.00
----
-2.33-0.132.21
208315.1813.17-2.01
----
-2.34-0.132.21
208415.1913.17-2.02
----
-2.34-0.132.21
208515.2113.17-2.03
----
-2.35-0.132.22
208615.2313.17-2.06
----
-2.35-0.132.22
208715.2613.17-2.09
----
-2.35-0.132.23
208815.3013.18-2.12
----
-2.36-0.132.23
208915.3413.18-2.16
----
-2.36-0.132.24
209015.3813.18-2.20
----
-2.37-0.132.24
209115.4213.18-2.23
----
-2.38-0.132.25
209215.4613.19-2.27
----
-2.38-0.132.25


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 14.87% 13.74% -1.13%
2043
-1.79% -0.10% 1.70%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.