Description of Proposed Provision:
E1.1: Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 15.4 percent in 2018 and later.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1		 Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year		 Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Annual
balance
Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4915.622.13
287
0.002.692.69
201913.6915.772.08
292
-0.012.822.83
202013.8515.781.94
297
-0.012.822.83
202114.0115.821.81
301
-0.012.822.83
202214.2515.851.60
304
-0.012.832.83
202314.5415.871.34
306
-0.012.832.83
202414.8215.911.09
306
-0.012.832.84
202515.0915.930.84
305
-0.012.832.84
202615.3615.960.60
303
-0.012.822.83
202715.6015.970.37
300
-0.012.822.84
202815.8415.990.15
298
-0.012.822.84
202916.0516.00-0.05
295
-0.022.822.84
203016.2516.02-0.23
293
-0.022.822.84
203116.4316.03-0.40
291
-0.022.822.84
203216.5916.04-0.54
289
-0.022.822.84
203316.7216.05-0.67
287
-0.022.822.85
203416.8216.06-0.76
284
-0.022.822.85
203516.9016.06-0.84
282
-0.032.822.85
203616.9616.07-0.89
279
-0.032.832.85
203716.9916.07-0.92
276
-0.032.832.86
203816.9916.07-0.91
274
-0.032.832.86
203916.9616.07-0.89
272
-0.032.832.86
204016.9216.07-0.85
270
-0.042.832.86
204116.8816.07-0.80
268
-0.042.832.87
204216.8216.07-0.75
267
-0.042.832.87
204316.7616.07-0.69
266
-0.042.832.87
204416.7116.07-0.65
266
-0.052.832.87
204516.6716.07-0.60
265
-0.052.832.88
204616.6316.06-0.56
265
-0.052.832.88
204716.5916.06-0.53
265
-0.052.832.88
204816.5616.06-0.50
265
-0.062.832.89
204916.5316.06-0.47
265
-0.062.832.89
205016.5116.06-0.44
265
-0.062.832.89
205116.4916.06-0.43
266
-0.062.832.90
205216.4916.06-0.43
266
-0.072.832.90
205316.5016.07-0.43
266
-0.072.832.90
205416.5216.07-0.45
266
-0.072.832.90
205516.5416.07-0.47
266
-0.082.832.91
205616.5816.07-0.50
265
-0.082.832.91
205716.6216.08-0.54
265
-0.082.832.91
205816.6616.08-0.58
264
-0.082.832.92
205916.7016.08-0.61
263
-0.092.832.92
206016.7416.09-0.65
261
-0.092.832.92
206116.7816.09-0.69
260
-0.092.842.93
206216.8316.10-0.73
258
-0.092.842.93
206316.8716.10-0.78
256
-0.102.842.93
206416.9216.10-0.82
254
-0.102.842.93
206516.9716.11-0.86
251
-0.102.842.94
206617.0216.11-0.91
248
-0.102.842.94
206717.0716.11-0.95
245
-0.102.842.94
206817.1216.12-1.00
242
-0.102.842.94
206917.1716.12-1.05
238
-0.112.842.95
207017.2216.13-1.09
234
-0.112.842.95
207117.2616.13-1.14
230
-0.112.842.95
207217.3016.13-1.17
225
-0.112.842.95
207317.3416.14-1.20
221
-0.112.842.95
207417.3716.14-1.23
216
-0.112.842.95
207517.3916.14-1.25
211
-0.112.842.96
207617.4116.14-1.26
206
-0.112.852.96
207717.4116.15-1.27
202
-0.112.852.96
207817.4116.15-1.27
197
-0.112.852.96
207917.4116.15-1.26
192
-0.112.852.96
208017.4016.15-1.25
187
-0.112.852.96
208117.3916.15-1.25
182
-0.112.852.96
208217.3916.15-1.25
177
-0.112.852.96
208317.4016.15-1.25
172
-0.112.852.96
208417.4216.15-1.26
167
-0.112.852.96
208517.4416.15-1.29
161
-0.112.852.97
208617.4716.16-1.31
156
-0.112.852.97
208717.5016.16-1.35
150
-0.112.862.97
208817.5516.16-1.38
144
-0.112.862.97
208917.5916.17-1.42
137
-0.112.862.97
209017.6416.17-1.47
131
-0.112.862.97
209117.6816.17-1.51
124
-0.112.862.97
209217.7316.18-1.55
116
-0.112.862.97


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Actuarial
balance
Year of reserve
depletion1
Cost
rate		 Income
rate		 Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.61% 16.63% 0.02%
N/A
-0.06% 2.79% 2.85%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.