Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.9: Beginning in 2025, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed equivalent of $200,000 in 2017 (about $274,500 in 2025), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2025. Do not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2018 | 13.49 | 12.93 | -0.56 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2019 | 13.70 | 12.95 | -0.75 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.85 | 12.96 | -0.89 | 259 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.02 | 12.99 | -1.03 | 245 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.26 | 13.02 | -1.23 | 230 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.54 | 13.05 | -1.50 | 215 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.83 | 13.08 | -1.74 | 199 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 15.10 | 13.37 | -1.73 | 182 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.27 | ||
| 2026 | 15.37 | 13.42 | -1.95 | 167 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2027 | 15.62 | 13.43 | -2.18 | 151 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2028 | 15.85 | 13.45 | -2.40 | 135 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2029 | 16.07 | 13.46 | -2.60 | 119 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2030 | 16.27 | 13.48 | -2.79 | 102 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2031 | 16.45 | 13.49 | -2.96 | 86 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2032 | 16.61 | 13.50 | -3.10 | 68 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2033 | 16.74 | 13.51 | -3.23 | 50 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2034 | 16.85 | 13.52 | -3.33 | 32 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2035 | 16.93 | 13.52 | -3.40 | 13 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2036 | 16.99 | 13.53 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2037 | 17.02 | 13.53 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2038 | 17.02 | 13.53 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2039 | 17.00 | 13.53 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2040 | 16.96 | 13.53 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2041 | 16.91 | 13.53 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2042 | 16.86 | 13.53 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2043 | 16.80 | 13.52 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2044 | 16.76 | 13.52 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2045 | 16.72 | 13.52 | -3.19 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2046 | 16.68 | 13.52 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2047 | 16.64 | 13.52 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2048 | 16.61 | 13.52 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2049 | 16.58 | 13.52 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2050 | 16.56 | 13.52 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2051 | 16.55 | 13.52 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2052 | 16.55 | 13.52 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2053 | 16.56 | 13.52 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2054 | 16.58 | 13.52 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2055 | 16.61 | 13.52 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2056 | 16.65 | 13.53 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.28 | 0.29 | ||
| 2057 | 16.69 | 13.53 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2058 | 16.73 | 13.53 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2059 | 16.78 | 13.53 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2060 | 16.82 | 13.54 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2061 | 16.87 | 13.54 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2062 | 16.91 | 13.54 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2063 | 16.96 | 13.55 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2064 | 17.01 | 13.55 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2065 | 17.06 | 13.55 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.29 | ||
| 2066 | 17.11 | 13.56 | -3.55 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2067 | 17.16 | 13.56 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2068 | 17.21 | 13.56 | -3.65 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2069 | 17.26 | 13.57 | -3.70 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2070 | 17.32 | 13.57 | -3.75 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2071 | 17.36 | 13.57 | -3.79 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2072 | 17.40 | 13.58 | -3.83 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2073 | 17.44 | 13.58 | -3.86 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2074 | 17.47 | 13.58 | -3.89 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2075 | 17.49 | 13.58 | -3.91 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2076 | 17.51 | 13.59 | -3.92 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2077 | 17.51 | 13.59 | -3.93 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2078 | 17.51 | 13.59 | -3.93 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2079 | 17.51 | 13.59 | -3.92 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2080 | 17.50 | 13.59 | -3.91 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2081 | 17.49 | 13.59 | -3.91 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2082 | 17.49 | 13.59 | -3.91 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2083 | 17.50 | 13.59 | -3.92 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2084 | 17.52 | 13.59 | -3.93 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2085 | 17.54 | 13.59 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2086 | 17.57 | 13.59 | -3.98 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2087 | 17.60 | 13.59 | -4.01 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2088 | 17.64 | 13.59 | -4.05 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2089 | 17.69 | 13.60 | -4.09 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2090 | 17.74 | 13.60 | -4.14 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2091 | 17.78 | 13.60 | -4.18 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
| 2092 | 17.83 | 13.61 | -4.22 | ---- | -0.01 | 0.29 | 0.30 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2017-2091 | 16.66% | 14.09% | -2.57% | 2035 | -0.01% | 0.25% | 0.25% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.