Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.1: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2018 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2018 | 13.49 | 15.12 | 1.63 | 287 | 0.00 | 2.19 | 2.19 | ||
| 2019 | 13.69 | 15.27 | 1.58 | 288 | -0.01 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
| 2020 | 13.85 | 15.29 | 1.44 | 290 | -0.01 | 2.33 | 2.33 | ||
| 2021 | 14.01 | 15.32 | 1.31 | 291 | -0.01 | 2.33 | 2.34 | ||
| 2022 | 14.25 | 15.35 | 1.10 | 291 | -0.01 | 2.33 | 2.33 | ||
| 2023 | 14.54 | 15.36 | 0.82 | 290 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2024 | 14.82 | 15.39 | 0.58 | 287 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2025 | 15.09 | 15.41 | 0.32 | 283 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2026 | 15.36 | 15.44 | 0.08 | 278 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2027 | 15.61 | 15.46 | -0.15 | 273 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2028 | 15.84 | 15.48 | -0.36 | 268 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2029 | 16.05 | 15.49 | -0.56 | 262 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
| 2030 | 16.25 | 15.51 | -0.74 | 257 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
| 2031 | 16.43 | 15.52 | -0.91 | 252 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
| 2032 | 16.59 | 15.53 | -1.06 | 247 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
| 2033 | 16.72 | 15.54 | -1.18 | 241 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
| 2034 | 16.83 | 15.55 | -1.28 | 236 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
| 2035 | 16.90 | 15.55 | -1.35 | 230 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.34 | ||
| 2036 | 16.96 | 15.56 | -1.40 | 224 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.34 | ||
| 2037 | 16.99 | 15.56 | -1.43 | 218 | -0.03 | 2.31 | 2.34 | ||
| 2038 | 16.99 | 15.56 | -1.43 | 212 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
| 2039 | 16.97 | 15.56 | -1.40 | 206 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
| 2040 | 16.93 | 15.56 | -1.36 | 200 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
| 2041 | 16.88 | 15.56 | -1.32 | 195 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
| 2042 | 16.82 | 15.56 | -1.26 | 190 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
| 2043 | 16.77 | 15.56 | -1.21 | 185 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
| 2044 | 16.72 | 15.56 | -1.16 | 180 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
| 2045 | 16.68 | 15.56 | -1.12 | 176 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
| 2046 | 16.63 | 15.56 | -1.08 | 171 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
| 2047 | 16.60 | 15.56 | -1.04 | 167 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
| 2048 | 16.57 | 15.55 | -1.01 | 163 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
| 2049 | 16.54 | 15.55 | -0.98 | 159 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
| 2050 | 16.51 | 15.55 | -0.96 | 155 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
| 2051 | 16.50 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 151 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
| 2052 | 16.50 | 15.56 | -0.94 | 147 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
| 2053 | 16.51 | 15.56 | -0.95 | 143 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.39 | ||
| 2054 | 16.53 | 15.56 | -0.97 | 139 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.39 | ||
| 2055 | 16.55 | 15.56 | -0.99 | 134 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
| 2056 | 16.59 | 15.57 | -1.02 | 130 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
| 2057 | 16.63 | 15.57 | -1.06 | 125 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
| 2058 | 16.67 | 15.57 | -1.09 | 120 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
| 2059 | 16.71 | 15.58 | -1.13 | 114 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
| 2060 | 16.75 | 15.58 | -1.17 | 109 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
| 2061 | 16.79 | 15.59 | -1.21 | 103 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
| 2062 | 16.84 | 15.59 | -1.25 | 97 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
| 2063 | 16.89 | 15.59 | -1.29 | 90 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
| 2064 | 16.93 | 15.60 | -1.33 | 84 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
| 2065 | 16.98 | 15.60 | -1.38 | 77 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
| 2066 | 17.03 | 15.61 | -1.42 | 70 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
| 2067 | 17.08 | 15.61 | -1.47 | 62 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
| 2068 | 17.13 | 15.61 | -1.52 | 54 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
| 2069 | 17.18 | 15.62 | -1.56 | 46 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
| 2070 | 17.23 | 15.62 | -1.61 | 38 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
| 2071 | 17.28 | 15.63 | -1.65 | 29 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
| 2072 | 17.32 | 15.63 | -1.69 | 20 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
| 2073 | 17.35 | 15.63 | -1.72 | 10 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
| 2074 | 17.38 | 15.64 | -1.75 | 1 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
| 2075 | 17.41 | 15.64 | -1.77 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
| 2076 | 17.42 | 15.64 | -1.78 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
| 2077 | 17.43 | 15.64 | -1.78 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
| 2078 | 17.43 | 15.65 | -1.78 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2079 | 17.42 | 15.65 | -1.77 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2080 | 17.41 | 15.65 | -1.76 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2081 | 17.41 | 15.65 | -1.76 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2082 | 17.41 | 15.65 | -1.76 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2083 | 17.41 | 15.65 | -1.76 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2084 | 17.43 | 15.65 | -1.78 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
| 2085 | 17.45 | 15.66 | -1.80 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
| 2086 | 17.48 | 15.66 | -1.82 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2087 | 17.52 | 15.66 | -1.86 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2088 | 17.56 | 15.67 | -1.89 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2089 | 17.60 | 15.67 | -1.93 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2090 | 17.65 | 15.67 | -1.98 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2091 | 17.70 | 15.68 | -2.02 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
| 2092 | 17.74 | 15.68 | -2.06 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2017-2091 | 16.61% | 16.13% | -0.48% | 2074 | -0.05% | 2.29% | 2.35% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.